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AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Colonial Downs August 30, 2025

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AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Wunderkind (8/1)
Place: 8 – Let Thesunshine In (9/5)
Show: 5 – In Fact Sheza Zask (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Serious Moment (30/1), 2 – Citified (9/2), 6 – Ballycurrin (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Noble Gem (12/1)
Place: 1 – Caddiemaster (6/5)
Show: 8 – Cynthia Gail (9/2)
Other contenders: 3 – The Coldest One (15/1), 4 – Nancie’S Boy (30/1), 2 – Dan D’Oro (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Louezza (20/1)
Place: 6 – Lady Faye (12/1)
Show: 3 – American Tapit (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Cooperation (7/5), 2 – Flighttown (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Practical Romance (9/5)
Place: 1 – Our Finest Hour (4/1)
Show: 6 – Endless Vow (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Feather Wish (8/1), 8 – Mille Mccall (20/1), 7 – Alice Fantastic (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 1 – Honest Al (7/2)
Place: 6 – Shepherd (3/1)
Show: 4 – Neon Nights (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Pagode (4/1), 3 – Beyond Best (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 10 – Candycrumbs (5/2)
Place: 3 – Contrivance (6/1)
Show: 1 – No Cents Non Cents (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Roommate Martin (15/1), 9 – Street Hockey (5/1), 6 – Mischief Exposed (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Hollywood Walk (9/5)
Place: 6 – Bosserati (5/2)
Show: 10 – Wiffletree Serry (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Noquestionaboutit (9/2), 9 – Chickahominy (10/1), 4 – Gastown Babe (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Whenigettoheaven (7/2)
Place: 8 – Determined Kingdom (8/5)
Show: 7 – Saxton (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Spirited Sol (30/1), 12 – Great Heavens (15/1), 10 – Going Up (8/1), 4 – Heavy Pour (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – Collected Dreams (30/1)
Place: 6 – Miyako (4/1)
Show: 1 – My Dear Antonia (15/1)
Other contenders: 3 – All Gas No Brakes (8/1), 5 – She’S A Swede (5/1), 2 – Sun Cross (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 50, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 700,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Wunderkind (8/1)
Place: 8 – Let Thesunshine In (9/5)
Show: 5 – In Fact Sheza Zask (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Serious Moment (30/1), 6 – Ballycurrin (5/1), 2 – Citified (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Noble Gem (12/1)
Place: 1 – Caddiemaster (6/5)
Show: 8 – Cynthia Gail (9/2)
Other contenders: 3 – The Coldest One (15/1), 4 – Nancie’S Boy (30/1), 2 – Dan D’Oro (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Louezza (20/1)
Place: 6 – Lady Faye (12/1)
Show: 3 – American Tapit (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Cooperation (7/5), 2 – Flighttown (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Our Finest Hour (4/1)
Place: 5 – Practical Romance (9/5)
Show: 6 – Endless Vow (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Feather Wish (8/1), 7 – Alice Fantastic (8/1), 9 – Ocean Rain (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 1 – Honest Al (7/2)
Place: 6 – Shepherd (3/1)
Show: 4 – Neon Nights (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Pagode (4/1), 3 – Beyond Best (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 10 – Candycrumbs (5/2)
Place: 1 – No Cents Non Cents (5/1)
Show: 3 – Contrivance (6/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Street Hockey (5/1), 4 – Roommate Martin (15/1), 6 – Mischief Exposed (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Hollywood Walk (9/5)
