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AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Colonial Downs August 28, 2025

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AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here. Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our extensive article on betting and odds).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Serendipitymonday (6/1)
Place: 8 – Karma’S Inthehouse (5/1)
Show: 9 – Summerinthecountry (15/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Chimney Sweep (8/1)🥈, 1 – Falcon Blue (8/1)🥉, 3 – Then What Time (9/5)🥇
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Promaja (5/1)
Place: 1 – Lil Sweezey (3/1)
Show: 5 – Last Glance (6/1)
Other contenders: 7 – V Inspired (20/1)🥉, 2 – Spice Gal (10/1), 10 – Hermoso Momento (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Cuz Ur Pretty (9/5)🥉
Place: 4 – Gloriette (10/1)🥈
Show: 6 – Admiral Hopper (8/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Conquerthosewecan (9/2)🥇, 2 – Willow Bend (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Money’S Worth (6/1)🥇
Place: 5 – Ithinkiloveyou (3/1)🥉
Show: 8 – Lou Anna (20/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Air One (12/1), 3 – Midnight Mary (9/2)🥈, 7 – Share The Blessing (5/2)
 
Race 5 TOSS
Win: 1 – Pointillism (4/1)
Place: 2 – Rest Ashore (7/2)
Show: 3 – War Beach (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Inde Rose (30/1), 5 – Sensacali (20/1), 6 – Christmas Jones (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – She’S Honed In (8/5)
Place: 2 – My Lady Jbella (5/2)🥇
Show: 6 – Yeah Glo (15/1)🥉
Other contenders: 7 – Beautiful Emma (10/1), 4 – Top Down Day (15/1), 10 – Kelsey Hill Girl (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Princess Javoncia (4/1)🥇
Place: 2 – Mila Junes (6/1)
Show: 1 – Steam Knot (20/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Don’T Tell Deren (8/1), 7 – Don’T Tell Kelly (6/1), 4 – Saltamontes Diva (30/1), 6 – Gogo Chanel (7/2)🥈
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Coringa (9/2)
Place: 9 – Curly Larry And Mo (10/1)🥉
Show: 1 – Boppy O (7/2)🥈
Other contenders: 5 – Atlast (8/1), 3 – Eye Witness (30/1), 4 – Street Earnings (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 13 – Pleasant Fantasy (15/1)🥉
Place: 5 – Loyal Clement (30/1)
Show: 7 – Chris’S Revenge (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Clear Echo (20/1), 11 – Chill The J (3/1)🥇, 10 – American Wind (6/1), 6 – Bourbon Outlaw (7/2)🥈
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 50, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 700,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 8 – Karma’S Inthehouse (5/1)
Place: 7 – Serendipitymonday (6/1)
Show: 9 – Summerinthecountry (15/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Falcon Blue (8/1), 6 – Chimney Sweep (8/1), 3 – Then What Time (9/5)
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Promaja (5/1)
Place: 1 – Lil Sweezey (3/1)
Show: 5 – Last Glance (6/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Spice Gal (10/1), 7 – V Inspired (20/1), 4 – Happy This Day (4/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Cuz Ur Pretty (9/5)
Place: 1 – Conquerthosewecan (9/2)
Show: 4 – Gloriette (10/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Willow Bend (7/2), 6 – Admiral Hopper (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Money’S Worth (6/1)
Place: 7 – Share The Blessing (5/2)
Show: 5 – Ithinkiloveyou (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Midnight Mary (9/2), 1 – Air One (12/1), 8 – Lou Anna (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 1 – Pointillism (4/1)
Place: 2 – Rest Ashore (7/2)
Show: 3 – War Beach (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Inde Rose (30/1), 5 – Sensacali (20/1), 6 – Christmas Jones (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – She’S Honed In (8/5)
Place: 2 – My Lady Jbella (5/2)
Show: 6 – Yeah Glo (15/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Beautiful Emma (10/1), 4 – Top Down Day (15/1), 10 – Kelsey Hill Girl (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Princess Javoncia (4/1)
