Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Finger Lakes, November 5, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Cadillacjoe (5/2)🥇$2.52
Place: 6 – Valiant Warrior (4/1)
Show: 4 – Raisuli (6/1)🥈$2.10
Other contenders: 5 – Extraordinary One (7/2), 1 – Allofasuddenlee (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Kaufy Futures (6/1)
Place: 2 – Sweet Tooth Sue (10/1)
Show: 3 – Love My Candy (5/1)
Other contenders: 6 – E M’S Treasuregirl (8/1), 5 – Love Thyself (2/1)🥉
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Jessica’S Ride (5/2)🥇$6.52
Place: 6 – Candy Is Dandy (7/2)🥉
Show: 5 – Belliqueux (8/1)🥈$4.62
Other contenders: 1 – Queenofallmydreams (6/1), 7 – Secret Fire (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Freedsdale (7/2)🥈
Place: 6 – Paschal Moon (8/1)
Show: 3 – Six Kings (3/1)🥉$2.34
Other contenders: 7 – Cascade Cruiser (4/1)🥇, 4 – Raw Courage (8/1), 5 – Street Cop Officer (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Saratoga Banker (8/5)🥇$2.54
Place: 2 – Ribbons And Medals (6/1)
Show: 5 – The Delaware Boyz (9/2)🥈$2.50
Other contenders: 7 – Smooth Tales (15/1), 8 – Don’T Poke The Cat (12/1), 9 – Smokin’ Alone (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – Numeric (6/1)
Place: 5 – Five To Two (7/2)🥈2.78
Show: 1 – Shock (5/2)🥇2.36
Other contenders: 6 – Awesome Roberta (8/1), 7 – Jessica’S Race (8/1), 3 – Glory Bound Clara (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 1 – Seams Like Destiny (5/1)🥉
Place: 5 – Military Road (2/1)🥈$2.14
Show: 7 – Saratoga Warrior (4/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Burn Notice (3/1)🥇, 3 – Tony O (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Laughing Lady (3/1)🥇$2.68
Place: 2 – Observer (5/2)🥈$3.14
Show: 6 – Classiwest (4/1)🥉$3.02
Other contenders: 5 – Only La Duss (6/1), 4 – I’M Pretty Good (8/1), 7 – Tafaany (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Cadillacjoe (5/2)
Place: 6 – Valiant Warrior (4/1)
Show: 4 – Raisuli (6/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Extraordinary One (7/2), 1 – Allofasuddenlee (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Kaufy Futures (6/1)
Place: 2 – Sweet Tooth Sue (10/1)
Show: 3 – Love My Candy (5/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Love Thyself (2/1), 6 – E M’S Treasuregirl (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Jessica’S Ride (5/2)
Place: 6 – Candy Is Dandy (7/2)
Show: 5 – Belliqueux (8/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Staged Conflict (9/2), 1 – Queenofallmydreams (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Freedsdale (7/2)
Place: 6 – Paschal Moon (8/1)
Show: 3 – Six Kings (3/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Cascade Cruiser (4/1), 4 – Raw Courage (8/1), 5 – Street Cop Officer (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Saratoga Banker (8/5)
Place: 2 – Ribbons And Medals (6/1)
Show: 5 – The Delaware Boyz (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Smooth Tales (15/1), 8 – Don’T Poke The Cat (12/1), 9 – Smokin’ Alone (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – Numeric (6/1)
Place: 5 – Five To Two (7/2)
Show: 1 – Shock (5/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Awesome Roberta (8/1), 7 – Jessica’S Race (8/1), 3 – Glory Bound Clara (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Military Road (2/1)
Place: 1 – Seams Like Destiny (5/1)
Show: 7 – Saratoga Warrior (4/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Burn Notice (3/1), 6 – Vigano (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Laughing Lady (3/1)
Place: 2 – Observer (5/2)
Show: 6 – Classiwest (4/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Only La Duss (6/1), 4 – I’M Pretty Good (8/1), 7 – Tafaany (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Cadillacjoe (5/2)
Place: 6 – Valiant Warrior (4/1)
Show: 4 – Raisuli (6/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Extraordinary One (7/2), 1 – Allofasuddenlee (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Kaufy Futures (6/1)
Place: 2 – Sweet Tooth Sue (10/1)
Show: 5 – Love Thyself (2/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Seattle Causeway (3/1), 3 – Love My Candy (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Jessica’S Ride (5/2)
Place: 6 – Candy Is Dandy (7/2)
Show: 5 – Belliqueux (8/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Queenofallmydreams (6/1), 4 – Bourbon Blanket (3/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 2 – Freedsdale (7/2)
Place: 6 – Paschal Moon (8/1)
Show: 3 – Six Kings (3/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Cascade Cruiser (4/1), 4 – Raw Courage (8/1), 5 – Street Cop Officer (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Saratoga Banker (8/5)
Place: 2 – Ribbons And Medals (6/1)
Show: 5 – The Delaware Boyz (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Smooth Tales (15/1), 8 – Don’T Poke The Cat (12/1), 9 – Smokin’ Alone (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 8 – Numeric (6/1)
Place: 5 – Five To Two (7/2)
Show: 1 – Shock (5/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Awesome Roberta (8/1), 7 – Jessica’S Race (8/1), 3 – Glory Bound Clara (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 1 – Seams Like Destiny (5/1)
Place: 5 – Military Road (2/1)
Show: 7 – Saratoga Warrior (4/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Burn Notice (3/1), 6 – Vigano (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Laughing Lady (3/1)
Place: 2 – Observer (5/2)
Show: 6 – Classiwest (4/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Only La Duss (6/1), 4 – I’M Pretty Good (8/1), 7 – Tafaany (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ALLOFASUDDENLEE ANOINTED SPIRIT AWESOME ROBERTA BELLIQUEUX BOURBON BLANKET
CADILLACJOE CANDY IS DANDY CASCADE CRUISER CIVIL SERVICE CLASSIWEST
DHARMA DON’T POKE THE CAT DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY E M’S TREASUREGIRL EXTRAORDINARY ONE
FREEDSDALE GLORY BOUND CLARA HOBNOB I’M PRETTY GOOD IN TRAFFIC
JESSICA’S RACE JESSICA’S RIDE KAUFY FUTURES LAUGHING LADY LOVE MY CANDY
MILITARY ROAD MONOMOY DANCER NUMERIC OBSERVER ONLY LA DUSS
PASCHAL MOON QUEENOFALLMYDREAMS RAISULI RAW COURAGE RIBBONS AND MEDALS
SARATOGA BANKER SARATOGA WARRIOR SEAMS LIKE DESTINY SEATTLE CAUSEWAY SECRET FIRE
SIX KINGS SMOKIN’ ALONE SMOOTH TALES SOLO DANCING STAGED CONFLICT
SWEET TOOTH SUE TAFAANY THE DELAWARE BOYZ TONY O VALIANT WARRIOR

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