AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Charles Town August 22, 2025

AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here. Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our extensive article on betting and odds).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Suncroft (4/5)
Place: 5 – Prospective Love (6/1)
Show: 1 – Wildhunch (15/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Furreal (10/1), 6 – Maximillions Dream (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Lynn’S Milky Way (3/5)
Place: 4 – Amalfi Sunset (10/1)
Show: 2 – Notiptoni (15/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Kluvyameanandnasty (15/1), 1 – Dreamy Sonde (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Mor Mor Mor (7/2)
Place: 5 – Fine Whining (3/1)
Show: 7 – Pontiffany (30/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Seven Natty Patty (6/1), 6 – Charge Nurse (5/2), 9 – Flat Discount (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Wish On Juba (9/2)
Place: 1 – Sharpasadiamond (3/1)
Show: 6 – Gimmethatsugar (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Abolitionist (20/1), 7 – Mexicali Mike (12/1), 4 – Candy Man Can (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Maggie’S Girl (8/5)
Place: 5 – Petty Perfect (5/2)
Show: 1 – Juba’S Parade (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 1 – Felicias Cinco (20/1)
Place: 8 – Entice Me (9/5)
Show: 7 – Swift Waters (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Jack’S Aloha (15/1), 5 – Buzz Bunny (10/1), 12 – Megs Golden Boy (30/1), 9 – Super Mountaineers (12/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Thewitchisgone (20/1)
Place: 1 – Rocket Appeal (20/1)
Show: 5 – Youthinkthatsfunny (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Honeyquist (3/1), 8 – Duncan Idaho (4/5), 3 – Penguin Power (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Vahva (3/5)
Place: 4 – Mystic Lake (8/5)
Show: 3 – Free Like A Girl (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 8 – Gunmetal (4/1)
Place: 2 – Tres Coronas (5/1)
Show: 3 – Neoequos (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Cool Cowboy (20/1), 1 – Faster Gator (6/1), 7 – Owen Almighty (5/2)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Indy Bay (5/2)
Place: 7 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Show: 10 – Volleyballprincess (15/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Not Too Late (20/1), 4 – Andrea (12/1), 3 – Top (12/1)
 
Race 11
Win: 2 – Awesome Aaron (10/1)
Place: 1 – Banishing (7/2)
Show: 4 – Skippylongstocking (7/5)
Other contenders: 5 – Komorebino Omoide (10/1), 3 – Alexander Helios (12/1), 7 – Willy D’S (3/1)
 
Race 12
Win: 4 – Overnight Pow Wow (3/5)
Place: 6 – Over The Bull (15/1)
Show: 1 – Moonlit Kiss (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Marilyn Moonroe (9/2), 9 – Stryda (15/1), 5 – Castle Toy (30/1)
 
Race 13
Win: 5 – Pascaline (5/2)
Place: 9 – Teachintherelease (3/1)
Show: 8 – Judgement Day (15/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Juba’S Hat Trick (15/1), 2 – Espresso (20/1), 7 – Social Chic (5/1), 11 – No Change (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Suncroft (4/5)
Place: 1 – Wildhunch (15/1)
Show: 5 – Prospective Love (6/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Furreal (10/1), 3 – Time To Rock (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Lynn’S Milky Way (3/5)
Place: 4 – Amalfi Sunset (10/1)
Show: 2 – Notiptoni (15/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Kluvyameanandnasty (15/1), 1 – Dreamy Sonde (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Mor Mor Mor (7/2)
Place: 5 – Fine Whining (3/1)
Show: 3 – Seven Natty Patty (6/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Pontiffany (30/1), 6 – Charge Nurse (5/2), 9 – Flat Discount (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Wish On Juba (9/2)
Place: 1 – Sharpasadiamond (3/1)
Show: 6 – Gimmethatsugar (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Abolitionist (20/1), 7 – Mexicali Mike (12/1), 4 – Candy Man Can (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Maggie’S Girl (8/5)
Place: 5 – Petty Perfect (5/2)
Show: 1 – Juba’S Parade (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – Entice Me (9/5)
Place: 1 – Felicias Cinco (20/1)
Show: 7 – Swift Waters (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Buzz Bunny (10/1), 3 – Jack’S Aloha (15/1), 9 – Super Mountaineers (12/1), 12 – Megs Golden Boy (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Thewitchisgone (20/1)
Place: 1 – Rocket Appeal (20/1)
Show: 5 – Youthinkthatsfunny (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Honeyquist (3/1), 8 – Duncan Idaho (4/5), 3 – Penguin Power (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Vahva (3/5)
Place: 4 – Mystic Lake (8/5)
Show: 3 – Free Like A Girl (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 8 – Gunmetal (4/1)
Place: 2 – Tres Coronas (5/1)
Show: 1 – Faster Gator (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Neoequos (7/2), 4 – Cool Cowboy (20/1), 7 – Owen Almighty (5/2)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Indy Bay (5/2)
Place: 7 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Show: 10 – Volleyballprincess (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Andrea (12/1), 2 – Not Too Late (20/1), 3 – Top (12/1)
 
Race 11
Win: 1 – Banishing (7/2)
Place: 2 – Awesome Aaron (10/1)
Show: 4 – Skippylongstocking (7/5)
Other contenders: 5 – Komorebino Omoide (10/1), 7 – Willy D’S (3/1), 3 – Alexander Helios (12/1)
 
Race 12
Win: 4 – Overnight Pow Wow (3/5)
Place: 6 – Over The Bull (15/1)
Show: 1 – Moonlit Kiss (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Marilyn Moonroe (9/2), 9 – Stryda (15/1), 5 – Castle Toy (30/1)
 
Race 13
Win: 5 – Pascaline (5/2)
Place: 9 – Teachintherelease (3/1)
Show: 8 – Judgement Day (15/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Juba’S Hat Trick (15/1), 7 – Social Chic (5/1), 2 – Espresso (20/1), 11 – No Change (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Suncroft (4/5)
Place: 5 – Prospective Love (6/1)
Show: 1 – Wildhunch (15/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Furreal (10/1), 3 – Time To Rock (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Lynn’S Milky Way (3/5)
Place: 4 – Amalfi Sunset (10/1)
Show: 2 – Notiptoni (15/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Kluvyameanandnasty (15/1), 7 – O K Smarty Pants (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Fine Whining (3/1)
Place: 4 – Mor Mor Mor (7/2)
Show: 3 – Seven Natty Patty (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Charge Nurse (5/2), 7 – Pontiffany (30/1), 9 – Flat Discount (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Wish On Juba (9/2)
Place: 1 – Sharpasadiamond (3/1)
Show: 6 – Gimmethatsugar (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Abolitionist (20/1), 7 – Mexicali Mike (12/1), 4 – Candy Man Can (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Maggie’S Girl (8/5)
Place: 5 – Petty Perfect (5/2)
Show: 1 – Juba’S Parade (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – Entice Me (9/5)
Place: 1 – Felicias Cinco (20/1)
Show: 7 – Swift Waters (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Buzz Bunny (10/1), 3 – Jack’S Aloha (15/1), 9 – Super Mountaineers (12/1), 12 – Megs Golden Boy (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Thewitchisgone (20/1)
Place: 1 – Rocket Appeal (20/1)
Show: 5 – Youthinkthatsfunny (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Honeyquist (3/1), 8 – Duncan Idaho (4/5), 2 – Little Roo Roo (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Vahva (3/5)
Place: 4 – Mystic Lake (8/5)
Show: 3 – Free Like A Girl (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 8 – Gunmetal (4/1)
Place: 2 – Tres Coronas (5/1)
Show: 5 – Can Do Andrew (15/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Faster Gator (6/1), 3 – Neoequos (7/2), 7 – Owen Almighty (5/2)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Indy Bay (5/2)
Place: 7 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Show: 10 – Volleyballprincess (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Andrea (12/1), 3 – Top (12/1), 2 – Not Too Late (20/1)
 
Race 11
Win: 1 – Banishing (7/2)
Place: 2 – Awesome Aaron (10/1)
Show: 4 – Skippylongstocking (7/5)
Other contenders: 5 – Komorebino Omoide (10/1), 7 – Willy D’S (3/1), 3 – Alexander Helios (12/1)
 
Race 12
Win: 4 – Overnight Pow Wow (3/5)
Place: 6 – Over The Bull (15/1)
Show: 1 – Moonlit Kiss (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Marilyn Moonroe (9/2), 9 – Stryda (15/1), 7 – Party Time For Me (10/1)
 
Race 13
Win: 5 – Pascaline (5/2)
Place: 9 – Teachintherelease (3/1)
Show: 8 – Judgement Day (15/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Juba’S Hat Trick (15/1), 2 – Espresso (20/1), 7 – Social Chic (5/1), 11 – No Change (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ABOLITIONIST ALEXANDER HELIOS AMALFI SUNSET ANDREA AWESOME AARON
BARBADIAN RUNNER BARSOOM BUZZ BUNNY CAN DO ANDREW CANDY MAN CAN
CATCH THE HUMOR CHARGE NURSE COAL COUNTRY COOL COWBOY DREAMY SONDE
EL LUCERITO ENTICE ME ESPRESSO FASTER GATOR FELICIAS CINCO
FINE WHINING FLAT DISCOUNT FORTUNATA ITALIA FREE LIKE A GIRL FURREAL
GIMMETHATSUGAR GOULD’S GOLD GUNMETAL HOLIDAY CASH HONEYQUIST
INDY BAY ISABELLA’S GLORY JACK’S ALOHA JEFFERSON NATIVE JLODIAMOND
JUBA’S PARADE JUDGEMENT DAY JUNGLE BOOGIE JUST A FAIR SHAKE KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY
LATE IN THE GAME LITTLE ROO ROO LUVUMORGAN LYNN’S MILKY WAY MAGGIE’S GIRL
MAXIMILLIONS DREAM MEGS GOLDEN BOY MEXICALI MIKE MISS BEE BOP MOONLIT KISS
MUAD’DIB MYSTIC LAKE NEOEQUOS NO BODY LIKES ME NO CHANGE
NOTIPTONI O K SMARTY PANTS ORIENTEER OVER THE BULL OVERNIGHT POW WOW
PARADISE CITY PARTY TIME FOR ME PASCALINE PENGUIN POWER PETTY PERFECT
PROSPECTIVE LOVE ROCKET APPEAL RUNALDO SAVE TIME SECRET FAITH
SHARPASADIAMOND SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING SMOOTH SAILOR SOCIAL CHIC STRYDA
SUPER MOUNTAINEERS SWIFT WATERS TEACHINTHERELEASE THE SKY IS FALLING THEWITCHISGONE
TOP TRADEMARK TRES CORONAS TRUE BLUE PEARL VAHVA
VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS WILDHUNCH WILLY D’S WISH ON JUBA XCELLENT START
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY ZIP START

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback