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Race 1 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $38,000 Purse BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Master Of Arms #5 (100% confidence)🥈
Place: Ten Cent Town #7 (75% confidence)🥇Show: In Sky We Trust #1 (50% confidence)Alternative: Grouch #2 (25% confidence)🥉
Master Of Arms shows dominant support across all handicappers with universal agreement as the top selection. The gelding was recently claimed for $16,000 and won impressively last start, suggesting connections see significant upside. Ten Cent Town returns from a nine-week layoff following a disappointing effort but has been freshened and drops in class. The claiming price structure indicates an aggressive placement by connections looking to turn a quick profit. In Sky We Trust demonstrates consistency with solid form throughout this campaign. Track specialist angles favor horses with recent local success.
Race 2 – Allowance, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $88,000 Purse WIN ($7.54)
Win: Floodlites #1 (62% confidence)🥇
Place: Sacrosanct #6 (62% confidence)
Show: Trust Fund #2 (50% confidence)🥉
Alternative: Ranger Battalion #5 (50% confidence)
A competitive allowance race with no clear consensus favorite creates wagering opportunities. Floodlites returns from an eight-week layoff following a Keeneland victory and represents Wesley Ward’s powerful barn. Sacrosanct resumes after 41 weeks away but previously won all races when favored, suggesting sharp form when ready. Trust Fund shows strong early speed patterns and letup angle with Todd Pletcher training. Ranger Battalion demonstrates remarkable consistency with multiple placings throughout this campaign and thrives at this distance. The wide-open nature of this race suggests spreading in exotic wagers rather than singling.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Crossingthechannel #3 (86% confidence)🥈
Place: Iron Honor #2 (57% confidence)🥇
Show: Right To Party #7 (43% confidence)🥉
Alternative: Marble Hall #4 (29% confidence)
Crossingthechannel commands strong consensus support despite being a first-time starter, reflecting confidence in connections and pedigree. The Michael Trombetta trainee shows encouraging workouts suggesting readiness. Iron Honor represents Chad Brown’s powerful maiden operation with Manuel Franco aboard, always a respected combination. Right To Party comes from Kenneth McPeek barn and draws first-time starter attention. Several debut runners create uncertainty but also potential value given limited form. Workouts and morning line movements will be crucial indicators before post time.
Race 4 – Starter Allowance, 6 Furlongs, Dirt
Win: Social Hour #2 (86% confidence)🥈
Place: Sir Kartrite #5 (57% confidence)
Show: Coffee Talk #3 (43% confidence)🥉
Alternative: New York Scrappy #1 (29% confidence)
Social Hour attracts dominant support following back-to-back victories at Aqueduct demonstrating track specialization. The gelding has found ideal footing at this level and distance combination. Sir Kartrite shows consistent efforts with multiple strong performances this campaign. Coffee Talk disappointed as favorite last start but returns to a surface that has previously yielded success. The starter allowance condition creates a competitive field of horses dropping from higher claiming levels. Recent form cycles and track biases will influence the outcome significantly.
Race 5 – Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, $33,000 Purse
Win: Flat On #5 (71% confidence)🥉
Place: Enduring Spirit #6 (57% confidence)
Show: Saratoga Warrior #1 (43% confidence)
Alternative: Confabulation #4 (43% confidence)🥈
Flat On emerges as consensus choice following recent claim by Linda Rice stable and strong form this preparation including multiple placings. The mare was recently claimed for $17,500 and runs back quickly at the same level suggesting connections see immediate opportunity. Enduring Spirit shows consistent placing efforts at this claiming level with solid trip notes. The one-mile distance creates pace dynamics that favor closers and tactical speed types. Several horses return from layoffs creating form uncertainty that could produce value plays.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 6.5 Furlongs, Dirt
Win: Liberty’s Advance #2 (86% confidence)
Place: Tuthilltown #1 (57% confidence)🥉
Show: Hire The Hat #9 (29% confidence)🥈
Alternative: Boiling Point #6 (29% confidence)
Liberty’s Advance demonstrates strong consensus support despite mixed surface results, having finished second in recent Aqueduct effort on off track. The Charlton Baker trainee with Joel Rosario aboard represents quality connections. Tuthilltown returns from spell showing strong debut effort when narrowly beaten at Belmont. The Rodolphe Brisset trainee switches surfaces which could enhance performance. This appears a particularly strong maiden field with several horses showing legitimate winning credentials based on speed figures and pedigree. Morning workouts and paddock appearance will provide final clues about readiness.
Race 7 – Go For Wand Stakes, 1 Mile, Dirt, $150,000 Purse (Grade 3) WIN + EXACTA
Win: Weigh The Risks #3 (86% confidence)🥇
Place: Scalable #2 (71% confidence)🥈
Show: Stonewall Star #6 (71% confidence)Alternative: Tipple #1 (29% confidence)
Weigh The Risks commands overwhelming support seeking a hat trick following victories at Aqueduct and Saratoga. The Chad Brown trainee with Manuel Franco shows dominant form including a recent Pumpkin Pie Stakes victory. Scalable brings solid backclass with recent placing in stakes company for Todd Pletcher barn. Stonewall Star returns from layoff having placed in previous local stakes but struggled against open company in prior campaigns. The featured Go For Wand Stakes honors the Hall of Fame mare and attracts a quality field of fillies and mares. Track condition could influence the pace dynamics significantly given the one-turn mile configuration.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, $88,000 Purse WIN
Win: Collect The Data #5 (86% confidence)🥇
Place: Broadway Lights #3 (43% confidence)Show: Filly Freedom #6 (43% confidence)Alternative: Save Us Melania #1 (43% confidence)🥉
Collect The Data shows dominant support following strong current form including two wins and a placing since returning from layoff. The Chad Brown trainee demonstrates consistency that typically carries forward in these allowance spots. Broadway Lights returns from 10-week layoff following recent claim by Joe Sharp stable. Save Us Melania shows strong layoff patterns with quality performances when fresh. Filly Freedom moves into open company following allowance success but faces class test. The allowance optional claiming structure creates competitive dynamics with multiple legitimate contenders. Pace scenario appears favorable for tactical speed types.
