Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Penn National, November 5, 2025

Get even more in-depth analysis with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 6 – Bo'S Bourbon (8/1)
Place: 9 – Shakin Loose (7/2)
Show: 1 – Shy Da Runner (3/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Hazednconfused (10/1), 4 – Warrior Ted (5/1), 10 – Bargaining Power (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Gangly (6/1)
Place: 7 – What Does It Take (6/1)
Show: 5 – Mischief Warrior (50/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Manta Rey (5/2), 6 – Ampersand (6/1), 9 – Sweet Spite (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Mega Changer (5/1)
Place: 5 – Lace Curtain (6/1)
Show: 12 – Sandy Girl (10/1)
Other contenders: 11 – Lady Catalina (4/1), 8 – Lady Lemoncello (8/1), 2 – Poor Mans Lady (6/1), 4 – Cashpoint (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Overspent (5/2)
Place: 7 – Jamaica Redd (5/1)
Show: 5 – Katischuo (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Hard Performer (10/1), 8 – Hall Of Jazz (6/1), 4 – Cantyoustoptheking (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 11 – Ocala Dream (9/2)
Place: 7 – Storming Chrome (4/1)
Show: 2 – Prince Of Rain (20/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Strawberry Treat (15/1), 9 – Hardy Choice (6/1), 10 – Curlington (8/1), 6 – Six Kings (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Volatility (5/2)
Place: 5 – Vanilla Sundae (6/1)
Show: 7 – Qualified Hire (9/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Braquet (3/1), 4 – Southampton Dock (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – Ray'S Blue Wagon (7/2)
Place: 2 – Chill Boss (5/2)
Show: 7 – Wild Jaime (2/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Grumpy Brooksie (30/1), 1 – Town Kisser (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Charlize Chub (4/1)
Place: 3 – Maggie K (4/1)
Show: 1 – Tapwrit Warrior (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Peach Tea (3/1), 7 – Margo'S Margarita (5/2)
 
Race 9
Win: 7 – Warrior'S Treasure (2/1)
Place: 4 – Bold Baby (5/1)
Show: 5 – Sea Maiden (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Betcha Boots Babe (12/1), 3 – La Lima (20/1), 9 – Olive Kat (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 6 – Bo'S Bourbon (8/1)
Place: 9 – Shakin Loose (7/2)
Show: 1 – Shy Da Runner (3/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Hazednconfused (10/1), 4 – Warrior Ted (5/1), 10 – Bargaining Power (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Gangly (6/1)
Place: 7 – What Does It Take (6/1)
Show: 1 – Manta Rey (5/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Mischief Warrior (50/1), 6 – Ampersand (6/1), 9 – Sweet Spite (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Mega Changer (5/1)
Place: 5 – Lace Curtain (6/1)
Show: 8 – Lady Lemoncello (8/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Sandy Girl (10/1), 11 – Lady Catalina (4/1), 2 – Poor Mans Lady (6/1), 4 – Cashpoint (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Overspent (5/2)
Place: 7 – Jamaica Redd (5/1)
Show: 5 – Katischuo (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Hard Performer (10/1), 8 – Hall Of Jazz (6/1), 4 – Cantyoustoptheking (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 11 – Ocala Dream (9/2)
Place: 7 – Storming Chrome (4/1)
Show: 2 – Prince Of Rain (20/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Strawberry Treat (15/1), 9 – Hardy Choice (6/1), 10 – Curlington (8/1), 8 – Omar Comin (5/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Volatility (5/2)
Place: 5 – Vanilla Sundae (6/1)
Show: 7 – Qualified Hire (9/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Braquet (3/1), 4 – Southampton Dock (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – Ray'S Blue Wagon (7/2)
Place: 2 – Chill Boss (5/2)
Show: 7 – Wild Jaime (2/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Grumpy Brooksie (30/1), 1 – Town Kisser (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Charlize Chub (4/1)
Place: 3 – Maggie K (4/1)
Show: 1 – Tapwrit Warrior (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Peach Tea (3/1), 7 – Margo'S Margarita (5/2)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – Bold Baby (5/1)
Place: 7 – Warrior'S Treasure (2/1)
Show: 5 – Sea Maiden (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Betcha Boots Babe (12/1), 1 – Desi'S Reward (9/2), 3 – La Lima (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 6 – Bo'S Bourbon (8/1)
Place: 9 – Shakin Loose (7/2)
Show: 1 – Shy Da Runner (3/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Hazednconfused (10/1), 4 – Warrior Ted (5/1), 8 – Tony Small (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 8 – Gangly (6/1)
Place: 5 – Mischief Warrior (50/1)
Show: 1 – Manta Rey (5/2)
Other contenders: 7 – What Does It Take (6/1), 9 – Sweet Spite (10/1), 6 – Ampersand (6/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 7 – Mega Changer (5/1)
Place: 5 – Lace Curtain (6/1)
Show: 11 – Lady Catalina (4/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Lady Lemoncello (8/1), 2 – Poor Mans Lady (6/1), 12 – Sandy Girl (10/1), 4 – Cashpoint (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Overspent (5/2)
Place: 7 – Jamaica Redd (5/1)
Show: 5 – Katischuo (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Hard Performer (10/1), 8 – Hall Of Jazz (6/1), 4 – Cantyoustoptheking (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 11 – Ocala Dream (9/2)
Place: 7 – Storming Chrome (4/1)
Show: 2 – Prince Of Rain (20/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Hardy Choice (6/1), 1 – Strawberry Treat (15/1), 10 – Curlington (8/1), 6 – Six Kings (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Volatility (5/2)
Place: 5 – Vanilla Sundae (6/1)
Show: 7 – Qualified Hire (9/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Braquet (3/1), 4 – Southampton Dock (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – Ray'S Blue Wagon (7/2)
Place: 2 – Chill Boss (5/2)
Show: 7 – Wild Jaime (2/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Grumpy Brooksie (30/1), 1 – Town Kisser (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Charlize Chub (4/1)
Place: 1 – Tapwrit Warrior (7/2)
Show: 3 – Maggie K (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Peach Tea (3/1), 7 – Margo'S Margarita (5/2)
 
