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Ellis Park August 10, 2025 – AI Picks and Predictions.

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AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here. Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our extensive article on betting and odds).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Late Night Text (5/2)
Place: 2 – Best Friend (9/5)
Show: 1 – Backgammon (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Kenz (5/1), 8 – Tactical Command (12/1), 3 – Blackwing (12/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Go Captain (5/2)
Place: 1 – Suncroft (8/1)
Show: 7 – Bad Beat Brian (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Midnight Pranks (15/1), 3 – Princetown (12/1), 6 – Mister Mmmmm (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Free Choice (30/1)
Place: 1 – Zeus’S Echo (9/2)
Show: 10 – She’S On A Roll (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Mr. Vaggio (4/1), 6 – Prince Of Light (7/2), 4 – Wolfcamp (10/1), 7 – Jirah (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (1/1)
Place: 6 – Boom Boom Bell (15/1)
Show: 3 – Red Beretta (30/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Mescat (30/1), 5 – Prowess (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 14 – Dashin’ Diva (15/1)
Place: 1 – Agia Marina (5/1)
Show: 13 – Dawn After Dawn (12/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Oraia (12/1), 10 – Straight Forward (10/1), 7 – Good Game (3/1), 12 – Les Is Best (12/1), 4 – Marcinkowski (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Comport (1/1)
Place: 4 – Longstrider (20/1)
Show: 3 – Street Player (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Shake And Rattle (8/1), 5 – Spice Runner (7/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Banishing (6/5)
Place: 3 – This Is Uscar (6/1)
Show: 6 – Frosted Departure (20/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Prince Of Power (20/1), 1 – Tumbarumba (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Big Truzz (5/2)
Place: 4 – Retribution (9/2)
Show: 8 – Admiral Dennis (8/5)
Other contenders: 7 – Big Boat (10/1), 5 – Master Controller (20/1), 1 – Brodeur (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 1 – Alpine Princess (2/1)
Place: 8 – Impel (5/1)
Show: 3 – Harbor Springs (15/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Taxed (7/2), 6 – Pigalle (9/2), 9 – Too Much Kiki (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Place: 6 – Princess Proud (6/1)
Show: 12 – Hollygrove (12/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Volleyballprincess (20/1), 7 – Mendela (4/1), 9 – Impulse Buy (6/1), 5 – Run Camila Run (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Late Night Text (5/2)
Place: 2 – Best Friend (9/5)
Show: 1 – Backgammon (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Kenz (5/1), 8 – Tactical Command (12/1), 3 – Blackwing (12/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Go Captain (5/2)
Place: 1 – Suncroft (8/1)
Show: 7 – Bad Beat Brian (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Midnight Pranks (15/1), 3 – Princetown (12/1), 6 – Mister Mmmmm (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Free Choice (30/1)
Place: 1 – Zeus’S Echo (9/2)
Show: 10 – She’S On A Roll (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Mr. Vaggio (4/1), 6 – Prince Of Light (7/2), 4 – Wolfcamp (10/1), 7 – Jirah (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (1/1)
Place: 6 – Boom Boom Bell (15/1)
Show: 3 – Red Beretta (30/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Mescat (30/1), 5 – Prowess (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 14 – Dashin’ Diva (15/1)
Place: 13 – Dawn After Dawn (12/1)
Show: 1 – Agia Marina (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Oraia (12/1), 7 – Good Game (3/1), 10 – Straight Forward (10/1), 6 – Justifiable Star (30/1), 12 – Les Is Best (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Comport (1/1)
Place: 4 – Longstrider (20/1)
Show: 3 – Street Player (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Shake And Rattle (8/1), 5 – Spice Runner (7/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Banishing (6/5)
Place: 3 – This Is Uscar (6/1)
Show: 4 – Prince Of Power (20/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Frosted Departure (20/1), 1 – Tumbarumba (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Big Truzz (5/2)
Place: 4 – Retribution (9/2)
Show: 8 – Admiral Dennis (8/5)
Other contenders: 7 – Big Boat (10/1), 5 – Master Controller (20/1), 2 – Sinister Smile (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 1 – Alpine Princess (2/1)
Place: 8 – Impel (5/1)
Show: 3 – Harbor Springs (15/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Taxed (7/2), 6 – Pigalle (9/2), 9 – Too Much Kiki (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 12 – Hollygrove (12/1)
Place: 1 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Show: 6 – Princess Proud (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Volleyballprincess (20/1), 7 – Mendela (4/1), 9 – Impulse Buy (6/1), 5 – Run Camila Run (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 7 – Late Night Text (5/2)
Place: 2 – Best Friend (9/5)
Show: 1 – Backgammon (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Kenz (5/1), 8 – Tactical Command (12/1), 3 – Blackwing (12/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Go Captain (5/2)
Place: 1 – Suncroft (8/1)
Show: 7 – Bad Beat Brian (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Midnight Pranks (15/1), 3 – Princetown (12/1), 8 – Johnny Podres (6/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Free Choice (30/1)
Place: 10 – She’S On A Roll (3/1)
Show: 1 – Zeus’S Echo (9/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Mr. Vaggio (4/1), 6 – Prince Of Light (7/2), 4 – Wolfcamp (10/1), 7 – Jirah (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (1/1)
Place: 3 – Red Beretta (30/1)
Show: 6 – Boom Boom Bell (15/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Mescat (30/1), 5 – Prowess (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 14 – Dashin’ Diva (15/1)
Place: 13 – Dawn After Dawn (12/1)
Show: 7 – Good Game (3/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Oraia (12/1), 1 – Agia Marina (5/1), 10 – Straight Forward (10/1), 12 – Les Is Best (12/1), 6 – Justifiable Star (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 4 – Longstrider (20/1)
Place: 2 – Shake And Rattle (8/1)
Show: 6 – Comport (1/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Street Player (8/1), 5 – Spice Runner (7/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Banishing (6/5)
Place: 3 – This Is Uscar (6/1)
Show: 4 – Prince Of Power (20/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Frosted Departure (20/1), 7 – Three Technique (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Big Truzz (5/2)
Place: 4 – Retribution (9/2)
Show: 8 – Admiral Dennis (8/5)
Other contenders: 7 – Big Boat (10/1), 5 – Master Controller (20/1), 2 – Sinister Smile (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 1 – Alpine Princess (2/1)
Place: 3 – Harbor Springs (15/1)
Show: 8 – Impel (5/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Taxed (7/2), 9 – Too Much Kiki (10/1), 6 – Pigalle (9/2)
 