Race 9 – Allowance, 7 Furlongs, Dirt WIN ($6.72)
Win: Princess Becca #5 (57% confidence)🥇
Place: Capital Gal #8 (57% confidence)
Show: She’s Grand #4 (57% confidence)🥈
Alternative: Dorth’s Sol Dancer #1 (29% confidence)
The most competitive race on the card features three horses with equal support creating significant wagering challenges. Princess Becca returns from layoff having finished close-up in recent Belmont effort suggesting fitness. Capital Gal demonstrates remarkable consistency with four placings from five starts this preparation. She’s Grand brings impressive credentials from Finger Lakes winning streak including victories when favored. The equal distribution of support indicates a wide-open allowance race where any of the top three could prevail. Pace dynamics and post position advantages will likely determine the outcome. Trip handicapping becomes crucial in this evenly-matched field.
Exotic Wagers and Value Plays by Race
Race 1
Pick Pony analysts recommend keying Master Of Arms #5 on top in exactas and trifectas given the overwhelming consensus support. The gelding was recently claimed for $16,000 and won impressively last start, suggesting connections see significant upside. Consider boxing the top three selections (Master Of Arms, Ten Cent Town, In Sky We Trust) for trifecta coverage at reasonable odds. A straight exacta of 5-7 offers solid value given both horses’ recent form patterns. For deeper exotics, include Grouch #2 as a saver given the trainer’s strong record with this claiming level.
Race 2
Pick Pony analysts suggest utilizing all four consensus selections in Pick 3 and Pick 4 sequences given the competitive nature. A trifecta box of Floodlites #1, Sacrosanct #6, and Trust Fund #2 captures the top vote-getters at reasonable cost. Consider Ranger Battalion #5 as a must-use in multi-race wagers given the strong support from multiple handicappers. The divided opinion creates potential overlay opportunities on longer prices.
Race 3
Pick Pony analysts recommend keying Crossingthechannel #3 on top in vertical wagers given the overwhelming consensus. Spread underneath in trifectas using Iron Honor #2, Right To Party #7, and Marble Hall #4 to capture the likely placing combinations. First-time starters create unpredictability suggesting defensive wagering strategies. Consider a straight exacta 3-2 as the most likely outcome based on handicapper support and trainer patterns.
Race 4
Pick Pony analysts suggest confident wagering behind Social Hour #2 given the near-universal support and current form trajectory. Key the top selection in exactas over Sir Kartrite #5, Coffee Talk #3, and New York Scrappy #1 for solid exotic coverage. Consider a straight win bet on Social Hour given the strong consensus and favorable pace scenario. The two-win streak creates momentum that often extends in these conditions.
Race 5
Pick Pony analysts recommend using multiple horses in this competitive claiming event given the divided opinions. Box Flat On #5, Enduring Spirit #6, Confabulation #4, and Awesome Empire #8 in trifectas to capture various scenarios. Consider Flat On as a key horse in multi-race sequences given the strongest consensus support. The quick turnaround following the recent claim suggests sharp trainer confidence. Superfecta coverage including Saratoga Warrior #1 provides deeper exotic value.
Race 6
Pick Pony analysts suggest focusing on the top two selections given their strong support and form credentials. Exacta and trifecta plays should revolve around Liberty’s Advance #2 and Tuthilltown #1 in both directions. Include Hire The Hat #9 and Boiling Point #6 for deeper coverage given reasonable support from handicappers. The quality maiden field suggests competitive odds that could produce solid exotic payoffs. Consider Liberty’s Advance for confident win wagering given the dominant consensus.
Race 7
Pick Pony analysts identify Weigh The Risks #3 as a strong single in multi-race wagers given the dominant consensus and current form cycle. For race-specific exotics, box the top three selections (Weigh The Risks, Scalable, Stonewall Star) in exactas and trifectas to capture the most likely outcomes. The competitive nature beneath the favorite suggests spreading in trifectas and superfectas. Consider Weigh The Risks for win wagering despite likely short odds given the strong form advantage. The Brown-Franco combination excels in these spot plays.
Race 8
Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing on Collect The Data #5 as the primary selection given near-universal support and strong current form. Spread underneath in exactas using Broadway Lights #3, Filly Freedom #6, and Save Us Melania #1 to capture placing combinations. The divided opinion on second through fourth positions creates exotic value opportunities. Consider Collect The Data for win wagering given the clear consensus and favorable pace matchup. Multi-race sequences should include multiple horses given the competitive nature beneath the favorite.
Race 9
Pick Pony analysts recommend spreading across all three consensus selections given the equal support levels. Trifecta boxes using Princess Becca #5, Capital Gal #8, and She’s Grand #4 provide solid coverage at reasonable cost. Consider all three in multi-race sequences as the competitive nature makes singling extremely risky. Include Dorth’s Sol Dancer #1 in superfectas for deeper value given the wide-open nature. The equal confidence levels suggest potential overlay opportunities depending on public betting patterns. Defensive wagering strategies are advisable given the lack of clear consensus favorite.
