Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Keeneland, October 11, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Blythes Ferry (30/1)
Place: 2 – Gnome (7/2)
Show: 3 – Rebel With A Cause (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – No Bees (8/1)🥇, 5 – Don’T Even (4/1), 6 – Eleos (20/1), 7 – Chatterfield (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 7 – Silver Halo (8/1)🥈
Place: 3 – Geno’S Myth (20/1)
Show: 8 – Kunan (5/2)🥇
Other contenders: 5 – Chance (3/1), 2 – Memes (20/1), 1 – Corman (15/1), 13 – Woodspoint (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – So Special (15/1)
Place: 8 – Gloves Off (6/1)
Show: 4 – Knick The Quick (10/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Court Of Appeal (10/1), 7 – Rancho Santa Fe (2/1)🥇, 5 – Infiltrate (7/2)🥈
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Undertaker (15/1)
Place: 8 – Jolted (6/1)
Show: 9 – Race Ready (8/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Crypto Cory (15/1), 4 – Sleepingonfreedom (7/2)🥇, 1 – Aguila Negra (30/1), 13 – Kingofsomewherehot (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 10 – Triskelion (5/2)🥉
Place: 16 – Miss Soothsayer (7/2)
Show: 14 – Lost Chord (20/1)
Other contenders: 11 – Glazin’ Fury (20/1), 12 – Blackwing (30/1), 1 – Nelson’S Penny (10/1), 15 – Runs On Dreams (20/1), 8 – Malanya (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 5 – One Magic Philly (3/1)
Place: 8 – Hillerito (9/5)
Show: 9 – Win N Your In (8/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Zadorsky (6/1), 2 – Marmalade Skye (10/1), 7 – Easy Red (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 11 – Wakan (20/1)
Place: 2 – Wish Carefully (15/1)
Show: 5 – Johny’S Rendezvous (9/2)
Other contenders: 9 – Write Off Jerry (8/1), 7 – Warlander (6/1), 13 – Azoi (20/1), 3 – Valentinian (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Stilettos (4/1)
Place: 10 – Shezafunkydrummer (8/1)
Show: 5 – Princess Proud (6/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Gin’S Beach Road (3/1), 8 – Anakarina (5/1), 3 – Mega Mil (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 5 – Opulent Restraint (4/1)
Place: 2 – Laurelin (5/2)
Show: 6 – Candy Quest (12/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Lush Lips (5/1), 8 – Will Then (20/1), 7 – Destino D’Oro (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 6 – Uncle William (8/1)
Place: 2 – Remi’S Moon (6/1)
Show: 3 – Dive Bomber (9/2)
Other contenders: 10 – Good Lord (10/1), 9 – Countthebrave (4/1), 4 – Air Of Defiance (12/1), 5 – Thrilla (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Blythes Ferry (30/1)
Place: 2 – Gnome (7/2)
Show: 3 – Rebel With A Cause (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – No Bees (8/1), 5 – Don’T Even (4/1), 6 – Eleos (20/1), 7 – Chatterfield (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 7 – Silver Halo (8/1)
Place: 8 – Kunan (5/2)
Show: 5 – Chance (3/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Focusyn (4/1), 3 – Geno’S Myth (20/1), 2 – Memes (20/1), 4 – Megastar (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – So Special (15/1)
Place: 8 – Gloves Off (6/1)
Show: 4 – Knick The Quick (10/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Court Of Appeal (10/1), 5 – Infiltrate (7/2), 7 – Rancho Santa Fe (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Undertaker (15/1)
Place: 8 – Jolted (6/1)
Show: 9 – Race Ready (8/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Crypto Cory (15/1), 4 – Sleepingonfreedom (7/2), 1 – Aguila Negra (30/1), 5 – Ledbetter (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 10 – Triskelion (5/2)
Place: 16 – Miss Soothsayer (7/2)
Show: 11 – Glazin’ Fury (20/1)
Other contenders: 14 – Lost Chord (20/1), 12 – Blackwing (30/1), 1 – Nelson’S Penny (10/1), 15 – Runs On Dreams (20/1), 8 – Malanya (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 5 – One Magic Philly (3/1)
Place: 8 – Hillerito (9/5)
Show: 2 – Marmalade Skye (10/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Win N Your In (8/1), 3 – Zadorsky (6/1), 7 – Easy Red (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 11 – Wakan (20/1)
Place: 7 – Warlander (6/1)
Show: 9 – Write Off Jerry (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Wish Carefully (15/1), 3 – Valentinian (4/1), 5 – Johny’S Rendezvous (9/2), 13 – Azoi (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Stilettos (4/1)
Place: 9 – Gin’S Beach Road (3/1)
Show: 10 – Shezafunkydrummer (8/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Princess Proud (6/1), 8 – Anakarina (5/1), 3 – Mega Mil (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 5 – Opulent Restraint (4/1)
Place: 2 – Laurelin (5/2)
Show: 1 – Lush Lips (5/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Candy Quest (12/1), 8 – Will Then (20/1), 7 – Destino D’Oro (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 6 – Uncle William (8/1)
Place: 4 – Air Of Defiance (12/1)
Show: 9 – Countthebrave (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Dive Bomber (9/2), 2 – Remi’S Moon (6/1), 10 – Good Lord (10/1), 5 – Thrilla (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Blythes Ferry (30/1)
Place: 2 – Gnome (7/2)
Show: 3 – Rebel With A Cause (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – No Bees (8/1), 5 – Don’T Even (4/1), 6 – Eleos (20/1), 7 – Chatterfield (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 7 – Silver Halo (8/1)
Place: 2 – Memes (20/1)
Show: 5 – Chance (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Geno’S Myth (20/1), 8 – Kunan (5/2), 6 – Focusyn (4/1), 4 – Megastar (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – So Special (15/1)
Place: 8 – Gloves Off (6/1)
Show: 4 – Knick The Quick (10/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Court Of Appeal (10/1), 5 – Infiltrate (7/2), 7 – Rancho Santa Fe (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Undertaker (15/1)
Place: 8 – Jolted (6/1)
Show: 9 – Race Ready (8/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Crypto Cory (15/1), 4 – Sleepingonfreedom (7/2), 1 – Aguila Negra (30/1), 13 – Kingofsomewherehot (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 10 – Triskelion (5/2)
Place: 16 – Miss Soothsayer (7/2)
Show: 11 – Glazin’ Fury (20/1)
Other contenders: 14 – Lost Chord (20/1), 12 – Blackwing (30/1), 1 – Nelson’S Penny (10/1), 15 – Runs On Dreams (20/1), 8 – Malanya (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 5 – One Magic Philly (3/1)
Place: 8 – Hillerito (9/5)
Show: 2 – Marmalade Skye (10/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Win N Your In (8/1), 7 – Easy Red (9/2), 3 – Zadorsky (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 11 – Wakan (20/1)
Place: 7 – Warlander (6/1)
Show: 2 – Wish Carefully (15/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Johny’S Rendezvous (9/2), 9 – Write Off Jerry (8/1), 3 – Valentinian (4/1), 13 – Azoi (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Stilettos (4/1)
Place: 9 – Gin’S Beach Road (3/1)
Show: 5 – Princess Proud (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Anakarina (5/1), 10 – Shezafunkydrummer (8/1), 3 – Mega Mil (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 5 – Opulent Restraint (4/1)
Place: 2 – Laurelin (5/2)
Show: 1 – Lush Lips (5/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Candy Quest (12/1), 8 – Will Then (20/1), 7 – Destino D’Oro (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 6 – Uncle William (8/1)
Place: 9 – Countthebrave (4/1)
Show: 3 – Dive Bomber (9/2)
Other contenders: 10 – Good Lord (10/1), 2 – Remi’S Moon (6/1), 4 – Air Of Defiance (12/1), 5 – Thrilla (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

AGUILA NEGRA AIR CAV AIR OF DEFIANCE ANAKARINA AZOI
BLACKWING BLUE COAST BLYTHES FERRY BRANDIE CANDY QUEST
CHAPMAN’S PEAK CHATTERFIELD CIELO CLEAR ECHO CORMAN
COURT OF APPEAL CRYPTO CORY DAISY FLYER DESTINO D’ORO DID IT DIALED
DOMINGO DON’T EVEN EASY RED ELEOS FATGUYINLITTLECOAT
FIONN FITZGERALD FOCUSYN FORT THOMAS GALLANT ACES
GENTLEMAN JIM GIN’S BEACH ROAD GLAZIN’ FURY GLOVES OFF GNOME
GRAND MAHOGANY HIGH STREET PIZZAZ HILLERITO INFILTRATE JOHNY’S RENDEZVOUS
KINGOFSOMEWHEREHOT KNICK THE QUICK KUNAN LADY JANCIS LAURELIN
LIUZZA LONGBRANCH LOU LOST CHORD LUSH LIPS LYNN’S MILKY WAY
MAP OF THE MOON MARMALADE SKYE MEGA MIL MEGASTAR MEMES
MISS SOOTHSAYER MOON MYSTIQUE NELSON’S PENNY NO BEES NON CONFORMING
OPULENT RESTRAINT ORVILLE’S MAP PATRIOT MOON PINELAND PISTOL
PRINCESS PROUD RACE READY RAMAJAY RANCHO RANCHO SANTA FE
REBEL WITH A CAUSE REMI’S MOON ROSATO RUNS ON DREAMS SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER
SIMMERING SINISTER SMILE SLEEPINGONFREEDOM SO SPECIAL STATE OF ATTACK
SUPER DREAMY THRILLA TRISKELION TURNBACK UNCLE WILLIAM
UTOPIAN VALENTINIAN VAMOS YA VEKOMANCER WAKAN
WILL THEN WIN N YOUR IN WISH CAREFULLY WOODSPOINT WRITE OFF JERRY
YAUDACITY ZADORSKY

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