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Race 1 – Allowance, 5.5F, Dirt, $26,900

Win: #3 Happy's Smile (89%)🥉

Place: #4 Redwineandwhiskey (78%)🥈

Show: #6 Catchphrase (89%)

Alternative: #2 Teresa (33%)

Notes: This is a competitive allowance race with four horses receiving significant analyst attention. Happy's Smile appears in nearly every selection, showing strong course and distance form with multiple wins at Finger Lakes. Redwineandwhiskey has been knocking at the door in this condition and four analysts tabbed this runner as the top choice. Catchphrase drops in class from metro competition and carries plenty of upside as a newer face. Teresa won last start when fresh but received less overall support despite two win selections.

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Race 2 – Claiming, 5.5F, Dirt, $17,500

Win: #3 Inflammabelle (89%)

Place: #4 Big Advantage (67%)🥇

Show: #1 Mia Nipotina (78%)🥈

Alternative: #6 Julita (22%)

Notes: Inflammabelle emerges as the standout top pick, stepping down in class after a turf run at a higher level. The key question is whether the filly handles the surface switch from turf to dirt. Big Advantage returns after an 11-week spell with solid course and distance form and is essential for exacta and trifecta plays. Mia Nipotina is consistent at this level and can hit the board from the rail post. One analyst made the contrarian call on Julita.

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Race 3 – Allowance, 1M 70Y, Dirt, $26,500 WIN

Win: #7 Sanzio (88%)🥇

Place: #5 Rockinmoney (62%)

Show: #2 I'm Solo N In Love (75%)

Alternative: #1 Trinity River (25%)🥈

Notes: Pick Pony analysts view this as a competitive allowance route with a logical top choice. Sanzio carries strong recent form and is well-placed against these rivals. Rockinmoney won earlier this prep at Finger Lakes and attempts a route for the first time in a career, which cannot be dismissed. I'm Solo N In Love has been close against similar rivals. Trinity River is on a seven-day turnaround but finished seven lengths back last start.

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Race 4 – Claiming, 6F 66Y, Dirt, $17,500 WIN

Win: #2 Civil Service (88%)🥇

Place: #6 Paint The Line (88%)

Show: #3 Irie Man (50%)🥈

Alternative: #7 Ribbons And Medals (25%)

Notes: Civil Service received the strongest consensus support of any horse in the early races, with six of eight analysts making this the top pick. The horse finished third in a higher class race last time and is clearly at the mercy of the early pace. Paint The Line is in good form with three wins from 12 attempts this campaign and should get the trip to win. Irie Man benefits from the extra half-furlong. Ribbons And Medals has placed in two of the last three outings.

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Race 5 – Claiming, 6F 66Y, Dirt, $17,500

Win: #5 Sugar Ride (88%)

Place: #3 Esther's Salad (62%)🥉

Show: #11 Unwoke (38%)🥇

Alternative: #7 Global Charmer (25%)

Notes: The largest field of the day with 12 runners creates opportunities for value. Sugar Ride has won at Finger Lakes and placed three times this prep, making another top-three finish seem likely. Esther's Salad is coming off a maiden-breaking victory and can come right back against these foes. Unwoke received three win selections and has strong form that could translate to a bounceback performance after a below-par effort. Global Charmer placed at Aqueduct earlier this prep and is dangerous.

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Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming, 1 1/4M, Dirt, $20,000 WIN

Win: #1 Brown Don't Stop (50%)🥇

Place: #6 Wild Banker (50%)🥉

Show: #8 Allure Of Money (38%)

Alternative: #2 Finalist (50%)

Notes: A wide-open route race with no clear consensus favorite. Brown Don't Stop made ground late to win last start at Finger Lakes and is drawn perfectly. Wild Banker has faced better in the past and won over course and distance last time. Allure Of Money is a former stakes winner who must be respected. Finalist is coming off a win at Finger Lakes with two victories from nine attempts this campaign. The lack of consensus makes this race ripe for exotic play.

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Race 7 – Allowance, 5.5F, Dirt, $26,500 WIN + EXACTA

Win: #2 Crescendo's Rein (100%)🥇

Place: #5 Blamicker (78%)🥈

Show: #3 Bobby The Tank (33%)

Alternative: #6 Skyler's Starship (33%)

Notes: This is the most unanimous race on the card. Crescendo's Rein received all nine win selections from Pick Pony analysts, coming off a win at Finger Lakes when resuming with a flying start to the career. This is the Play of the Day selection from one prominent analyst. Blamicker also won last start at Finger Lakes and goes well at the track, representing the main threat to the top choice. Bobby The Tank returns after a 10-week break with two prior Finger Lakes wins. Skyler's Starship has four placings from eight runs this prep.

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Race 8 – Allowance, 5.5F, Dirt, $24,500 WIN + TRIFECTA ($19.98)

Win: #3 Twirling Lulu (62%)

Place: #5 Miss Stones (75%)🥇

Show: #10 Unicorn Cake (62%)🥈

Alternative: #2 Five To Two (38%)🥉

Notes: A competitive fillies and mares allowance race. Twirling Lulu won at first asking this prep but finished ninth last start at Aqueduct, stepping down in class here. Miss Stones came back from a six-week layoff and finished a nose from the winner last start, posing a real threat. Unicorn Cake's best effort defeats this field. Five To Two has been consistent in higher grade races with five placings at Finger Lakes. One analyst tabbed Thin Legs as a contrarian play.

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Race 9 – Maiden Claiming, 5.5F, Dirt, $14,500

Win: #5 Candy Is Dandy (100%)🥉

Place: #4 Sweet Carol James (75%)🥈

Show: #3 Starship Kit Kat (62%)

Alternative: #9 Tafaany (25%)🥇

Notes: The season finale maiden claimer features a strong consensus top pick. Candy Is Dandy placed in all four prior starts at Finger Lakes and is hard to go past as a consistent check getter. Sweet Carol James holds a slight edge in this wide-open finale according to one analyst. Starship Kit Kat has shown consistent form and looks well-placed to break through. I'm Pretty Good is flagged as the Big Splash longshot selection at nice odds to wake up and add value.

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Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Race 1 Exacta: Key #3 Happy's Smile and #4 Redwineandwhiskey over #6 Catchphrase and #2 Teresa. The top four are tightly bunched with strong consensus support.

Race 2 Trifecta: #3 Inflammabelle with #4 Big Advantage and #1 Mia Nipotina in boxes. All three horses received heavy analyst attention across multiple positions.

Race 4 Exacta: #2 Civil Service over #6 Paint The Line offers strong value given the unanimous top selection. Consider a small saver with #6 on top.

Race 5 Pick 3: Begin the late Pick 3 here using #5 Sugar Ride and #11 Unwoke with Race 6 spreading to #1 Brown Don't Stop, #6 Wild Banker, and #8 Allure Of Money, then single #2 Crescendo's Rein in Race 7.

Race 6 Superfecta: The wide-open nature of this race suggests spreading across #1, #2, #6, and #8 in all combinations for potential value.

Race 7 Win Bet: Crescendo's Rein at 3-1 morning line represents strong value given 100% analyst consensus. Consider a straight win wager.

Race 7 Exacta: Key #2 Crescendo's Rein over #5 Blamicker for a high-probability exacta.

Race 9 Value Play: #7 I'm Pretty Good at 8-1 morning line is flagged as the Big Splash nice price selection. Consider using underneath in exactas with #5 Candy Is Dandy on top.

Daily Double (Races 7-8): Single #2 Crescendo's Rein in Race 7 with #3 Twirling Lulu and #5 Miss Stones in Race 8.