Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Claiming – 5.0F – Dirt
Win: Little Millie (#5) – 100% confidence
Place: Lucky Juan (#1) – 100% confidence
Show: A Real Embrace (#2) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Delphine (#3) – 50% confidence
Unanimous consensus on Little Millie for the win. Lucky Juan strongly supported as second choice. A Real Embrace shows as show candidate in multiple analyses. Delphine emerges as potential fourth option based on algorithmic models.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1M – Dirt
Win: Wupkar (#8) – 75% confidence
Place: Little Bit of That (#3) – 75% confidence
Show: Hurricane Lassie (#5) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Lovelyredstilettos (#2) – 50% confidence
Wupkar favored by multiple analysts with solid odds at 2-1. Hurricane Lassie and Little Bit of That provide complementary support for exotic plays. Lovelyredstilettos offers value consideration as a potential upset.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight
Win: Be Back Again (#6) – 100% confidence
Place: Walknto Neworleans (#7) – 75% confidence
Show: Mae’s Majesty (#1) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Mademoiselle Pink (#5) – 50% confidence
Strong consensus on Be Back Again to win. Multiple models position Walknto Neworleans as logical place finisher. Mae’s Majesty and Mademoiselle Pink represent secondary options based on algorithmic data.
Race 4 – Claiming
Win: Gift Giver (#8) – 50% confidence
Place: Scallywag (#9) – 75% confidence
Show: Stroller Boy (#2) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Mud On My Boots (#10) – 50% confidence
Variance exists between analyst and algorithmic picks. Gift Giver and Scallywag closely matched in race models. Stroller Boy remains competitive. This race lacks strong consensus, suggesting closer competition or potential value in overlay positions.
Race 5 – Allowance
Win: My Boy Vander (#1) – 100% confidence
Place: Easy for Me (#2) – 75% confidence
Show: Swamp Queen (#4) – 100% confidence
Alternative: Miss Leona (#5) – 75% confidence
My Boy Vander commands near-unanimous support at favorable 2-1 odds. Easy for Me shows consistent support across models. Swamp Queen and Miss Leona provide strong supporting roles for exacta and trifecta construction.
Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming
Win: Briterdayzahead (#9) – 75% confidence
Place: Astrologysprotege (#1) – 75% confidence
Show: Helladic (#8) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Adieu Aces (#2) – 50% confidence
Briterdayzahead favored in algorithmic models at 5-2 odds. Astrologysprotege and Helladic remain central to multiple analysis frameworks. Adieu Aces presents value consideration for exotic play expansion.
Race 7 – Allowance
Win: Saved by Grace (#5) – 75% confidence
Place: Warrior’s Justice (#1) – 100% confidence
Show: Miss Dealority (#6) – 100% confidence
Alternative: Ground Control (#7) – 50% confidence
Saved by Grace leads as win choice in majority of analyses at 5-2 odds. Warrior’s Justice and Miss Dealority show strong consistency for place and show positions. Ground Control represents secondary consideration for exotic plays.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming
Win: Whisper Me a Smile (#8) – 75% confidence
Place: K G’s Magic (#5) – 75% confidence
Show: On the Horizon (#1) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Allons Betta Lee (#7) – 75% confidence
Whisper Me a Smile emerges as win selection despite analyst preference for Allons Betta Lee. K G’s Magic strongly positioned for place. On the Horizon and Allons Betta Lee both viable for supporting roles. Race offers good exotic play potential with multiple close contenders.
Race 9 – Claiming
Win: Donegal Moonshine (#4) – 50% confidence
Place: Rhum Saint Esprit (#3) – 75% confidence
Show: Celtic Pride (#1) – 75% confidence
Alternative: Feathers Road (#10) – 50% confidence
Variance between analytical approaches creates opportunity. Donegal Moonshine favored in algorithmic models while Rhum Saint Esprit supported by traditional analysis. Celtic Pride offers complementary value. Feathers Road worth consideration for exacta/trifecta constructions at longer odds.
Pick Pony Exotic Bet Recommendations
Race 1: Exacta Little Millie-Lucky Juan offers strong probability at reasonable odds given unanimous consensus. Consider Little Millie-Delphine as value alternative. Superfecta incorporating Poppy Red and My Oh Mya provides additional exotic leverage.
Race 2: Wupkar anchoring multiple combinations provides confidence. Exacta Wupkar-Little Bit of That builds on consensus. Trifecta Wupkar-Little Bit of That-Hurricane Lassie delivers tight three-horse coverage.
Race 3: Be Back Again justifies single horse plays and exacta constructions. Exacta Be Back Again-Walknto Neworleans presents high-confidence play. Expand trifecta with Mae’s Majesty or Mademoiselle Pink for deeper exotics.
Race 4: Lack of consensus suggests caution. Scallywag-centric combinations offer balance between multiple analytical approaches. Consider exactas with Gift Giver, Scallywag, and Stroller Boy in various pairings.
Race 5: My Boy Vander represents rare consensus favorite. Exacta My Boy Vander-Easy for Me with My Boy Vander-Swamp Queen provides strong win coverage. Trifecta My Boy Vander-Easy for Me-Swamp Queen locks consensus horses.
Race 6: Three-horse cluster of Briterdayzahead, Astrologysprotege, and Helladic supports multiple exotic angles. Exacta combinations within this trio offer balanced risk. Superfecta expansion with Adieu Aces creates value opportunity.
Race 7: Warrior’s Justice-Miss Dealority foundation offers strong place-show confidence. Exacta Saved by Grace-Warrior’s Justice and Saved by Grace-Miss Dealority both command consideration. Trifecta incorporating Ground Control expands coverage.
Race 8: Multiple close contenders create rich exotic opportunity. Whisper Me a Smile-K G’s Magic combination deserves exacta consideration. Superfecta construction with On the Horizon and Allons Betta Lee adds value depth across supported configurations.
Race 9: Volatility suggests exotic focus over win-only plays. Exacta Donegal Moonshine-Rhum Saint Esprit represents algorithmic consensus. Trifecta construction with Celtic Pride and Feathers Road adds coverage for multiple outcome scenarios.
