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AI Algorithm Picks
Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used alongside our Past Performance reports to boost your handicapping. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Meet Me In The Air (7/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Belle Of The South (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Vanessa’S Wish (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mama Maritza N (30/1), 3 – Cawama (20/1), 7 – All Gravy Baby (20/1) |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Escape From Home (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Justin Smiles (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Polizon (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Gone Neo (8/1), 13 – David Pepperman (3/1), 4 – Universal Legend (15/1), 3 – Hard Talk (10/1) |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 8 – Swen (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Imapeppa (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Grand Jefe (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Don’T Answer (12/1), 3 – Sweet Cha Cha (5/2), 6 – Nature Boy (30/1) |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Pretty Liza (20/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Bottomless Mimosa (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Tree C’S Kai (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Taboo Mischief (5/1), 1 – Breezey Z (7/2) |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Cosmic Speculation (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Sultan The Great (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Reverend Moon (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rough Draft (8/1), 7 – Ensign Parker (12/1), 2 – Lee Ann’S Warrior (30/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Malbec (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Hammond (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Hamdoun (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jamalamadingdong (7/2), 6 – Pampero (20/1) |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Secret Bagent Man (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Bobby Bob (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Sugar Buzz (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Eton (6/1), 6 – Ragman (12/1) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Three Kingdoms (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Beijing Boss (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Babyback (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Fortunate Ryder (6/1), 5 – Sniper Jack (12/1), 6 – Commendatore (20/1) |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 2 – Madness (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Major King (10/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Kikilove (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bold Advance (5/2), 7 – Bold Looker (2/1) |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Candy Road (30/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Teddy Bear (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Express Lane (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Reagan’S Renegade (12/1), 11 – Don’T Go Astray (30/1), 1 – Itza Lock (3/1), 10 – After Party (6/1) |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500, |
Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Meet Me In The Air (7/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Vanessa’S Wish (5/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Belle Of The South (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mama Maritza N (30/1), 3 – Cawama (20/1), 7 – All Gravy Baby (20/1) |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Escape From Home (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Justin Smiles (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Polizon (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 13 – David Pepperman (3/1), 11 – Gone Neo (8/1), 4 – Universal Legend (15/1), 7 – Deep Star (9/2) |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Imapeppa (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Swen (12/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Grand Jefe (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Don’T Answer (12/1), 3 – Sweet Cha Cha (5/2), 7 – Sixteen Cigarettes (8/1) |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Pretty Liza (20/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Tree C’S Kai (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Bottomless Mimosa (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Taboo Mischief (5/1), 1 – Breezey Z (7/2) |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Cosmic Speculation (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Sultan The Great (2/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Rough Draft (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Ensign Parker (12/1), 5 – Reverend Moon (7/2), 2 – Lee Ann’S Warrior (30/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Malbec (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Hammond (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Hamdoun (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jamalamadingdong (7/2), 6 – Pampero (20/1) |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Secret Bagent Man (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Eton (6/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bobby Bob (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sugar Buzz (4/1), 6 – Ragman (12/1) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Three Kingdoms (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Beijing Boss (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Babyback (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Fortunate Ryder (6/1), 5 – Sniper Jack (12/1), 6 – Commendatore (20/1) |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 2 – Madness (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Major King (10/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Bold Advance (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kikilove (8/1), 7 – Bold Looker (2/1) |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Candy Road (30/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Teddy Bear (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Express Lane (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Reagan’S Renegade (12/1), 1 – Itza Lock (3/1), 10 – After Party (6/1), 11 – Don’T Go Astray (30/1) |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250, |
Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Meet Me In The Air (7/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Vanessa’S Wish (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Mama Maritza N (30/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Belle Of The South (3/1), 3 – Cawama (20/1), 7 – All Gravy Baby (20/1) |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Escape From Home (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Justin Smiles (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Polizon (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Gone Neo (8/1), 13 – David Pepperman (3/1), 3 – Hard Talk (10/1), 7 – Deep Star (9/2) |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Imapeppa (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Swen (12/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Grand Jefe (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Don’T Answer (12/1), 3 – Sweet Cha Cha (5/2), 7 – Sixteen Cigarettes (8/1) |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Pretty Liza (20/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Tree C’S Kai (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Bottomless Mimosa (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Taboo Mischief (5/1), 1 – Breezey Z (7/2) |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Cosmic Speculation (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Sultan The Great (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Ensign Parker (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rough Draft (8/1), 5 – Reverend Moon (7/2), 2 – Lee Ann’S Warrior (30/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Malbec (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Hammond (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Hamdoun (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jamalamadingdong (7/2), 6 – Pampero (20/1) |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Secret Bagent Man (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Bobby Bob (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Sugar Buzz (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Eton (6/1), 6 – Ragman (12/1) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Three Kingdoms (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Beijing Boss (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Babyback (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Fortunate Ryder (6/1), 5 – Sniper Jack (12/1), 6 – Commendatore (20/1) |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 2 – Madness (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Major King (10/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Kikilove (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bold Advance (5/2), 7 – Bold Looker (2/1) |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Candy Road (30/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Express Lane (6/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Teddy Bear (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Reagan’S Renegade (12/1), 1 – Itza Lock (3/1), 11 – Don’T Go Astray (30/1), 10 – After Party (6/1) |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30, |
Expert Picks
Individual Expert Picks
Ron Nicoletti
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Race 1: 5-8-6-2
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Race 2: 2-7-9-1
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Race 3: 2-5-7-8
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Race 4: 4-1-6-2
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Race 5: 3-8-5-1
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Race 6: 4-1-3-2
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Race 7: 5-2-3-6
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Race 8: 9-4-2-1
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Race 9: 7-2-6-1
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Race 10: 7-1-10-8
Brian Nadeau
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Race 1: 4-5-6-8
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Race 2: 1-9-7-3
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Race 3: 3-2-5-7
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Race 4: 4-1-2-6
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Race 5: 5-3-9-6
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Race 6: 4-1-3-7
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Race 7: 2-4-7-5
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Race 8: 9-7-2-3
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Race 9: 4-7-2-6
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Race 10: 1-7-9-5
Alfredo Alfonzo
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Race 1: 5-6-2-8
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Race 2: 1-7-9-2
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Race 3: 5-2-3-7
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Race 4: 4-2-1-5
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Race 5: 8-9-3-6
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Race 6: 1-4-2-3
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Race 7: 2-5-3-4
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Race 8: 9-2-7-1
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Race 9: 6-7-1-3
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Race 10: 1-7-8-3
Racing Dudes
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Race 1: 5 Meet Me in the Air
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Race 2: 9 Justin Smiles
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Race 3: 2 Imapeppa
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Race 4: 1 Breezey Z
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Race 5: 8 High Limit Room
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Race 6: 1 Hammond
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Race 7: 2 Tall Story
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Race 8: 9 Skellig Michael
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Race 9: 7 Bold Looker
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Race 10: 1 Itza Lock
Consensus Picks (Average of Main Experts)
Based on averaging the positional rankings from Ron Nicoletti, Brian Nadeau, and Alfredo Alfonzo:
| Race | Consensus Top 4 Picks |
|---|---|
| 1 | 4-5-6-8 |
| 2 | 1-7-2-9 |
| 3 | 2-5-3-7 |
| 4 | 4-1-2-6 |
| 5 | 8-3-5-9 |
| 6 | 4-1-3-2 |
| 7 | 2-5-3-4 |
| 8 | 9-4-7-2 |
| 9 | 4-7-2-6 |
| 10 | 1-7-10-9 |
Key Observations
Strong Consensus Picks:
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Race 4: All three main experts agree on #4 as their top pick
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Race 6: Strong agreement on #4 and #1 in top positions
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Race 8: Universal agreement on #9 as the top selection
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Race 10: #1 and #7 appear prominently across multiple expert selections
Race Entries
| AFTER PARTY | ALL GRAVY BABY | AMULETO | BABYBACK | BEIJING BOSS |
| BOBBY BOB | BOLD ADVANCE | BOLD LOOKER | BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA | BREEZEY Z |
| CAWAMA | CHAMPAGNE MELODY | CHIMUELO | COMMENDATORE | COSMIC SPECULATION |
| DEEP STAR | DON’T ANSWER | DON’T GO ASTRAY | ENSIGN PARKER | ESCAPE FROM HOME |
| EXPRESS LANE | FORTUNATE RYDER | GET READY TO ROCK | GOLD RULES | GONE NEO |
| HAMDOUN | HAMMOND | HARD TALK | HIGH LIMIT ROOM | IMAPEPPA |
| J SQUARED | JAMALAMADINGDONG | JOSH READY | JUANSINMIEDO | JUSTIN SMILES |
| KNOCKING LUCK | LADY TIRAMISU | LEE ANN’S WARRIOR | LINE ASTRAY | MADNESS |
| MAJOR KING | MALBEC | MAMA MARITZA N | MEET ME IN THE AIR | MR SCATTER |
| NEGRIL | OXYMORE | PAMPERO | PISCO SOUR | POLIZON |
| RAGMAN | REAGAN’S RENEGADE | REVEREND MOON | ROUGH DRAFT | SECRET BAGENT MAN |
| SIXTEEN CIGARETTES | SKELLIG MICHAEL | SMOKE AN A PANCAKE | SNIPER JACK | STAR PRINCE |
| STERLING HARMONY | SUGAR BUZZ | SULTAN THE GREAT | SWEET CHA CHA | SWEET INTERLUDE |
| TABOO MISCHIEF | TALL STORY | TEDDY BEAR | THREE KINGDOMS | TREE C’S KAI |
| VANESSA’S WISH | WELCOME TO AMERICA | WOOTUN |
