Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Mountaineer, November 3, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Springs (4/1)
Place: 4 – Briarcliff (12/1)
Show: 9 – Frosty Beer (9/5)
Other contenders: 7 – Gunner (8/1), 10 – Caesarea (3/1), 6 – Frame Up (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Courthouse Cove (5/1)
Place: 2 – Group Eighteen (12/1)
Show: 8 – Centsofwander (10/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Midnight Channel (9/2), 7 – Runningforcash (9/5), 6 – Sting Music (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Toughness (5/2)
Place: 4 – Lomachenko (5/1)
Show: 5 – Air Show (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Buddy Buddy (12/1), 3 – Stay Frosty (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 8 – Honour’S Choice (3/1)
Place: 3 – Kaiyas Song (9/2)
Show: 4 – Save The Flag (8/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Cindy’S Song (12/1), 5 – Market Of Stocks (12/1), 2 – Prussian Blue (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Chipotle Pepper (8/1)
Place: 2 – Anhinga (4/1)
Show: 3 – Isabel Ludlow (3/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Vicki Rose (3/1), 1 – Great Moon (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – This Is Gloria (6/1)
Place: 4 – Shady Nights (5/2)
Show: 2 – Somethingtosay (8/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Liz Dreamin (10/1), 6 – Dancing Shadows (15/1), 1 – Starship Legacy (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Photo Finish (4/1)
Place: 7 – Votary (9/5)
Show: 3 – Je Suis Rapide (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Legacy Trail (15/1), 1 – St Bernadette (10/1), 6 – Cant Fake The Hate (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 9 – Brio (6/1)
Place: 4 – Shiva (9/2)
Show: 11 – R Admiral (12/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Yardman (5/1), 5 – Thispointintime (15/1), 8 – Be On Notice (20/1), 2 – Red Shaheen (3/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Springs (4/1)
Place: 9 – Frosty Beer (9/5)
Show: 4 – Briarcliff (12/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Caesarea (3/1), 7 – Gunner (8/1), 6 – Frame Up (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Courthouse Cove (5/1)
Place: 8 – Centsofwander (10/1)
Show: 2 – Group Eighteen (12/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Midnight Channel (9/2), 7 – Runningforcash (9/5), 6 – Sting Music (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Toughness (5/2)
Place: 4 – Lomachenko (5/1)
Show: 5 – Air Show (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Buddy Buddy (12/1), 2 – Royal Curlin (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 8 – Honour’S Choice (3/1)
Place: 3 – Kaiyas Song (9/2)
Show: 4 – Save The Flag (8/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Cindy’S Song (12/1), 5 – Market Of Stocks (12/1), 7 – La Panda (4/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Chipotle Pepper (8/1)
Place: 2 – Anhinga (4/1)
Show: 3 – Isabel Ludlow (3/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Vicki Rose (3/1), 1 – Great Moon (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – This Is Gloria (6/1)
Place: 4 – Shady Nights (5/2)
Show: 2 – Somethingtosay (8/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Liz Dreamin (10/1), 1 – Starship Legacy (3/1), 6 – Dancing Shadows (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Photo Finish (4/1)
Place: 7 – Votary (9/5)
Show: 3 – Je Suis Rapide (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Legacy Trail (15/1), 1 – St Bernadette (10/1), 6 – Cant Fake The Hate (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 9 – Brio (6/1)
Place: 4 – Shiva (9/2)
Show: 11 – R Admiral (12/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Yardman (5/1), 5 – Thispointintime (15/1), 2 – Red Shaheen (3/1), 8 – Be On Notice (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Springs (4/1)
Place: 4 – Briarcliff (12/1)
Show: 9 – Frosty Beer (9/5)
Other contenders: 10 – Caesarea (3/1), 7 – Gunner (8/1), 6 – Frame Up (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Courthouse Cove (5/1)
Place: 8 – Centsofwander (10/1)
Show: 2 – Group Eighteen (12/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Runningforcash (9/5), 3 – Midnight Channel (9/2), 6 – Sting Music (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Toughness (5/2)
Place: 4 – Lomachenko (5/1)
Show: 5 – Air Show (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Buddy Buddy (12/1), 2 – Royal Curlin (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 8 – Honour’S Choice (3/1)
Place: 3 – Kaiyas Song (9/2)
Show: 4 – Save The Flag (8/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Cindy’S Song (12/1), 2 – Prussian Blue (5/1), 5 – Market Of Stocks (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Chipotle Pepper (8/1)
Place: 2 – Anhinga (4/1)
Show: 3 – Isabel Ludlow (3/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Great Moon (15/1), 7 – Vicki Rose (3/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 4 – Shady Nights (5/2)
Place: 7 – This Is Gloria (6/1)
Show: 2 – Somethingtosay (8/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Liz Dreamin (10/1), 6 – Dancing Shadows (15/1), 1 – Starship Legacy (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 7 – Votary (9/5)
Place: 5 – Photo Finish (4/1)
Show: 3 – Je Suis Rapide (7/2)
Other contenders: 1 – St Bernadette (10/1), 4 – Legacy Trail (15/1), 6 – Cant Fake The Hate (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 9 – Brio (6/1)
Place: 4 – Shiva (9/2)
Show: 7 – Yardman (5/1)
Other contenders: 11 – R Admiral (12/1), 2 – Red Shaheen (3/1), 5 – Thispointintime (15/1), 8 – Be On Notice (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

AIR SHOW ANHINGA AVA’S STORM BARLEEWON BE ON NOTICE
BRIARCLIFF BRIO BUDDY BUDDY CAESAREA CANT FAKE THE HATE
CENTSOFWANDER CHIPOTLE PEPPER CHOPPED CINDY’S SONG COSTNER
DANCING SHADOWS DREAMWITHINADREAM DROPKICK MURPHY ECHO LAKE FRAME UP
GREAT MOON GROUP EIGHTEEN GUNNER HONOUR’S CHOICE HOP TO A DECISION
JE SUIS RAPIDE KAIYAS SONG KATNAPPING LA PANDA LEGACY TRAIL
LOMACHENKO LUVTHEONEURWITH MACI’S WORLD MARKET OF STOCKS MIDNIGHT CHANNEL
PAUL’S TRICKY TALE PHOTO FINISH PRUSSIAN BLUE R ADMIRAL RAVEN’S HONOR
ROYAL CURLIN RUNNINGFORCASH SAVE THE FLAG SCAT SHACK SHADY NIGHTS
SIETE SIETE SIETE SOMETHINGTOSAY SONHO DE VERAO SOUPER JUSTIFIED SPRINGS
STARSHIP LEGACY STAY FROSTY STING MUSIC STRATOGALE THIS IS GLORIA
THY NAME IS WOMAN TOUGHNESS VICKI ROSE VOTARY YARDMAN

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