Race 9
Win: 7 – Warrior'S Treasure (2/1)
Place: 4 – Bold Baby (5/1)
Show: 5 – Sea Maiden (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Betcha Boots Babe (12/1), 3 – La Lima (20/1), 1 – Desi'S Reward (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

AMPERSAND ARUMA BARGAINING POWER BAY STREET MONEY BENNY'S CANDY MAN
BO'S BOURBON BOLD BABY BOSS HOLIDAY BRAQUET CANTYOUSTOPTHEKING
CHARLIZE CHUB CHILL BOSS CURLINGTON DANCING FOR JACK DEBATE
EARLY FROST GANGLY GOLDEN LIMONCELLO GOTTA BE KIDDIN GRUMPY BROOKSIE
HARD PERFORMER HARDY CHOICE HAZEDNCONFUSED IMAGINE RUNNING JAMAICA REDD
KAZ SWEET HEIST LA LIMA LACE CURTAIN LADY CATALINA LADY LEMONCELLO
MAGGIE K MANTA REY MARGO'S MARGARITA MEGA CHANGER METANOIA
MISCHIEF WARRIOR MY REDEMPTION NAZARENO OCALA DREAM OLIVE KAT
OVERSPENT PASSIONFORGLORY PEACH TEA PHIL'S ON THE RUN POOR MANS LADY
QUALIFIED HIRE RAY'S BLUE WAGON RIVERBOAT BANDIT ROYALTIESPRINCESS SANDY GIRL
SHAKIN LOOSE SHY DA RUNNER SIX KINGS SO FULLY SUE SOUTHAMPTON DOCK
SPINNING HEART STEPHANIE MY LOVE STORMING CHROME STRAWBERRY TREAT SWEET SPITE
TONY SMALL TOWN KISSER VANILLA SUNDAE VIGNERON VOLATILITY
WARRIOR'S TREASURE WHAT DOES IT TAKE WILD JAIME WISH FOR PEACE WITH EVERY DREAM

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback