Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Delta Downs, November 22, 2025.

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race #1 Expert Picks

Win: #7 Kara Flash
Place: #11 Complete Wrap
Show: #3 Charge The Deal

FanDuel provides the top three finishing positions. Don’s Picks, Racing Dudes, and Sports from the Basement analysts all align on #7 Kara Flash for the win. The Guaranteed Tip Sheet analyst diverges with #6 My Vision at odds of 4-1.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 1: Maiden Claiming

Win: #7 Kara Flash – 80% confidence
Place: #11 Complete Wrap – 100% confidence
Show: #3 Charge The Deal – 100% confidence
Alternative: #6 My Vision – 20% confidence

Kara Flash dominates the win position across analysts. The extended consensus suggests favorable odds value with Charge The Deal at 3-1 for the show position. Consider a win/place parlay on Kara Flash with reasonable coverage.


Race #2 Expert Picks

Win: #5 Bold Exchange
Place: #1 Two Dollars
Show: #7 Weekendsandwhiskey

FanDuel lists both #5 Bold Exchange and #7 Weekendsandwhiskey as co-first picks for the win. Don’s Picks selects #7 Weekendsandwhiskey for the win. Racing Dudes, Guaranteed Tip Sheet, and Sports from the Basement analysts converge on #5 Bold Exchange. Betting News provides place and show picks supporting the order: win #1 Two Dollars, place #5 Bold Exchange, show #7 Weekendsandwhiskey.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 2: Maiden Special Weight, 6.5F

Win: #5 Bold Exchange – 57% confidence
Place: #1 Two Dollars – 50% confidence
Show: #7 Weekendsandwhiskey – 100% confidence
Alternative: #4 Wolf Man Jack – 100% confidence

#5 Bold Exchange at 9-5 odds represents the strongest consensus at nearly 6 in 10 analysts. The second-place pick splits between Two Dollars and Bold Exchange. Consider exacta plays pairing Bold Exchange across the top two positions. The alternative Wolf Man Jack at 4-1 offers moderate upset potential.


Race #3 Expert Picks

Win: #4 Unlawful
Place: #4 Unlawful
Show: #6 Ahooga

Racing Dudes, Don’s Picks, and Sports from the Basement analysts align on #4 Unlawful for the win. FanDuel provides place and show picks. The Guaranteed Tip Sheet analyst selects #6 Ahooga for the win at long 12-1 odds.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 3: Maiden Special Weight

Win: #4 Unlawful – 60% confidence
Place: #4 Unlawful – 100% confidence
Show: #6 Ahooga – 100% confidence
Alternative: #3 Chatty Milligan – 20% confidence

Unlawful exhibits the strongest consensus, appearing in both the win and place positions across multiple analysts. This suggests confidence in the horse’s finishing ability. Unlawful at 5-2 provides reasonable odds alignment with the analytical consensus. The show pick on Ahooga at 7-2 offers potential exacta value with Unlawful on top.


Race #4 Expert Picks

Win: #1 Piggy Tales Up
Place: #4 Cranky Sheila
Show: #7 Give Em Hail Gayle

Four analysts select #1 Piggy Tales Up for the win. FanDuel provides alternative win support with #7 Give Em Hail Gayle at 6-1. Don’s Picks, Guaranteed Tip Sheet, and Racing Dudes all back Piggy Tales Up. Sports from the Basement diverges with #4 Cranky Sheila at 5-2.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 4: Claiming

Win: #1 Piggy Tales Up – 67% confidence
Place: #4 Cranky Sheila – 100% confidence
Show: #4 Cranky Sheila – 17% confidence
Alternative: #7 Give Em Hail Gayle – 17% confidence

Piggy Tales Up commands 2 of 3 analyst selections for the win at 9-2 odds. Cranky Sheila appears as the clear place pick, suggesting the race may develop with these two horses as key combos. The divergence on third position indicates a more competitive finish than the opening positions suggest. Box exacta plays with Piggy Tales Up and Cranky Sheila offer solid expected value.


Race #5 Expert Picks

Win: #1 Be Back Again
Place: #3 Echo Juliet
Show: #6 Mae’s Majesty

Perfect consensus emerges with all six analysts selecting #1 Be Back Again for the win. Place and show positions split across three horses, indicating secondary position variability. Betting News provides structured picks: win #1, place #4 Deever Encounter, show #6 Mae’s Majesty.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 5: Maiden Special Weight

Win: #1 Be Back Again – 100% confidence
Place: #3 Echo Juliet – 33% confidence
Place: #4 Deever Encounter – 33% confidence
Place: #6 Mae’s Majesty – 33% confidence
Show: #6 Mae’s Majesty – 100% confidence
Alternative: #3 Echo Juliet – 100% confidence

Be Back Again at 2-1 represents the single strongest consensus pick across all nine races analyzed today. This unanimous alignment on the win suggests high confidence. However, place and show positions distribute evenly among three candidates, indicating uncertainty in secondary finishers. Consider Be Back Again as a cornerstone pick in multi-race wagers with flexible supporting selections.


Race #6 Expert Picks

Win: #7 Age of Reason
Place: #8 Miz Mastery
Show: #6 My Lil Poker Face

FanDuel provides place support for #8 Miz Mastery. Three analysts select #7 Age of Reason for the win. Don’s Picks diverges with #8 Miz Mastery at 3-1. One analyst backs #6 My Lil Poker Face at 8-1.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 6: Claiming

Win: #7 Age of Reason – 50% confidence
Place: #8 Miz Mastery – 100% confidence
Show: #6 My Lil Poker Face – 17% confidence
Alternative: #8 Miz Mastery – 17% confidence

Age of Reason at 2-1 splits the win position evenly with other selections, suggesting a more competitive race than consensus initially indicates. Miz Mastery emerges as the clear supporting selection for place. The split consensus on the win combined with stronger alignment on secondary positions suggests exacta plays with coverage across multiple win candidates.


Race #7 Expert Picks

Win: #6 Lagoon
Place: #6 Lagoon
Show: #2 Mclaren Vale

Three analysts select #6 Lagoon for the win. Racing Dudes and FanDuel back #4 Paynted Blue with a combined 40% pick distribution. FanDuel provides place and show support with Lagoon for place and McLaren Vale for show.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 7: Claiming

Win: #6 Lagoon – 60% confidence
Place: #6 Lagoon – 100% confidence
Show: #2 Mclaren Vale – 100% confidence
Alternative: #4 Paynted Blue – 40% confidence

Lagoon emerges across both win and place positions with consistent analyst support at 5-2 odds. Three of five analysts favor Lagoon, while Paynted Blue at 7-2 receives backing from two analysts. The distribution suggests a potential two-horse battle for the top spot. Exacta combinations pairing Lagoon and Paynted Blue in both directions provide coverage with moderate overlay potential.


Race #8 Expert Picks

Win: #1 Native Red
Place: #5 Game Port
Show: #6 A Million Moons

Three analysts select #1 Native Red for the win. FanDuel and Racing Dudes back #6 A Million Moons. Betting News diverges with #2 Tripple D Ruller. Place and show positions distribute across multiple candidates with no clear consensus on secondary finishers.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 8: Allowance

Win: #1 Native Red – 50% confidence
Win: #6 A Million Moons – 33% confidence
Place: #5 Game Port – 33% confidence
Place: #7 Deal With It Daddy – 33% confidence
Place: #8 Steel Argument – 33% confidence
Show: #6 A Million Moons – 100% confidence
Alternative: #5 Game Port – 100% confidence

This race demonstrates the most analyst divergence across all selections, with split picks on the win and three-way splits on place positions. Native Red at 2-1 receives plurality support, while A Million Moons at 12-1 appears in both win and show positions, suggesting moderate upset overlay potential. The wide distribution indicates field play or trifecta considerations across multiple horses may be more effective than traditional exacta selections.


Race #9 Expert Picks

Win: #4 Girlie’s Max
Place: #4 Girlie’s Max
Show: #10 Majestic Palace

Four analysts converge on #4 Girlie’s Max for the win at 2-1 odds. FanDuel provides alternative support with #10 Majestic Palace and #6 Righteous Freedom. FanDuel offers place backup with #4 Girlie’s Max.


Consensus Estimated Finish Order – Race 9: Claiming

Win: #4 Girlie’s Max – 67% confidence
Place: #4 Girlie’s Max – 100% confidence
Show: #10 Majestic Palace – 17% confidence
Alternative: #6 Righteous Freedom – 17% confidence

Girlie’s Max at 2-1 dominates the consensus for both win and place positions, representing the clearest secondary consensus after Be Back Again in Race 5. Four of six analysts select Girlie’s Max, suggesting high confidence in the horse’s competitive advantage. The strong alignment indicates straightforward win and place structures with potential correlated coverage in superfecta plays.


Summary of Expert Picks Analysis

Strongest Consensus Picks:

  1. Race 5 #1 Be Back Again (100% analyst agreement – 2-1)
  2. Race 9 #4 Girlie’s Max (67% agreement – 2-1)
  3. Race 4 #1 Piggy Tales Up (67% agreement – 9-2)

Most Competitive Races (Divergent Analyst Opinion):

  • Race 8: 50% Native Red vs. 33% A Million Moons with split place/show
  • Race 2: 57% Bold Exchange with notable 29% Weekendsandwhiskey support

Potential Exotic Value Plays:

Race 1: Win Kara Flash with place/show coverage on Complete Wrap and Charge The Deal represents solid exacta structure with modest odds alignment.

Race 2: Bold Exchange appears vulnerable with split analyst support. Consider two-horse exacta plays with Weekendsandwhiskey for first or second position.

Race 3: Unlawful demonstrates consensus strength for win and place. The short odds at 5-2 may limit value; examine exacta combinations with third-position alternatives.

Race 4: Piggy Tales Up provides cornerstone pick support. Trifecta play with Cranky Sheila for place offers coverage with Give Em Hail Gayle for third at 6-1 overlay.

Race 5: Be Back Again at 2-1 represents the highest-confidence unanimous pick. Place flexibility across three horses suggests multi-race structures with fixed win leg.

Race 6: Age of Reason split consensus suggests competitive field. Place support on Miz Mastery indicates exacta box play across potential winners.

Race 7: Lagoon commands 60% pick distribution with consistent two-position support. Paynted Blue overlay at 7-2 offers upside in exacta scenarios.

Race 8: Highest divergence of all races. Native Red at 2-1 provides plurality support, but field play or trifecta structures may prove more effective than traditional exotic selections.

Race 9: Girlie’s Max unanimous place support with strong win agreement indicates straightforward win/place parlay or exacta box with Majestic Palace upside alternative.


Pick Pony analysts recommend prioritizing the three unanimous or near-unanimous selections (Races 5, 9, 4) as cornerstone picks for Pick 4 or Pick 5 sequences. Race 8 presents the most uncertain scenario and may warrant either aggressive field play or conservative position avoidance depending on risk tolerance. Races 2, 3, 6, and 7 show moderate analyst divergence sufficient for exacta box or trifecta plays with secondary coverage.

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