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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Claiming, 1433Y, Dirt
Win: 2. Hellz Kitchen (87%)
Place: 1. Kid Rich (75%)
Show: 3. Thirsted (50%)
Alternative: 4. Never Say Uncle (37%)
Notes: Analysts highlight the class drop and surface switch for the top pick as a major advantage. The runner-up choice is considered the “fitter” horse, making them a safer bet for exotics.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight, 1323Y, Dirt
Win: 6. Tomschickenfingers (87%)
Place: 1. Speightful Storm (75%)
Show: 4. Liberty Rising (50%)
Alternative: 2. Alzero (37%)
Notes: Strong agreement on the top two, with the favorite noted for high figures on turf that translate well to dirt. The alternative pick is fresh and could surprise off the bench.
Race 3 – Allowance, 1542Y, Dirt
Win: 5. Pinky Brier (87%)
Place: 6. St. Brigid’s Cross (75%)
Show: 4. Lady Rose (50%)
Alternative: 2. Rina’s Revenge (37%)
Notes: Near unanimity on the winner, who is seeking a third consecutive victory. The second choice is respected but generally seen as playing for second place.
Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile, Dirt
Win: 1. Ellesmere Island (62%)
Place: 4. She’s A Gemma (62%)
Show: 2. My Sherrona (62%)
Alternative: 5. Tatania (25%)
Notes: A competitive race where the top three are interchangeable on many tickets. The favorite is fresh off a break, while the alternative pick is flagged as a potential improver with a pedigree boost.
Race 5 – Maiden Claiming, 1433Y, Dirt
Win: 4. Alias (87%)
Place: 1. Pop Goes The Wiz (37%)
Show: 2. Magnanimous Max (50%)
Alternative: 6. Fiddling Felix (37%)
Notes: The favorite is widely seen as the class of the field, returning to a winning level. The runner-up is a “wildcard” first-starter that could pop at a price.
Race 6 – Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt
Win: 8. She’s Complicated (62%)
Place: 7. Toxic Girl (50%)
Show: 3. Queen In The Deck (50%)
Alternative: 6. Sight To See (50%)
Notes: A scrambled consensus suggests a wide-open race. While the favorite has form, several analysts suggest looking for value with the alternative picks who may offer better odds.
Race 7 – Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt
Win: 7. Metatron (62%)
Place: 8. Toga Dan (75%)
Show: 6. Good Bali (50%)
Alternative: 3. Cocktailsnkringle (37%)
Notes: Consistency is the theme here, with the top picks all showing reliable form at this level. The alternative choice is highlighted as a “systems play” based on trainer/jockey stats.
Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight, 1433Y, Dirt
Win: 5. Party In The Army (75%)
Place: 6. Music In Motion (62%)
Show: 7. Central Spirit (37%)
Alternative: 2. Deacon Blues (37%)
Notes: The favorite is described as a potential “crush,” though the second pick has enough support to suggest a exacta box is prudent. The deeper picks are largely speculative.
Exotic Bets & Value Plays
Daily Double (Races 2 & 3):
Create a ticket using 6. Tomschickenfingers and 1. Speightful Storm in Race 2, linked with the heavy favorite 5. Pinky Brier in Race 3. This leverages the day’s strongest opinions.
Pick 3 (Races 6, 7, 8):
Consider a structure of 6, 7, 8 in Race 6 (wide open), 7, 8 in Race 7, and singling 5. Party In The Army in Race 8. This ticket attacks the most volatile leg first while relying on the “best bet” to close it out.
Value Play (Race 4):
5. Tatania is a compelling value play. While not the consensus favorite, analysts note trouble in her debut and a pedigree that suggests major improvement. At likely elevated odds, she is a prime candidate for vertical exotics.
Longshot Alert (Race 7):
3. Cocktailsnkringle offers intriguing upset potential. Analysts point to strong underlying trainer/jockey metrics that may be overlooked by the public, making this horse a smart inclusion in trifectas.
