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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $10,500
Win: 7. Bozaano (Confidence: 85%)🥉
Place: 5. Bella’s Charm (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 1. Ghostagain (Confidence: 55%)🥇
Alternative: 8. Game Maker (Confidence: 40%)🥈
AI: 1🥇-7🥉-2-4
Analyst Notes:
Form suggests the winner will likely emerge from the top selections. Bozaano was narrowly beaten as a favorite in the last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and holds solid claims here. Bella’s Charm is expected to press the pace. Ghostagain is returning from a 15-week break but has drawn the rails well. Game Maker has been in the money recently and should be considered for exotics.
Race 2 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $21,500
Win: 4. Angel I’m Not (Confidence: 80%)
Place: 9. Olympic Wings (Confidence: 65%)
Show: 2. Hollaback (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 8. Be Kozy (Confidence: 35%)
AI: 4-9-2-7
Analyst Notes:
Angel I’m Not is returning from a brief let-up and boasts outstanding form at this specific track, making her the key chance. Olympic Wings brings strong recent credentials and is a winner at the first outing of this preparation. Hollaback is in strong form with two wins recently and looks threatening. Be Kozy represents a sneaky chance at a price if the pace sets up correctly.
Race 3 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $12,800
Win: 5. Unpredictable Bay (Confidence: 70%)🥉
Place: 9. Otis Otis Otis (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 3. Collectorate (Confidence: 55%)🥈
Alternative: 1. My Two Aunt Joans (Confidence: 40%)
AI: 6-9-3🥈-5🥉
Analyst Notes:
It is hard to split the top picks in this claiming event. Unpredictable Bay commands respect despite a midfield finish last time out. Otis Otis Otis has two placings recently but was beaten easily in the last start; however, analysts see potential for a bounce back. Collectorate is a real threat returning from a six-week break. My Two Aunt Joans draws well to do no work and could upset if the leaders tire.
Race 4 – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $15,400
Win: 6. Reno Touch (Confidence: 65%)
Place: 7. Chipotle Pepper (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 8. American Of Course (Confidence: 55%)
Alternative: 4. Countryclub Couple (Confidence: 45%)
AI: 7-8-3🥈-6
Analyst Notes:
This appears to be a close contest. Reno Touch is coming off a win at Mahoning Valley and has solid claims to repeat. Chipotle Pepper resumes after a 10-week break but has won previously as a favorite. American Of Course has been running consistently well this campaign, winning twice, and is considered the real danger in the race. Countryclub Couple finished in the money last start and should be considered.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $31,800 WIN
Win: 8. Sammy’s Halo (Confidence: 75%)🥇
Place: 12. Dr Spirito (Confidence: 55%)
Show: 9. Dream Boy (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 1. Shallowbrook (Confidence: 30%)
Analyst Notes:
Sammy’s Halo has been amongst the placegetters recently and has solid claims in a field where there isn’t a lot separating the top contenders. Dr Spirito is expected to be prominent early. Dream Boy has placed twice in three runs this prep and should be right in the mix. Shallowbrook is an intriguing longshot who could shake things up if ready on debut.
Race 6 – Claiming – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Dirt – Purse $11,100
Win: 4. Gamboling Ghost (Confidence: 70%)
Place: 9. Supply Chain (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 5. Runaway Harry (Confidence: 55%)
Alternative: 3. Not Yet Charlie (Confidence: 35%)
AI: 4-8-11-6🥉
Analyst Notes:
Gamboling Ghost has won once this prep and is trying this distance for the first time, but Pick Pony analysts view this entrant as a genuine contender. Supply Chain runs well at Mahoning Valley and is well-placed here. Runaway Harry enters in top form and should remain a key presence throughout. Not Yet Charlie has outstanding form at this track and should be included in wider exotics.
Race 7 – Claiming – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse $21,500
Win: 9. Raven Moon (Confidence: 60%)
Place: 1. Oaks Honey (Confidence: 55%)
Show: 3. Derby Included (Confidence: 50%)🥈
Alternative: 5. Watchoutforweaver (Confidence: 45%)
AI: 7🥇-6-3🥈-9
Analyst Notes:
Raven Moon finished in the money last start and has previous winning form, making for a strong chance. Oaks Honey is a last-start winner at Mahoning Valley and is considered testing material despite the rise in journey. Derby Included is expected to challenge strongly. Watchoutforweaver returns from a six-week let-up and could threaten if fresh.
Race 8 – Claiming – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse $14,900 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 3. Kykeon (Confidence: 75%)🥈
Place: 6. Dark Baron (Confidence: 60%)🥇
Show: 8. Streamsong (Confidence: 55%)
Alternative: 7. Roundball Rock (Confidence: 40%)
AI: 3🥈-7-6🥇-10
Analyst Notes:
Kykeon has placed twice recently and ran second at Mahoning Valley last start; this entrant is the consensus favorite to break through. Dark Baron has five placings this prep and is hard to hold out. Streamsong is in strong form with two wins this campaign but ran back in the field last start. Roundball Rock can figure if the pace allows for a closer.
Race 9 – Allowance – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse $35,100 WIN
Win: 1. Electric Melody (Confidence: 65%)🥇
Place: 2. Laketown Elly (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 5. Illuminate (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 4. Compute This (Confidence: 45%)🥈
AI: 2-4🥈-5-1🥇
Analyst Notes:
Electric Melody is a track specialist winning twice at Mahoning Valley and should run fitter for past attempts. Laketown Elly is looking for a hat trick after winning two in a row and is one of the top picks of the day. Illuminate is in strong form and moving up in journey. Compute This has placed recently and remains an outside hope.
Race 10 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse $31,800
Win: 2. Hello Evelyn (Confidence: 80%)🥉
Place: 4. Ebony’s Secret (Confidence: 65%)🥇
Show: 1. Raven’s Honor (Confidence: 45%)
Alternative: 3. Say Saw (Confidence: 40%)🥈
AI: 2🥉-4🥇-5-1
Analyst Notes:
Hello Evelyn has three placings from four runs this prep and ran second last start; analysts believe she will take a power of beating. Ebony’s Secret has been consistent with five placings recently. Raven’s Honor represents value and has shown improvement. Say Saw is a newcomer rumored to be working well and could be a factor.
Recommended Exotic Bets & Value Plays
Value Plays
- Race 2: 8. Be Kozy (15-1) – Several analysts noted this horse as a “sneaky chance” capable of surprising if the race shape allows.
- Race 5: 1. Shallowbrook (12-1) – Identified as a “watch out for” horse and a potential upsetter on debut.
- Race 6: 2. Firewater Jake (12-1) – Highlighted as a credible longshot if the tempo suits the closers.
Pick 3 Strategy (Races 8-10)
- Leg 1 (Race 8): 3. Kykeon / 6. Dark Baron
- Leg 2 (Race 9): 1. Electric Melody / 2. Laketown Elly
- Leg 3 (Race 10): 2. Hello Evelyn (Single)
Daily Double (Races 1 & 2)
- Leg 1: 7. Bozaano
- Leg 2: 4. Angel I’m Not / 9. Olympic Wings
