Aquaduct April 13 DATE, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 16, 2025, 12:22 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Light The Way (5/2)
Place:1 - J D Factor (8/5)
Show:3 - Hatch (15/1)
Other contenders:6 - Dylan'S Ruby (7/2), 5 - Derbyness (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Prince Valiant (8/5)
Place:1 - National Identity (6/5)
Show:5 - In The Chase (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Frizzante (7/2)
Place:5 - Glint (7/5)
Show:2 - Pirate (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Hoku (15/1), 3 - Chileno (7/5)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Nikki Brainburst (8/5)
Place:2 - Sunset Park (3/1)
Show:7 - Spun Size (7/2)
Other contenders:6 - Observer (7/2), 3 - Lady Of Mercia (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Paxsational (12/1)
Place:6 - Winit (9/5)
Show:5 - Augustine Red (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Stolen Base (5/1), 2 - Dr. Kraft (5/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Blue Suede Sue (7/2)
Place:4 - Good Mission (9/2)
Show:3 - Shock (15/1)
Other contenders:8 - Malibu'S Dynamite (10/1), 6 - Eddie Marie (6/1), 5 - Posse Rocks (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Unlimitedpotential (3/1)
Place:1 - Smile Mon (6/1)
Show:7 - Runnin' Ray (2/1)
Other contenders:9 - Skylander (5/2), 2 - Chelonian (10/1), 4 - Fromanothamutha (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Forever To Go (6/1)
Place:1 - Bam'S Bliss Kiss (7/2)
Show:8 - Disco Star (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Howling Wind (12/1), 10 - Royal Event (20/1), 5 - Storm Changer (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Light The Way (5/2)
Place:1 - J D Factor (8/5)
Show:6 - Dylan'S Ruby (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Hatch (15/1), 5 - Derbyness (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Prince Valiant (8/5)
Place:1 - National Identity (6/5)
Show:4 - Soontobeking (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Frizzante (7/2)
Place:2 - Pirate (6/1)
Show:5 - Glint (7/5)
Other contenders:7 - Hoku (15/1), 3 - Chileno (7/5)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Nikki Brainburst (8/5)
Place:7 - Spun Size (7/2)
Show:6 - Observer (7/2)
Other contenders:2 - Sunset Park (3/1), 3 - Lady Of Mercia (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Paxsational (12/1)
Place:6 - Winit (9/5)
Show:5 - Augustine Red (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Dr. Kraft (5/1), 7 - Stolen Base (5/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Blue Suede Sue (7/2)
Place:4 - Good Mission (9/2)
Show:3 - Shock (15/1)
Other contenders:8 - Malibu'S Dynamite (10/1), 6 - Eddie Marie (6/1), 5 - Posse Rocks (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Unlimitedpotential (3/1)
Place:1 - Smile Mon (6/1)
Show:7 - Runnin' Ray (2/1)
Other contenders:9 - Skylander (5/2), 2 - Chelonian (10/1), 4 - Fromanothamutha (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Forever To Go (6/1)
Place:1 - Bam'S Bliss Kiss (7/2)
Show:8 - Disco Star (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Howling Wind (12/1), 5 - Storm Changer (10/1), 10 - Royal Event (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Light The Way (5/2)
Place:3 - Hatch (15/1)
Show:1 - J D Factor (8/5)
Other contenders:6 - Dylan'S Ruby (7/2), 5 - Derbyness (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Prince Valiant (8/5)
Place:1 - National Identity (6/5)
Show:5 - In The Chase (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Frizzante (7/2)
Place:2 - Pirate (6/1)
Show:7 - Hoku (15/1)
Other contenders:5 - Glint (7/5), 3 - Chileno (7/5)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Nikki Brainburst (8/5)
Place:7 - Spun Size (7/2)
Show:6 - Observer (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Lady Of Mercia (12/1), 2 - Sunset Park (3/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Paxsational (12/1)
Place:6 - Winit (9/5)
Show:5 - Augustine Red (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Dr. Kraft (5/1), 7 - Stolen Base (5/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Blue Suede Sue (7/2)
Place:4 - Good Mission (9/2)
Show:3 - Shock (15/1)
Other contenders:8 - Malibu'S Dynamite (10/1), 6 - Eddie Marie (6/1), 5 - Posse Rocks (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Unlimitedpotential (3/1)
Place:1 - Smile Mon (6/1)
Show:2 - Chelonian (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Runnin' Ray (2/1), 4 - Fromanothamutha (12/1), 9 - Skylander (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Forever To Go (6/1)
Place:1 - Bam'S Bliss Kiss (7/2)
Show:8 - Disco Star (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Howling Wind (12/1), 5 - Storm Changer (10/1), 4 - Princess Mischief (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AUGUSTINE REDBAM'S BLISS KISSBLUE SUEDE SUEBOLD ENDEAVORCENTAVO
CHELONIANCHILENODECREE AND DECLAREDERBYNESSDISCO STAR
DYLAN'S RUBYEDDIE MARIEFEDUPWITHTHEFEDFOREVER TO GOFRIZZANTE
GLINTGLOBAL CHARMERGOOD MISSIONHATCHHOKU
HUGGYI SEE YOU LOOKININ THE CHASEJ D FACTORJACKSON HEIGHTS
LAZY Y LEGACYLIGHT THE WAYMALARCHUKMALIBU'S DYNAMITEMIKEALICIOUS
NATIONAL IDENTITYNIKKI BRAINBURSTOBSERVERPAXSATIONALPIRATE
PRINCE VALIANTPRINCESS MISCHIEFPROFESSOR GRACEREADY TO ROMANCEROYAL EVENT
SHOCKSIGMUND'S DREAMSKYLANDERSMILE MONSOONTOBEKING
STOLEN BASESTORM CHANGERSUNSET PARKUNLIMITEDPOTENTIALWINIT