Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Fort Erie, October 20, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Boston Bay (3/1)
Place: 6 – Star Scholar (8/1)
Show: 4 – Langstaff Road (2/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Left In My Dust (8/1), 1 – Magical Champagne (4/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Flawless Quality (3/1)
Place: 5 – Blue’S Mommy (9/2)
Show: 4 – Her Obsession (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Arctic Velocity (4/1), 2 – La Ronde (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 3 – Yorkville (8/1)
Place: 2 – Cantucci (3/1)
Show: 5 – Blame J D (8/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Its Just Money (4/1), 6 – Midnight Tempesta (6/1), 8 – Bet N Win (10/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Garofoli (9/5)
Place: 2 – Paperback Hero (8/1)
Show: 6 – Hey Cue (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Canyouhearmerunnin (5/1), 4 – Shakoo Makoo (3/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hicksy (15/1)
Place: 3 – Rye’S My Guy (9/2)
Show: 7 – Brady O’Brady (10/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Always A Way (6/1), 1 – Big Time Louie (8/1), 6 – M C Jackhammer (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 9 – Stylish Gent (3/1)
Place: 5 – Bella Future (2/1)
Show: 3 – Linda’S Opal (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Bolt Enoree (9/5), 8 – Ok Speedy (7/2), 7 – Border Town (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Video Evidence (6/1)
Place: 7 – Golden Test (8/1)
Show: 8 – Back River (3/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Glintindaddyseye (12/1), 4 – Ghost Busted (2/1), 1 – Bingo’S Grind (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 7 – He’S A Shooter (9/2)
Place: 2 – Strega (9/5)
Show: 6 – If You Insist (7/2)
Other contenders: 5 – My Two Aunt Joans (6/1), 8 – Whiskey Row (20/1), 9 – Strong Ending (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Boston Bay (3/1)
Place: 6 – Star Scholar (8/1)
Show: 4 – Langstaff Road (2/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Magical Champagne (4/1), 2 – Left In My Dust (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Flawless Quality (3/1)
Place: 5 – Blue’S Mommy (9/2)
Show: 4 – Her Obsession (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Arctic Velocity (4/1), 2 – La Ronde (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Cantucci (3/1)
Place: 3 – Yorkville (8/1)
Show: 5 – Blame J D (8/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Its Just Money (4/1), 6 – Midnight Tempesta (6/1), 8 – Bet N Win (10/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Garofoli (9/5)
Place: 1 – Canyouhearmerunnin (5/1)
Show: 6 – Hey Cue (4/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Paperback Hero (8/1), 4 – Shakoo Makoo (3/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hicksy (15/1)
Place: 3 – Rye’S My Guy (9/2)
Show: 2 – Always A Way (6/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Brady O’Brady (10/1), 1 – Big Time Louie (8/1), 4 – Gran Spirited (3/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 9 – Stylish Gent (3/1)
Place: 5 – Bella Future (2/1)
Show: 10 – Sea To Air (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Linda’S Opal (6/1), 4 – Bolt Enoree (9/5), 7 – Border Town (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Video Evidence (6/1)
Place: 7 – Golden Test (8/1)
Show: 8 – Back River (3/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Glintindaddyseye (12/1), 4 – Ghost Busted (2/1), 1 – Bingo’S Grind (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 7 – He’S A Shooter (9/2)
Place: 2 – Strega (9/5)
Show: 6 – If You Insist (7/2)
Other contenders: 5 – My Two Aunt Joans (6/1), 8 – Whiskey Row (20/1), 9 – Strong Ending (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Boston Bay (3/1)
Place: 6 – Star Scholar (8/1)
Show: 1 – Magical Champagne (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Lonhro’S Gamble (7/2), 4 – Langstaff Road (2/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Flawless Quality (3/1)
Place: 5 – Blue’S Mommy (9/2)
Show: 4 – Her Obsession (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Arctic Velocity (4/1), 2 – La Ronde (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Cantucci (3/1)
Place: 5 – Blame J D (8/1)
Show: 3 – Yorkville (8/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Its Just Money (4/1), 6 – Midnight Tempesta (6/1), 8 – Bet N Win (10/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Garofoli (9/5)
Place: 6 – Hey Cue (4/1)
Show: 2 – Paperback Hero (8/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Canyouhearmerunnin (5/1), 3 – Nameofthegame (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hicksy (15/1)
Place: 2 – Always A Way (6/1)
Show: 3 – Rye’S My Guy (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Brady O’Brady (10/1), 6 – M C Jackhammer (12/1), 4 – Gran Spirited (3/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 9 – Stylish Gent (3/1)
Place: 5 – Bella Future (2/1)
Show: 10 – Sea To Air (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Linda’S Opal (6/1), 8 – Ok Speedy (7/2), 4 – Bolt Enoree (9/5)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Video Evidence (6/1)
Place: 7 – Golden Test (8/1)
Show: 8 – Back River (3/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Glintindaddyseye (12/1), 4 – Ghost Busted (2/1), 1 – Bingo’S Grind (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 7 – He’S A Shooter (9/2)
Place: 2 – Strega (9/5)
Show: 6 – If You Insist (7/2)
Other contenders: 8 – Whiskey Row (20/1), 5 – My Two Aunt Joans (6/1), 9 – Strong Ending (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ACTION POINT ALWAYS A WAY ARCTIC VELOCITY BACK RIVER BACK TO REALITY
BET N WIN BIG TIME LOUIE BINGO’S GRIND BLAME J D BLUE’S MOMMY
BORDER TOWN BOSTON BAY BRADY O’BRADY CANTUCCI CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN
FLAWLESS QUALITY GAROFOLI GHOST BUSTED GLINTINDADDYSEYE GOLDEN TEST
HE’S A SHOOTER HER OBSESSION HEY CUE HICKSY IF YOU INSIST
LA RONDE LANGSTAFF ROAD LEFT IN MY DUST LIL BIT GANGSTA LINDA’S OPAL
M C JACKHAMMER MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA MISTER MESEEKS MY TWO AUNT JOANS
OK SPEEDY PAPERBACK HERO PLAY THE DOTS REDOUTE’S LIGHT RYE’S MY GUY
SHAKOO MAKOO SHORT STORY LONG SMART ALMASTY STAR SCHOLAR STORMIN DAVE
STRONG ENDING STYLISH GENT SUPER HONEY TIMBER VIDEO EVIDENCE WHISKEY ROW
YORKVILLE

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