Place: 2 – Mila Junes (6/1)
Show: 7 – Don’T Tell Kelly (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Steam Knot (20/1), 5 – Don’T Tell Deren (8/1), 10 – Memphis Showboat (8/1), 11 – Timeless Rose (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Coringa (9/2)
Place: 9 – Curly Larry And Mo (10/1)
Show: 1 – Boppy O (7/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Mister Abarrio (4/1), 3 – Eye Witness (30/1), 4 – Street Earnings (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 13 – Pleasant Fantasy (15/1)
Place: 7 – Chris’S Revenge (4/1)
Show: 5 – Loyal Clement (30/1)
Other contenders: 11 – Chill The J (3/1), 1 – Clear Echo (20/1), 10 – American Wind (6/1), 6 – Bourbon Outlaw (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 8 – Karma’S Inthehouse (5/1)
Place: 7 – Serendipitymonday (6/1)
Show: 9 – Summerinthecountry (15/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Chimney Sweep (8/1), 1 – Falcon Blue (8/1), 3 – Then What Time (9/5)
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Promaja (5/1)
Place: 5 – Last Glance (6/1)
Show: 2 – Spice Gal (10/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Lil Sweezey (3/1), 7 – V Inspired (20/1), 10 – Hermoso Momento (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Cuz Ur Pretty (9/5)
Place: 1 – Conquerthosewecan (9/2)
Show: 2 – Willow Bend (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Gloriette (10/1), 6 – Admiral Hopper (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Money’S Worth (6/1)
Place: 7 – Share The Blessing (5/2)
Show: 1 – Air One (12/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Ithinkiloveyou (3/1), 3 – Midnight Mary (9/2), 6 – Youmakemecharlie (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 1 – Pointillism (4/1)
Place: 2 – Rest Ashore (7/2)
Show: 3 – War Beach (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Inde Rose (30/1), 5 – Sensacali (20/1), 6 – Christmas Jones (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – She’S Honed In (8/5)
Place: 2 – My Lady Jbella (5/2)
Show: 6 – Yeah Glo (15/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Top Down Day (15/1), 7 – Beautiful Emma (10/1), 10 – Kelsey Hill Girl (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Princess Javoncia (4/1)
Place: 2 – Mila Junes (6/1)
Show: 1 – Steam Knot (20/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Don’T Tell Kelly (6/1), 5 – Don’T Tell Deren (8/1), 10 – Memphis Showboat (8/1), 6 – Gogo Chanel (7/2)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Coringa (9/2)
Place: 9 – Curly Larry And Mo (10/1)
Show: 1 – Boppy O (7/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Mister Abarrio (4/1), 4 – Street Earnings (6/1), 3 – Eye Witness (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 13 – Pleasant Fantasy (15/1)
Place: 7 – Chris’S Revenge (4/1)
Show: 5 – Loyal Clement (30/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Clear Echo (20/1), 11 – Chill The J (3/1), 10 – American Wind (6/1), 6 – Bourbon Outlaw (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ADMIRAL HOPPER AIR ONE ALDENE AMERICAN WIND APOLAUSTIC
ATMIDNIGHT BEAUTIFUL EMMA BOPPY O BOURBON OUTLAW BYWAY
CAYUGA CHILL THE J CHIMNEY SWEEP CHRIS’S REVENGE CHRISTMAS JONES
CONQUERTHOSEWECAN CORINGA COSTA AMALFITANA CURLY LARRY AND MO CUZ UR PRETTY
DIAKONISSA DON’T JUDGE ME DON’T TELL DEREN DON’T TELL KELLY EYE WITNESS
FREEDOM PRINCIPLE GLORIETTE GOGO CHANEL HAPPY THIS DAY HERMOSO MOMENTO
INDE ROSE ITHINKILOVEYOU JUST FOR GIGGLES KARMA’S INTHEHOUSE KELSEY HILL GIRL
LIL SWEEZEY LORD DONEGAL LOU ANNA LOVE SAGA LOYAL CLEMENT
MIDNIGHT MARY MILA JUNES MIS BRUNELLAS MISTER ABARRIO MONEY’S WORTH
MY LADY JBELLA NANCY MAK NAPOLI ORA CERTA PASSAGE EAST
POINTILLISM PRINCESS GLADYS PRINCESS JAVONCIA PROMAJA RAR
SALTAMONTES DIVA SENSACALI SERENDIPITYMONDAY SHARE THE BLESSING SHE’S HONED IN
STARRY HOPE STEAM KNOT STREET EARNINGS SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY TAPIT KISSIT WINIT
TIMELESS ROSE TOP DOWN DAY V INSPIRED WAR BEACH WHERE’S CHARLIE
WORKING ON IT YEAH GLO YERCAN MARO YOUMAKEMECHARLIE ZAINO
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