Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Claiming, 8F 110Y, Dirt
Win: Beach Cricket (6) – 90% confidence🥉
Place: Many Mo Kisses (8) – 30% confidenceShow: Miss Boujee (4) – 40% confidenceAlternative: Chervonaruta (7) – 20% confidence
Beach Cricket earns overwhelming consensus with nine of ten analysts supporting the victory. Strongest available backing for maiden competition. Alternative pick Chervonaruta receives meaningful attention for exotic structures.
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming, 1542Y, Dirt
Win: Daisycrest (3) – 40% confidence
Show: Her Obsession (2) – 40% confidence🥈
Evenly split consensus between top two contenders. Daisycrest and Her Obsession warrant equal consideration. Strong exacta box potential. Hyper Holiday appears in multiple place mentions for value play.
Race 3 – Claiming, 1542Y, Dirt
Win: Sobiech (3) – 70% confidence
Place: Deputy Ghost (5) – 60% confidence
Show: Category Five (6) – 30% confidence
Sobiech dominates with seven analyst selections. Deputy Ghost commands strong secondary positioning across exotics. Sobiech-Deputy Ghost pairing forms natural combination for exacta and trifecta plays.
Race 4 – Claiming, 1214Y, Dirt WIN
Win: Echo With Laughter (6) – 70% confidence🥇
Place: Galvaston (1) – 20% confidence🥉
Show: Heat Merchant (5) – 50% confidence
Echo With Laughter earns seven win selections. Heat Merchant locks in as show choice across majority of analysts. Echo With Laughter-Heat Merchant exacta offers strong value pairing.
Race 5 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 1323Y, Dirt
Win: Katherine’s Cub (4) – 50% confidence🥈
Place: Let’s Go Souper (3) – 30% confidence
Show: Silent Strike (6) – 50% confidence🥉
Katherine’s Cub receives five win selections. Let’s Go Souper captures place consideration. Silent Strike locks in across five analysts for show selection. Competitive maiden warrants exacta box coverage.
Race 6 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 1323Y, Dirt
Win: It’s Pay Day (2) – 30% confidence
Place: Holy Mirage (4) – 30% confidence
Show: Artful Diamond (1) – 30% confidence🥇
Wide-open maiden with four legitimate contenders splitting support. It’s Pay Day receives three win votes. Holy Mirage earns three place selections. Artful Diamond commands three show votes. Trifecta box coverage highly recommended.
Race 7 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 1214Y, Dirt
Win: Mystical Magic (6) – 50% confidence
Place: Sans Dancer (4) – 30% confidence
Show: Alluring Amy (1) – 40% confidence🥇
Mystical Magic earns five win selections. Alluring Amy locks in as show selection. Mystical Magic-Sans Dancer exacta pairing provides natural structure for exotics.
Race 8 – Claiming, 1323Y, Dirt
Win: Secret Threat (6) – 50% confidence
Place: Magic Power (1) – 30% confidence🥈
Show: Happy Quad (7) – 30% confidence
Secret Threat receives five win votes. Magic Power and Happy Quad split place and show attention. Secret Threat offers primary selection. Exacta box with Magic Power and Happy Quad presents value alternative.
Race 9 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 1542Y, Dirt
Win: Aint No Girly Girl (2) – 50% confidence🥉
Place: Abino Bay (6) – 20% confidenceShow: Silly Risk (9) – 30% confidence
Aint No Girly Girl earns five win selections. Abino Bay receives four alternative win votes. Silly Risk commands three show selections. Exacta box with Aint No Girly Girl and Abino Bay recommended.
Race 10 – Shady Well Stakes, 1323Y, Dirt WIN
Win: Bossy Candy (1) – 80% confidence🥇
Place: Sipping History (5) – 20% confidence
Show: Pageant Queen (2) – 20% confidence
Bossy Candy dominates with eight analyst selections. Overwhelming consensus supports victory. Second-tier support for Zabarta and Gray Dee One in exotic positions.
Race 11 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 1214Y, Dirt
Win: Sinclairity (2) – 50% confidence🥈
Place: Sinclairity (2) – 30% confidence
Show: Xarabella (7) – 50% confidence
Sinclairity receives five win selections. Xarabella locks in as show selection across five analysts. Sinclairity-Moonlight Promises exacta pairing offers value.
Race 12 – Claiming, 1105Y, Dirt WIN
Win: Bennys Jets (1) – 60% confidence🥇
Place: Hello Jello (6) – 20% confidence🥈
Show: Bennys Jets (1) – 20% confidence
Bennys Jets dominates with six win selections. Another Charlie receives two alternative win votes. Bennys Jets-Another Charlie exacta recommended.
Exotic Betting Recommendations & Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts have comprehensively evaluated the card with ten expert sources and identified multiple strategic opportunities.
High-Confidence Win Selections: Beach Cricket (Race 1), Sobiech (Race 3), Echo With Laughter (Race 4), and Bossy Candy (Race 10) feature 70-90% analyst agreement and warrant single coverage in multi-race wagers. Bennys Jets (Race 12) and Mystical Magic (Race 7) offer sufficient consensus for Pick 3 and Pick 4 sequencing.
Exacta Box Plays: Races 2, 5, 6, and 9 present competitive finishes where multiple horses attract comparable expert support. Exacta boxes in maiden and optional claiming races capture pace-dependent outcomes effectively.
Trifecta Value Opportunities: Race 6 emerges as standout trifecta prospect with It’s Pay Day, Holy Mirage, Artful Diamond, and Baytown Glinda all receiving 30%+ support. Four-horse trifecta box offers attractive value. Race 1 trifecta with Beach Cricket, Many Mo Kisses, and Miss Boujee presents quality payoff potential.
Price Horses for Larger Exotics: Doug McPherson selections including Socially Intact (Race 6) and Crumlin Fashion (Race 5) offer alternative considerations at longer odds. These merit inclusion in superfecta and Pick 6 plays for value at optimal price levels.
Pick Series Strategy: Connect highest-confidence selections from Races 1, 3, 4, and 10 through tighter competitive races. Structure Pick 4 sequences around 70%+ confidence wins to minimize coverage costs while capturing value. Races 6 and 9 present ideal middle-race volatility opportunities.
Daily Double Plays: Beach Cricket-Daisycrest/Her Obsession (Races 1-2) offers strong opening double. Bossy Candy-Bennys Jets (Races 10-12) provides attractive closing sequence.
Exacta Box Cost Optimization: Limited four to five-horse exacta boxes in Races 2, 5, and 9 maintain bankroll efficiency while maximizing coverage potential. Trifecta box structure in Race 6 justifies slightly higher cost given multiple legitimate contenders.