Race 10
Win: 12 – Hollygrove (12/1)
Place: 1 – Vodka With A Twist (2/1)
Show: 6 – Princess Proud (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Volleyballprincess (20/1), 7 – Mendela (4/1), 9 – Impulse Buy (6/1), 5 – Run Camila Run (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

Race Entries

ADMIRAL DENNIS AGIA MARINA ALPINE PRINCESS BACKGAMMON BAD BEAT BRIAN
BEST FRIEND BIG BOAT BIG TRUZZ BLACKWING BOOM BOOM BELL
BUSHIDO CAGLIOSTRO CHOPSTICKS COMPORT DARK VINTAGE
DAWN AFTER DAWN DON’T LOOK NOW ELECTION NIGHT EVERLAND FLOWER STONE
FROSTED DEPARTURE GO CAPTAIN GOOD GAME HARBOR SPRINGS HOLLYGROVE
IMPULSE BUY JANEY’S FLYIN JIMMY’S DAILYS JIRAH JOHNNY PODRES
KENZ KIMCHI CAT KINGSOLVER LADY LILYLOU LATE NIGHT TEXT
LES IS BEST LONGSTRIDER MARCINKOWSKI MASTER CONTROLLER MENDELA
MIDNIGHT PRANKS MISTER MMMMM MR. VAGGIO ORAIA PAPA KEN
PIGALLE PRINCE OF LIGHT PRINCE OF POWER PRINCESS PROUD PRINCETOWN
RED BERETTA REGALED RETRIBUTION RUBY’S GHOST RUN CAMILA RUN
SEEN YOU LATER SHAKE AND RATTLE SHE’S ON A ROLL SHOT AT PERFECTION SINISTER SMILE
SOULMAN SPICE RUNNER STRAIGHT FORWARD STREET PLAYER STRONG DESTINY
SUNCROFT SUNSHINE DAYDREAM TACTICAL COMMAND TAXED THIS IS USCAR
TIMS TOO MUCH KIKI TRICKY KITTY TRUSTY TROUTMAN TUMBARUMBA
VINTUR VIRAL PLANE LADY VODKA WITH A TWIST VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS WOLFCAMP
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