Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Presque Isle Downs, October 16, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Elzie Clayton (6/1)
Place: 2 – Youreawizard Harry (3/1)
Show: 3 – Duck Hunter (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Lightning Lane (10/1), 5 – Bosh (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Bruder (9/2)
Place: 1 – Momentous Miss (3/1)
Show: 6 – Chips Legacy (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Growth Capital (5/2), 3 – Christensen (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Mo Dodgy (9/5)
Place: 5 – Miss Moxee (9/2)
Show: 3 – High Yield Hunk (8/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Wine Party (4/1), 2 – Krissys Star (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Riding A Dream (9/5)
Place: 3 – Mr. Squeaky Wheels (6/1)
Show: 5 – Drunkle (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – El Chispazo (6/1), 1 – Venik (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Needed (8/1)
Place: 3 – Cloud Storage (5/2)
Show: 4 – Factisimflashy (6/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Time For An Angel (9/5), 1 – Omikami (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Face Abarrio (6/1)
Place: 1 – Happyisashappydoes (3/1)
Show: 6 – Certain (9/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Bartulia (6/1), 4 – Uncle Truly (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Lets Get It On (9/2)
Place: 5 – King Mendelssohn (9/5)
Show: 6 – Hot Rod Kitty (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Justice Is Sweet (5/1), 1 – Hurricanes Ablowin (3/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Vernor’S Junction (4/1)
Place: 9 – Noble Gem (8/1)
Show: 4 – Fuoco (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Rar (9/2), 3 – So Grand (6/1), 6 – Warrior’S Notion (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Elzie Clayton (6/1)
Place: 2 – Youreawizard Harry (3/1)
Show: 3 – Duck Hunter (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Lightning Lane (10/1), 5 – Bosh (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Momentous Miss (3/1)
Place: 4 – Bruder (9/2)
Show: 6 – Chips Legacy (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Growth Capital (5/2), 3 – Christensen (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Mo Dodgy (9/5)
Place: 5 – Miss Moxee (9/2)
Show: 1 – Wine Party (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – High Yield Hunk (8/1), 2 – Krissys Star (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Riding A Dream (9/5)
Place: 3 – Mr. Squeaky Wheels (6/1)
Show: 5 – Drunkle (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – El Chispazo (6/1), 1 – Venik (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Cloud Storage (5/2)
Place: 5 – Time For An Angel (9/5)
Show: 6 – Needed (8/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Factisimflashy (6/1), 1 – Omikami (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Face Abarrio (6/1)
Place: 1 – Happyisashappydoes (3/1)
Show: 6 – Certain (9/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Uncle Truly (3/1), 5 – Bartulia (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Lets Get It On (9/2)
Place: 5 – King Mendelssohn (9/5)
Show: 6 – Hot Rod Kitty (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Justice Is Sweet (5/1), 4 – Major Mischief (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Vernor’S Junction (4/1)
Place: 9 – Noble Gem (8/1)
Show: 4 – Fuoco (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Rar (9/2), 3 – So Grand (6/1), 6 – Warrior’S Notion (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Elzie Clayton (6/1)
Place: 2 – Youreawizard Harry (3/1)
Show: 3 – Duck Hunter (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Lightning Lane (10/1), 5 – Bosh (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Momentous Miss (3/1)
Place: 4 – Bruder (9/2)
Show: 6 – Chips Legacy (3/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Growth Capital (5/2), 3 – Christensen (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Mo Dodgy (9/5)
Place: 5 – Miss Moxee (9/2)
Show: 3 – High Yield Hunk (8/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Wine Party (4/1), 2 – Krissys Star (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Riding A Dream (9/5)
Place: 3 – Mr. Squeaky Wheels (6/1)
Show: 5 – Drunkle (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – El Chispazo (6/1), 1 – Venik (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – Cloud Storage (5/2)
Place: 6 – Needed (8/1)
Show: 5 – Time For An Angel (9/5)
Other contenders: 4 – Factisimflashy (6/1), 1 – Omikami (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Face Abarrio (6/1)
Place: 1 – Happyisashappydoes (3/1)
Show: 6 – Certain (9/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Bartulia (6/1), 4 – Uncle Truly (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 3 – Lets Get It On (9/2)
Place: 5 – King Mendelssohn (9/5)
Show: 6 – Hot Rod Kitty (5/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Hurricanes Ablowin (3/1), 4 – Major Mischief (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Vernor’S Junction (4/1)
Place: 9 – Noble Gem (8/1)
Show: 7 – Rar (9/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Warrior’S Notion (6/1), 4 – Fuoco (7/2), 3 – So Grand (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ALCOHOL BARTULIA BEGANINGREENPOINT BLESS AMERICA BOSH
CERTAIN CHIPS LEGACY CHRISTENSEN CLOUD STORAGE DRUNKLE
EL CHISPAZO ELZIE CLAYTON FACE ABARRIO FACTISIMFLASHY FUOCO
GRAYTE WHYTE GROWTH CAPITAL HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES HIGH YIELD HUNK HOT ROD KITTY
JUSTICE IS SWEET KING MENDELSSOHN KRISSYS STAR LETS GET IT ON LIGHTNING LANE
MISS MOXEE MO DODGY MOMENTOUS MISS MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS NEEDED
OMIKAMI PATERNO RAR RIDING A DREAM SIETE SIETE SIETE
SWISS SLANG THEY CALL ME SUE TIME FOR AN ANGEL UNCLE TRULY VENIK
VIVA VIENNE WARRIOR’S NOTION WINE PARTY YOUREAWIZARD HARRY

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