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Race 1 – Claiming – 6F
Win: 1 – No More Ding Dongs (100%)
Place: 4 – Dirty Words (50%)
Show: 3 – Bet The Om (33%)
Alternative: 5 – Last Call Paul (33%)
Race Notes: Multiple analysts favor No More Ding Dongs with strong recent form demonstrating superiority in the field. Dirty Words provides a legitimate win alternative for exacta box construction. Close battle expected among top contenders with room for pace-related surprises.
Race 2 – Starter Allowance – 1214Y
Win: 3 – The Big Cheeseola (100%)
Place: 6 – Distant Fleet (67%)
Show: 8 – Grazen Sun (33%)
Alternative: 1 – My Dominator (33%)
Race Notes: Consensus heavily favors The Big Cheeseola across all sources. Distant Fleet’s track specialist status strengthens place chances significantly. Grazen Sun benefits from getting back to preferred distance after lengthy campaign. Expect strong pace bias to influence closing runners.
Race 3 – Claiming – 8F
Win: 5 – Doo Wop Don (67%)
Place: 4 – Resemblance (33%)
Show: 8 – Please Focus (33%)
Alternative: 2 – Speed Grazy (33%)
Race Notes: Doo Wop Don receives strong consensus support with stretch-out to preferred distance providing key advantage. Resemblance exits career-best form earning strong Beyer figure. Please Focus offers value alternative for exacta construction. Twelve-time winner status elevates Doo Wop Don credentials.
Race 4 – Claiming – 1214Y
Win: 1 – How Lovely (67%)
Place: 3 – Eltonsingsanother (67%)
Show: 4 – Petite Treat (33%)
Alternative: 6 – Saint Mihiel (33%)
Race Notes: How Lovely receives strong consensus despite dirt debut; sire pedigree supports successful transition. Eltonsingsanother gate-to-wire winner at this distance provides viable second choice. Class drop from allowance company to claiming level represents attractive setup for How Lovely. Pedigree favors both frontrunners in route testing.
Race 5 – Maiden Claiming – 8F
Win: 8 – What A Gift (67%)
Place: 5 – Voucher (33%)
Show: 6 – Mr. Tariff (67%)
Alternative: 9 – My Favorite Felon (33%)
Race Notes: What A Gift consensus pick with proven placement form moving to main track routing. My Favorite Felon debuts but trainer demonstrates solid record with maiden claiming debut runners. Value opportunities exist for closing runners capitalizing on early pace. Main track routing experience provides advantage.
Race 6 – Maiden Claiming – 1105Y
Win: 7 – Dixie’s Delight (67%)
Place: 5 – Subtle Knowledge (67%)
Show: 2 – Que Bella Luna (33%)
Alternative: 4 – Surfin Candy (33%)
Race Notes: Dixie’s Delight receives strong consensus with multiple placing efforts demonstrating competitive form. Subtle Knowledge shows form diversity across sources. Que Bella Luna offers quality alternative after strong return from layoff. Short sprint distance favors early speed applicants. Multiple placers suggest deep field strength.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming – 1105Y
Win: 1 – Grainne O’Malley (67%)
Place: 3 – Free Nomination (33%)
Show: 7 – Going Great Guns (33%)
Alternative: 9 – Jager Angel (33%)
Race Notes: Grainne O’Malley receives majority consensus support in claim spot demonstrating trainer confidence. Recent back-to-back bullets from Going Great Guns indicate readiness breakthrough. Free Nomination comeback possibility cannot be ignored despite recent struggles. Maiden claiming field shows weakness suggesting modest form requirements for victory.
Race 8 – Los Alamitos Futurity – Grade 2 – 8F 110Y – $200,000
Win: 3 – Litmus Test (67%)
Place: 4 – Blacksmith (33%)
Show: 2 – Provenance (33%)
Alternative: 1 – Acknowledgemeplz (33%)
Race Notes: Litmus Test consensus favorite with highest Beyers and most experience among field. Three Baffert representatives provide stable form with track affinity. Captivator gained valuable experience as pace factor in previous efforts. Route testing favors distance-oriented pedigrees with solid conditioning. Juvenile development evident throughout field.
Race 9 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1433Y
Win: 1 – The Gypsy Cowboy (67%)
Place: 3 – Horizon Wildcat (33%)
Show: 8 – Last Call Zondlo (33%)
Alternative: 6 – Got Soul (33%)
Race Notes: The Gypsy Cowboy consensus with sprint return positioning key advantage. Horizon Wildcat demonstrates top form with career-best figures suggesting readiness. Got Soul back from extended layoff but remains viable contention through placement angles. Distance transition consideration important with route specialists carrying weight advantage.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1: Exacta boxes around No More Ding Dongs with Dirty Words and Bet The Om provide strong coverage. Use Last Call Paul as fourth alternative.
Race 2: The Big Cheeseola heavy favorite suggests straight exacta payoffs over Distant Fleet and Grazen Sun alternatives.
Race 3: Doo Wop Don exacta over Resemblance for first choice; secondary plays include Speed Grazy alternatives.
Race 4: How Lovely-Eltonsingsanother exacta provides consensus alignment. Saint Mihiel trifecta alternative strengthens coverage.
Race 5: What A Gift-Voucher exacta base with Mr. Tariff trifecta key. My Favorite Felon provides maiden value alternative.
Race 6: Dixie’s Delight-Subtle Knowledge exacta represents dual consensus choices. Que Bella Luna trifecta coverage warranted.
Race 7: Grainne O’Malley play favored but field weakness suggests multiple alternatives. Free Nomination exacta back provides secondary angle.
Race 8: Grade 2 stakes race warrants multi-leg approach. Litmus Test exacta over Baffert alternatives offers key coverage.
Race 9: The Gypsy Cowboy-Horizon Wildcat exacta represents consensus. Got Soul placement angle provides trifecta value.
Value Play Observations
Pick Pony analysts identify several value opportunities across the card. Doo Wop Don in Race 3 represents stretch-out value with proven distance preference. Grainne O’Malley in Race 7 offers maiden claiming value in competitive group. Que Bella Luna in Race 6 provides layoff return value following strong performance. What A Gift in Race 5 demonstrates consistency across expert sources despite modest morning line odds.
Distance transitions prove key across multiple races. The Big Cheeseola track specialist status in Race 2 suggests strong probability. Going Great Guns in Race 7 shows recent training bullets indicating readiness breakthrough despite career struggles.
Maiden racing requires selective approach given field depth, particularly in Races 5, 6, and 7. First-time starters with trainer credentials merit consideration despite odds elevation, specifically My Favorite Felon with successful debut record.
Grade 2 Los Alamitos Futurity demands quality focus with pedigree emphasis. Three Baffert representatives provide stable form consistency warranting multiple-leg coverage.
