Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Laurel Park, October 12, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – Shane Falco (3/1)
Place: 13 – Dats Tap (6/1)
Show: 5 – Homestead (2/1)
Other contenders: 12 – D Hopper (10/1), 16 – The Hero Code (3/1), 15 – Redemption Speight (9/5), 2 – Basic Miles (6/1), 10 – Gordito (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Princess Lucia (6/5)
Place: 4 – Baby Sox (9/5)
Show: 3 – Happybirthdaycorey (12/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Majesty’S Freedom (15/1), 2 – Divine Exchange (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 10 – Moon Factor (8/1)
Place: 2 – Nola Boss (2/1)
Show: 4 – Tough Workout (20/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Borletti (20/1), 3 – Final Drama (3/1), 7 – Candycrumbs (12/1), 12 – Kantknowitall (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Backnthewoods (7/5)
Place: 5 – Mister Agent (2/1)
Show: 2 – Song Runner (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Speakerit (30/1), 7 – Claudee Boy (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 4 – Only Maria (30/1)
Place: 2 – Lucky Esther (20/1)
Show: 11 – Iamdependingonyou (30/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Coach Mazzula (7/2), 1 – Siouxse (3/1), 13 – Cafe Embrace (10/1), 7 – Subtle Twist (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Dats My Pharaoh (6/1)
Place: 5 – Real Talented (9/2)
Show: 7 – Caddiemaster (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Jose Can’T Say (12/1), 3 – Edelweiss (8/1), 1 – Kitty’S Son (7/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Where’S Ray (5/2)
Place: 10 – Maya Prince (7/2)
Show: 2 – Vamos Viejo (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Noble Jon (8/1), 7 – Beware Of Pride (20/1), 1 – Outlaw Country (9/2), 9 – Laddie Dance (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 4 – Colonel Vargo (4/1)
Place: 2 – Brother Conway (2/1)
Show: 6 – Don’T Wait Up (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Byk (5/1), 1 – Let’S Have A Party (20/1), 3 – Rhumjar (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 6 – Beyond Question (7/2)
Place: 5 – Sweet Honey Bee (30/1)
Show: 7 – Ariel Moon (8/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Running Rio (3/1), 2 – Lazy Days (15/1), 11 – Carolina Sun (8/1), 4 – Native Mischief (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Homestead (2/1)
Place: 4 – Shane Falco (3/1)
Show: 13 – Dats Tap (6/1)
Other contenders: 16 – The Hero Code (3/1), 12 – D Hopper (10/1), 15 – Redemption Speight (9/5), 2 – Basic Miles (6/1), 10 – Gordito (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Princess Lucia (6/5)
Place: 4 – Baby Sox (9/5)
Show: 3 – Happybirthdaycorey (12/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Divine Exchange (5/1), 1 – Majesty’S Freedom (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 10 – Moon Factor (8/1)
Place: 2 – Nola Boss (2/1)
Show: 3 – Final Drama (3/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Candycrumbs (12/1), 11 – Uptowneagleslanded (12/1), 6 – Borletti (20/1), 4 – Tough Workout (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Backnthewoods (7/5)
Place: 5 – Mister Agent (2/1)
Show: 2 – Song Runner (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Speakerit (30/1), 7 – Claudee Boy (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 4 – Only Maria (30/1)
Place: 2 – Lucky Esther (20/1)
Show: 5 – Coach Mazzula (7/2)
Other contenders: 11 – Iamdependingonyou (30/1), 1 – Siouxse (3/1), 13 – Cafe Embrace (10/1), 7 – Subtle Twist (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Dats My Pharaoh (6/1)
Place: 5 – Real Talented (9/2)
Show: 7 – Caddiemaster (5/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Kitty’S Son (7/2), 2 – Jose Can’T Say (12/1), 8 – Knucker Punk (12/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 10 – Maya Prince (7/2)
Place: 3 – Where’S Ray (5/2)
Show: 2 – Vamos Viejo (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Noble Jon (8/1), 1 – Outlaw Country (9/2), 7 – Beware Of Pride (20/1), 8 – It’S Sizzling Time (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 4 – Colonel Vargo (4/1)
Place: 2 – Brother Conway (2/1)
Show: 8 – Byk (5/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Don’T Wait Up (6/1), 1 – Let’S Have A Party (20/1), 5 – Self Taught (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 6 – Beyond Question (7/2)
Place: 7 – Ariel Moon (8/1)
Show: 9 – Running Rio (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Sweet Honey Bee (30/1), 11 – Carolina Sun (8/1), 3 – Fahnee (8/1), 4 – Native Mischief (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – Shane Falco (3/1)
Place: 5 – Homestead (2/1)
Show: 13 – Dats Tap (6/1)
Other contenders: 16 – The Hero Code (3/1), 15 – Redemption Speight (9/5), 12 – D Hopper (10/1), 2 – Basic Miles (6/1), 10 – Gordito (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 5 – Princess Lucia (6/5)
Place: 4 – Baby Sox (9/5)
Show: 3 – Happybirthdaycorey (12/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Majesty’S Freedom (15/1), 2 – Divine Exchange (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 10 – Moon Factor (8/1)
Place: 2 – Nola Boss (2/1)
Show: 6 – Borletti (20/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Final Drama (3/1), 4 – Tough Workout (20/1), 11 – Uptowneagleslanded (12/1), 7 – Candycrumbs (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Backnthewoods (7/5)
Place: 2 – Song Runner (7/2)
Show: 5 – Mister Agent (2/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Speakerit (30/1), 7 – Claudee Boy (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 4 – Only Maria (30/1)
Place: 2 – Lucky Esther (20/1)
Show: 5 – Coach Mazzula (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Siouxse (3/1), 11 – Iamdependingonyou (30/1), 13 – Cafe Embrace (10/1), 7 – Subtle Twist (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Dats My Pharaoh (6/1)
Place: 5 – Real Talented (9/2)
Show: 7 – Caddiemaster (5/2)
Other contenders: 8 – Knucker Punk (12/1), 3 – Edelweiss (8/1), 1 – Kitty’S Son (7/2)
 
Race 7
Win: 10 – Maya Prince (7/2)
Place: 2 – Vamos Viejo (10/1)
Show: 3 – Where’S Ray (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Noble Jon (8/1), 1 – Outlaw Country (9/2), 8 – It’S Sizzling Time (15/1), 7 – Beware Of Pride (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 4 – Colonel Vargo (4/1)
Place: 2 – Brother Conway (2/1)
Show: 8 – Byk (5/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Don’T Wait Up (6/1), 1 – Let’S Have A Party (20/1), 3 – Rhumjar (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 6 – Beyond Question (7/2)
Place: 7 – Ariel Moon (8/1)
Show: 5 – Sweet Honey Bee (30/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Running Rio (3/1), 12 – Granuaile (6/1), 11 – Carolina Sun (8/1), 4 – Native Mischief (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

APOLAUSTIC ARIEL MOON BABY SOX BACKNTHEWOODS BAND ON THE RUN
BELTANE BEWARE OF PRIDE BEYOND QUESTION BLUE REGALIA BORLETTI
BYK CADDIEMASTER CAFE EMBRACE CANDYCRUMBS CAROLINA SUN
CHRISTMAS SPIRIT CLAUDEE BOY COACH MAZZULA COLONEL VARGO COMPETITIVE SAINT
DATS MY PHARAOH DATS TAP DIVINE EXCHANGE DON’T WAIT UP DOUG’S TRIUMPH
EDELWEISS EXECUTIVE POWER FAHNEE FIERY DEBUT FINAL DRAMA
GRANUAILE HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY HOMESTEAD IAMDEPENDINGONYOU IT’S SIZZLING TIME
KANTKNOWITALL KITTY’S SON KNUCKER PUNK LADDIE DANCE LAZY DAYS
LET FLY LET’S HAVE A PARTY LUCKY ESTHER MAJESTY’S FREEDOM MAYA PRINCE
MISTER AGENT MONSTER MASON MOON FACTOR MOONLIT FROST MS. LAOBANNIANG
NATIVE MISCHIEF NEED A MIRACLE NOBLE JON NOLA BOSS ONLY MARIA
PALPITATIONS PRINCE KHOZAN PRINCESS LUCIA READY FOR MAGIC REAL TALENTED
REGAL MISS LILY RHUMJAR ROOMMATE MARTIN RUNNING RIO SASSE’S CLASS
SHANE FALCO SIOUXSE SIPPIN’ TIME SONG RUNNER SPEAKERIT
SUBTLE TWIST SWEET HONEY BEE TAKE HOME GOLD THE HERO CODE TIDEOFTIME
TOUGH WORKOUT UNCATCHABLE UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED VAMOS VIEJO WHERE’S RAY

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