Place: 6 – Bosserati (5/2)
Show: 10 – Wiffletree Serry (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Noquestionaboutit (9/2), 9 – Chickahominy (10/1), 4 – Gastown Babe (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Whenigettoheaven (7/2)
Place: 7 – Saxton (6/1)
Show: 8 – Determined Kingdom (8/5)
Other contenders: 6 – Spirited Sol (30/1), 12 – Great Heavens (15/1), 10 – Going Up (8/1), 4 – Heavy Pour (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – Collected Dreams (30/1)
Place: 6 – Miyako (4/1)
Show: 1 – My Dear Antonia (15/1)
Other contenders: 3 – All Gas No Brakes (8/1), 5 – She’S A Swede (5/1), 2 – Sun Cross (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Wunderkind (8/1)
Place: 8 – Let Thesunshine In (9/5)
Show: 5 – In Fact Sheza Zask (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Serious Moment (30/1), 6 – Ballycurrin (5/1), 2 – Citified (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Noble Gem (12/1)
Place: 1 – Caddiemaster (6/5)
Show: 8 – Cynthia Gail (9/2)
Other contenders: 3 – The Coldest One (15/1), 4 – Nancie’S Boy (30/1), 2 – Dan D’Oro (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Louezza (20/1)
Place: 6 – Lady Faye (12/1)
Show: 3 – American Tapit (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Cooperation (7/5), 2 – Flighttown (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Our Finest Hour (4/1)
Place: 5 – Practical Romance (9/5)
Show: 6 – Endless Vow (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Feather Wish (8/1), 7 – Alice Fantastic (8/1), 9 – Ocean Rain (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 1 – Honest Al (7/2)
Place: 6 – Shepherd (3/1)
Show: 4 – Neon Nights (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Pagode (4/1), 3 – Beyond Best (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 10 – Candycrumbs (5/2)
Place: 1 – No Cents Non Cents (5/1)
Show: 3 – Contrivance (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Roommate Martin (15/1), 6 – Mischief Exposed (20/1), 9 – Street Hockey (5/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Hollywood Walk (9/5)
Place: 10 – Wiffletree Serry (12/1)
Show: 9 – Chickahominy (10/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Bosserati (5/2), 4 – Gastown Babe (12/1), 1 – Viscious Gossip (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Whenigettoheaven (7/2)
Place: 7 – Saxton (6/1)
Show: 8 – Determined Kingdom (8/5)
Other contenders: 6 – Spirited Sol (30/1), 10 – Going Up (8/1), 12 – Great Heavens (15/1), 4 – Heavy Pour (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – Collected Dreams (30/1)
Place: 1 – My Dear Antonia (15/1)
Show: 3 – All Gas No Brakes (8/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Miyako (4/1), 5 – She’S A Swede (5/1), 2 – Sun Cross (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ALICE FANTASTIC ALL GAS NO BRAKES ALWAYS A RYE AMERICAN TAPIT BALLYCURRIN
BOSSERATI BOURBON TIME BUTHESPRETTY CADDIEMASTER CANDYCRUMBS
CHICKAHOMINY CITIFIED COLLECTED DREAMS COMMON SENSE CONTRIVANCE
CUDDLER CYNTHIA GAIL DAN D’ORO DETERMINED KINGDOM EMBOLDEN
FEATHER WISH FLIGHTTOWN GASTOWN BABE GO TO BINGO GOING UP
HEAVY POUR HIT SONG HOLLYWOOD WALK HONEST AL HOOF AND BOOTS
IN FACT SHEZA ZASK LADY FAYE LADY TOURIST LET THESUNSHINE IN LITTLE LAMB CHOP
MILLE MCCALL MISCHIEF EXPOSED MISCHIEF MYSTERY MIYAKO MY DEAR ANTONIA
NANCIE’S BOY NEON NIGHTS NO CENTS NON CENTS NOBLE GEM NOQUESTIONABOUTIT
OUR FINEST HOUR PAGODE PRACTICAL ROMANCE RHAENYS ROOMMATE MARTIN
RULE SIXTY TWO SAXTON SERIOUS MOMENT SHE’S A SWEDE SHEPHERD
SPIRITED SOL STORMY FLIGHT STREET HOCKEY SUGAR BEE SUN CROSS
THE COLDEST ONE VIRGINIA FITZ VISCIOUS GOSSIP WHENIGETTOHEAVEN WIFFLETREE SERRY
YOU ROTTEN JOKER Z BOGDAN
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