Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Arapahoe Park, October 17, 2025

Get even more in-depth analysis with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used alongside our Past Performance reports to boost your handicapping. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – She’S So Fancy (15/1)
Place: 7 – Payton’S Indian (2/1)
Show: 6 – Tap The Heart (6/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Princess Amanda (12/1), 3 – Anchors And Spurs (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Border Vigil (5/1)
Place: 2 – Aux Arcs (3/1)
Show: 5 – Gran Senor Del Oro (8/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Boss Down (7/2), 4 – Time To Skip Town (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Delightful Reserve (7/2)
Place: 1 – Bear Encounter (6/1)
Show: 7 – Mr. Thirsty (5/2)
Other contenders: 3 – Silence’S Nation (12/1), 4 – Tracey’S Kitchen (9/2), 8 – Major Timing (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 9 – Riversport (8/1)
Place: 2 – Chuck Nazty (7/2)
Show: 3 – Chicknfingerfriday (15/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Wednesday At Shady (5/2), 8 – Fleet Of Hoof (5/1), 4 – Kanderel (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Southern Speight (5/2)
Place: 9 – Ila Veiw Too (9/2)
Show: 5 – Extra Indy (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Can’T Want That (8/1), 2 – Cheering For Layla (6/1), 7 – Hazardtoyourhealth (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Non Toxic (8/1)
Place: 5 – Ferrari Red (7/2)
Show: 1 – Forthelonghaul (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Tapitboy (3/1), 8 – Kae Gae (10/1), 9 – El Diamante Negro (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Buymyladyacorona (5/2)
Place: 6 – Ccbrookslittleboy (6/1)
Show: 3 – Beduino Kicker (8/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Smyly (3/1), 1 – Cardenali (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – She’S So Fancy (15/1)
Place: 7 – Payton’S Indian (2/1)
Show: 5 – Princess Amanda (12/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Tap The Heart (6/1), 3 – Anchors And Spurs (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Border Vigil (5/1)
Place: 2 – Aux Arcs (3/1)
Show: 5 – Gran Senor Del Oro (8/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Time To Skip Town (9/2), 6 – Boss Down (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Delightful Reserve (7/2)
Place: 7 – Mr. Thirsty (5/2)
Show: 4 – Tracey’S Kitchen (9/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Bear Encounter (6/1), 3 – Silence’S Nation (12/1), 8 – Major Timing (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 9 – Riversport (8/1)
Place: 3 – Chicknfingerfriday (15/1)
Show: 2 – Chuck Nazty (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Wednesday At Shady (5/2), 8 – Fleet Of Hoof (5/1), 4 – Kanderel (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Southern Speight (5/2)
Place: 9 – Ila Veiw Too (9/2)
Show: 5 – Extra Indy (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Can’T Want That (8/1), 2 – Cheering For Layla (6/1), 8 – Thorn Crown (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Non Toxic (8/1)
Place: 5 – Ferrari Red (7/2)
Show: 1 – Forthelonghaul (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Tapitboy (3/1), 9 – El Diamante Negro (6/1), 3 – Montucky (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Buymyladyacorona (5/2)
Place: 6 – Ccbrookslittleboy (6/1)
Show: 1 – Cardenali (10/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Smyly (3/1), 3 – Beduino Kicker (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – She’S So Fancy (15/1)
Place: 5 – Princess Amanda (12/1)
Show: 7 – Payton’S Indian (2/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Tap The Heart (6/1), 3 – Anchors And Spurs (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Border Vigil (5/1)
Place: 2 – Aux Arcs (3/1)
Show: 5 – Gran Senor Del Oro (8/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Boss Down (7/2), 4 – Time To Skip Town (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Mr. Thirsty (5/2)
Place: 5 – Delightful Reserve (7/2)
Show: 4 – Tracey’S Kitchen (9/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Bear Encounter (6/1), 3 – Silence’S Nation (12/1), 9 – Ace Diamond (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 9 – Riversport (8/1)
Place: 3 – Chicknfingerfriday (15/1)
Show: 2 – Chuck Nazty (7/2)
Other contenders: 8 – Fleet Of Hoof (5/1), 7 – Wednesday At Shady (5/2), 4 – Kanderel (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Southern Speight (5/2)
Place: 9 – Ila Veiw Too (9/2)
Show: 4 – Can’T Want That (8/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Extra Indy (7/2), 2 – Cheering For Layla (6/1), 8 – Thorn Crown (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Non Toxic (8/1)
Place: 5 – Ferrari Red (7/2)
Show: 3 – Montucky (15/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Forthelonghaul (5/2), 9 – El Diamante Negro (6/1), 2 – Tapitboy (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Buymyladyacorona (5/2)
Place: 6 – Ccbrookslittleboy (6/1)
Show: 1 – Cardenali (10/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Beduino Kicker (8/1), 7 – Smyly (3/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ACE DIAMOND ANCHORS AND SPURS AUX ARCS AWESOME FAMILY BEAR ENCOUNTER
BORDER VIGIL BOSS DOWN BUYMYLADYACORONA CAN’T WANT THAT CARDENALI
CHEERING FOR LAYLA CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY CHUCK NAZTY DELIGHTFUL RESERVE DEONTE
EL DIAMANTE NEGRO EL SIETE LEGUAS EXTRA INDY FERRARI RED FLEET OF HOOF
GRACE’S HANK GRAN SENOR DEL ORO HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH ILA VEIW TOO JIMS CAPO
KANDEREL LOOKIN FOR LOKI LOTTA PRADA MAJOR TIMING MONGOLIAN MOON
MR. BIZ MR. THIRSTY NON TOXIC PAYTON’S INDIAN PRINCESS AMANDA
RIVERSPORT SHE’S SO FANCY SILENCE’S NATION SMYLY SOUTHERN SPEIGHT
TAP THE HEART TAPITBOY THORN CROWN TIME TO SKIP TOWN TRACEY’S KITCHEN
WEATHER MAP WEDNESDAY AT SHADY

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback