Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Laurel Park, March 29, 2026.


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Race 1 – Claiming, 7f Dirt, Purse approx $11,340

Win: Quincannon (5) – 55% confidence
Place: Catahoula Moon (1) – 20% confidence
Show: Happy Jaunt (3) – 15% confidence
Alternative: Sailor's Return (7) – 10% confidence

Race notes: Analysts strongly lean to Quincannon (5) as the key pace and figure horse, with Catahoula Moon (1) and Happy Jaunt (3) as the main underneath stalkers. Sailor's Return (7) and Candycrumbs (8) profile as late-running price shots that could spice up exotics if the top choice falters.

Other runners include: Likebelivingnmagic (2), Magic Spin (6), Candycrumbs (8), Mister Agent (9), Silverbullettwenty (5)

Race 2 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 1m Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Pont Aven (5) – 40% confidence
Place: Higher Sense (1) – 35% confidence
Show: Long Legged Luis (4) – 15% confidence
Alternative: Majestic Blue (2) – 10% confidence

Race notes: Opinions split between the proven speed of Pont Aven (5) and the back-class of Higher Sense (1), with most analysts expecting one of them to control the race flow. Long Legged Luis (4) offers some lightly raced upside, while Majestic Blue (2) tends to be used more defensively underneath.

Other runners include: Paynted Lion (3)

Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 1m 110y Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Sir George (3) – 40% confidence
Place: Call Me Victorious (2) – 30% confidence
Show: Capitaine (4) – 15% confidence
Alternative: Prime Ranger (5) – 15% confidence

Race notes: Analysts gravitate to Sir George (3) on class drop and consistent figures, while Call Me Victorious (2) is widely seen as the main challenger with improving form. Capitaine (4) and Prime Ranger (5) round out a fairly deep top tier, making this race attractive for spreading in multi-race bets.

Other runners include: Twin Lakes (1), Go Grey (6), Margie's Last (7)

Race 4 – Allowance, 1m 110y Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Joe The Jet (4) – 35% confidence
Place: Tony Eclipse (2) – 30% confidence
Show: Derbyness (6) – 20% confidence
Alternative: Radauti (1) – 15% confidence

Race notes: Analysts respect Joe The Jet (4) on recent figures and trip, but several view Tony Eclipse (2) as a strong pace threat if left alone. Derbyness (6) and Radauti (1) create a competitive second tier, suggesting modest confidence and some upset potential, especially if the pace scenario changes.

Other runners include: Amazing Bernie (3), Wyoming Class (5), James P Sullivan (7)

Race 5 – Starter Optional Claiming, 6f Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Kerness K (2) – 45% confidence
Place: Just For The Money (1) – 25% confidence
Show: El Divino Nino (5) – 20% confidence
Alternative: Forrest City (4) – 10% confidence

Race notes: Kerness K (2) draws the strongest support as the likely primary speed, while Just For The Money (1) and El Divino Nino (5) are consistently cited as logical win contenders as well. Forrest City (4) is a common value mention off the layoff, giving this race a solid but not overwhelming favorite profile.

Other runners include: Pay Zone (3), Heldish (6), Let's Have a Party (7), Spotted Bull (8), Murray (9)

Race 6 – Claiming, 6f Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Over My Cents (4) – 45% confidence
Place: Maidstone (7) – 30% confidence
Show: Sweet Honey Bee (2) – 15% confidence
Alternative: Julie Belle (6) – 10% confidence

Race notes: Analysts repeatedly key on Over My Cents (4) and Maidstone (7) as the central win players, often building tickets around one or both. Sweet Honey Bee (2) and Julie Belle (6) are mainly used underneath, but their closing styles offer some upset and exotic potential if the pace heats up.

Other runners include: Aeronyx (1), Ready For Magic (3), A P M Notion (5), Paperback Edition (8), Amadea (9), Christy My Love (10)

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6f Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Slewperstitus (7) – 40% confidence
Place: Our Golden Gator (8) – 30% confidence
Show: Sweet Shenanigans (2) – 15% confidence
Alternative: Tacit Value (4) – 15% confidence

Race notes: Slewperstitus (7) is the most frequently tabbed winner, but Our Golden Gator (8) and Sweet Shenanigans (2) also attract plenty of top-three support, creating a layered but still favorite-centric picture. Tacit Value (4) and Honor Roll (6) are common “under-the-radar” mentions that can drive exotic value if they move forward second off recent efforts.

Other runners include: Rerun Table (1), Kuaga (3), Juniper's Jubilee (5), Honor Roll (6)

Race 8 – Maiden Claiming, 5.5f Dirt, Purse approx $X

Win: Clavin (3) – 50% confidence
Place: Rebel Prince (4) – 30% confidence
Show: Flatter My Dad (5) – 15% confidence
Alternative: El Papacito (2) – 5% confidence

Race notes: Clavin (3) commands the strongest consensus on the card, but several analysts warn about the risk of taking a short price on a high-profile firster in for a tag. Rebel Prince (4) and Flatter My Dad (5) provide proven-form alternatives, while El Papacito (2) appears in a number of value and underneath roles.

Other runners include: Quain (1), Gallo (6)

Recommended Exotic Plays by Race

Race 1 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Analysts often structure exactas and trifectas around Quincannon (5) on top, with Catahoula Moon (1) and Happy Jaunt (3) as primary underneath keys. Several recommend using Sailor's Return (7) and Candycrumbs (8) as third and fourth-slot inclusions in trifecta and superfecta wheels to capture a price if the pace collapses late.

Race 2 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Many analysts suggest boxing Pont Aven (5) and Higher Sense (1) in exactas, while adding Long Legged Luis (4) and Majestic Blue (2) in trifecta slots for coverage. Some advocate narrower vertical tickets with Pont Aven (5) and Higher Sense (1) in the top two positions, leaning on Paynted Lion (3) only in deeper superfecta constructions.

Race 3 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Because of the deep top tier, analysts recommend spreading in trifectas and superfectas, using Sir George (3), Call Me Victorious (2), Capitaine (4), and Prime Ranger (5) in multiple combinations. Some exotic strategies lean on Sir George (3) in the win slot while rotating the other three, with Twin Lakes (1) and Margie's Last (7) reserved for fourth in superfectas at bigger prices.

Race 4 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Exotic constructions frequently use Joe The Jet (4) and Tony Eclipse (2) as the main exacta keys, with Derbyness (6) and Radauti (1) added in trifecta boxes where budget allows. Analysts suggest including Wyoming Class (5) and Amazing Bernie (3) only as deep superfecta fill-ins given their lesser overall support.

Race 5 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Kerness K (2) is often placed atop exactas and trifectas, with Just For The Money (1) and El Divino Nino (5) as the principal underneath pieces. Some analysts recommend saver tickets that flip Just For The Money (1) or El Divino Nino (5) on top, with Forrest City (4) and Spotted Bull (8) as key longshots for third and fourth in larger trifecta and superfecta spreads.

Race 6 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Vertical plays commonly key Over My Cents (4) and Maidstone (7) first and second, using Sweet Honey Bee (2) and Julie Belle (6) in the third and fourth slots. A few analysts advocate broader coverage including Aeronyx (1), Ready For Magic (3), and Amadea (9) in superfectas when the pace profile suggests a potential late collapse.

Race 7 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Slewperstitus (7) is frequently used as the top anchor in exactas and trifectas, combined with Our Golden Gator (8) and Sweet Shenanigans (2). Analysts aiming for bigger payouts incorporate Tacit Value (4), Honor Roll (6), and Juniper's Jubilee (5) into third and fourth positions, acknowledging the race's volatile pace dynamics.

Race 8 – Recommended Exotic Plays

Most recommended structures press Clavin (3) over Rebel Prince (4) and Flatter My Dad (5) in exactas and trifectas. Some value-oriented analysts also build saver tickets that downplay Clavin (3) and lean on Rebel Prince (4) or Flatter My Dad (5) on top, with El Papacito (2) and Quain (1) as longshot additions to the bottom of superfecta tickets.

Value Play Observations

Analyst consensus suggests that Quincannon (5) in Race 1 and Clavin (3) in Race 8 might go off at prices shorter than their true winning probabilities, making them potential underlays in straight win markets even while they remain central exotic pieces. By contrast, horses like Sailor's Return (7) in Race 1, Long Legged Luis (4) in Race 2, and Forrest City (4) in Race 5 repeatedly appear as secondary or alternative mentions, implying overlays if their board prices drift into mid-double-digit territories.

Several mid-range contenders such as Capitaine (4) in Race 3, Derbyness (6) in Race 4, and Sweet Shenanigans (2) in Race 7 show up across multiple analyst lists without being dominant top picks, indicating useful value as key underneath horses in verticals. In terms of raw probability versus morning line, Kerness K (2) in Race 5 and Over My Cents (4) in Race 6 appear fairly priced as key win threats but may offer slightly positive expected value if their win odds hold near the quoted lines.

Overall Wagering Strategy

Strongest consensus races on the card appear to be Race 5, Race 6, and especially Race 8, where Kerness K (2), Over My Cents (4), and Clavin (3) respectively attract the bulk of top-choice support and are repeatedly positioned as central win anchors. In these races, analysts often build around a single or narrow pair of horses in multi-race tickets, trusting their form and pace advantages.

By contrast, Race 3 and Race 4 exhibit more divided opinions, with Sir George (3), Call Me Victorious (2), Capitaine (4), and Prime Ranger (5) all drawing meaningful support in the former, and Joe The Jet (4), Tony Eclipse (2), Derbyness (6), and Radauti (1) sharing the spotlight in the latter. These split-opinion races suit wider spreading strategies, especially when used as middle legs in Pick 3 or Pick 4 sequences to capture possible upsets without excessive bankroll exposure.

From a multi-race perspective, sequences that include Race 5 through Race 8 offer the most attractive blend of solid anchors and calculated spreads, notably a late Pick 4 using Kerness K (2) or Just For The Money (1) as a base in Race 5, Over My Cents (4) and Maidstone (7) in Race 6, Slewperstitus (7) and Our Golden Gator (8) in Race 7, and Clavin (3) with backups to Rebel Prince (4) and Flatter My Dad (5) in Race 8. This alignment reduces volatility while preserving upside through strategic use of backup contenders where analyst opinion is less concentrated.

Exotic value opportunities emerge most clearly in the more competitive races—particularly Race 1, Race 3, and Race 7—where the presence of multiple plausible winners increases the likelihood of inflated exotic payouts. In these spots, a practical approach is to key one or two preferred runners in the top slot while spreading in the lower positions with logical alternatives and price horses that analysts mention but do not universally endorse, such as Sailor's Return (7), Margie's Last (7), and Tacit Value (4).

Given the expected cool weather and standard dirt conditions, no major track bias is anticipated from the advance information, so bettors can primarily rely on form, pace, and class without heavy adjustment for environment. The overall analyst landscape suggests prioritizing strong opinions in the later races while taking more coverage early, balancing aggression on high-consensus favorites with disciplined use of value-oriented longshots in deeper vertical constructions.

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