Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.

Race 1 – Maiden Claiming – 1 Mile – Dirt – 10:40 AM BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: 6 Island Charm (42% confidence)🥈
Place: 7 Cathedral Aisle (50% confidence)🥉
Show: 2 Ivy Girl (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 3 Luciana’s Honor (33% confidence)

Close race between the top two with Island Charm and Cathedral Aisle receiving nearly equal support. Island Charm transitions from turf to dirt which should help, while Cathedral Aisle drops in class after placing in debut. Ivy Girl enters as a first-time starter with breeding support.

Race 2 – Claiming – 6.5 Furlongs – Dirt – 11:10 AM

Win: 3 Take Me To Londyn (46% confidence)🥈
Place: 5 Tough Love Torres (54% confidence)
Show: 2 Calling An Audible (25% confidence)
Alternative: 6 Timia (29% confidence)🥉

Take Me To Londyn gets narrow edge despite Tough Love Torres receiving more place support. Both have solid recent form at the track. Calling An Audible broke maiden last out while Timia adds trainer change intrigue.

Race 3 – Allowance – 7 Furlongs – Dirt – 11:40 AM WIN

Win: 7 Blue Kingdom (54% confidence)🥇
Place: 1 Trust Issues (58% confidence)
Show: 5 Buttah (33% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4 Pass The Hat (21% confidence)

Blue Kingdom leads the consensus with front-running style and class drop working in his favor. Trust Issues drops after winning last out and draws favorably. Buttah returns from layoff while Pass The Hat adds depth.

Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 1/16 Miles – Turf – 12:10 PM

Win: 6 Scope (75% confidence)
Place: 9 Boss Henry (54% confidence)🥉
Show: 11 Copa De Plata (46% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 7 A Little At First (33% confidence)🥇

Scope dominates the consensus with Todd Pletcher and expensive price tag suggesting major ability. Boss Henry removes blinkers and returns from break with Chad Brown. Copa De Plata improves for Mark Casse third time out.

Race 5 – Claiming – 7 Furlongs – Dirt – 12:40 PM WIN

Win: 6 Master Of Arms (85% confidence)🥇
Place: 5 Cathedral Beach (54% confidence)🥉
Show: 4 Bold Victory (38% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Grouch (23% confidence)🥈

Master Of Arms is the overwhelming consensus dropping drastically in class with elite speed figures for this level. Cathedral Beach drops after disappointing efforts but has shown ability. Bold Victory upset last out at bigger odds.

Race 6 – Allowance – 6 Furlongs – Turf – 1:10 PM

Win: 10 One Last Knock (46% confidence)🥉
Place: 5 Long Legged Queen (33% confidence)🥈
Show: 1 Artistic Success (25% confidence)
Alternative: 3 Alpine Giant (25% confidence)

Wide open turf sprint with multiple viable options. One Last Knock has consistent form with exacta finishes. Long Legged Queen won at big odds last out. Artistic Success and Alpine Giant round out competitive group.

Race 7 – Jockey Club Oaks Grade 3 – 1 3/8 Miles – Turf – 1:39 PM WIN

Win: 4 Fionn (46% confidence)🥇
Place: 7 Laurelin (54% confidence)🥈
Show: 2 Hereforagoodtime (25% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Evershed (21% confidence)

Feature race shapes as two-horse battle between Fionn and Laurelin with experts nearly split. Fionn brings graded stakes wins and Brad Cox/Flavien Prat power. Laurelin counters with 5-for-6 record and only loss in Grade 1 company. Hereforagoodtime offers value as closer.

Race 8 – Allowance – 6.5 Furlongs – Dirt – 2:09 PM

Win: 2 Long Pour (46% confidence)
Place: 6 Empire Sky (50% confidence)
Show: 1 Manhattan Twist (38% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Three B’s (29% confidence)🥈

Long Pour narrowly leads with Steven Asmussen training and consistent form. Empire Sky returns fresh with strong local record. Manhattan Twist returns from year layoff but adds Lasix and Prat. Three B’s wins for Linda Rice third time back.

Race 9 – Knickerbocker Stakes – 1 1/8 Miles – Turf – 2:39 PM WIN

Win: 4 Ohana Honor (46% confidence)🥇
Place: 3 Trikari (54% confidence)
Show: 7 Air Recruit (50% confidence)
Alternative: 1 Dear Dad (25% confidence)

Competitive stakes with three horses receiving strong support. Ohana Honor exits graded company third off break. Trikari returns to conditions where he thrives. Air Recruit undefeated returning from layoffs. Wide open race with value throughout.

Race 10 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 1/16 Miles – Turf – 3:09 PM

Win: 9 Delightful Darling (54% confidence)
Place: 8 Siouxse (42% confidence)🥇
Show: 1 Mis Brunellas (33% confidence)
Alternative: 12 Isadora Duncan (33% confidence)🥈

Delightful Darling leads consensus for Mark Casse with consistent form. Siouxse stretches out after strong recent effort. Mis Brunellas placed in both starts for William Mott. Isadora Duncan represents Chad Brown as first-time starter.

---

Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
Spread early then key the standout:
Race 1: 6, 7, 3, 2
Race 2: 3, 5, 2
Race 3: 7, 1
Race 4: 6
Race 5: 6
Ticket cost: $12 for $1

Pick 4 (Races 4-7)
Key strong race, spread the Grade 3:
Race 4: 6, 9
Race 5: 6
Race 6: 10, 1, 5, 3
Race 7: 4, 7
Ticket cost: $16 for $1

Late Pick 5 (Races 6-10)
Race 6: 10, 1, 5, 3
Race 7: 4, 7
Race 8: 2, 6, 1
Race 9: 4, 3, 7
Race 10: 9, 12, 8
Ticket cost: $72 for $1

Pick 6 (Races 5-10)
Single the standout, spread the rest:
Race 5: 6
Race 6: 10, 1, 5
Race 7: 4, 7
Race 8: 2, 6, 1
Race 9: 4, 3, 7
Race 10: 9, 12, 8
Ticket cost: $81 for $1

Value Exacta Boxes
Race 3: 7-1 ($5 box = $10)
Race 7: 4-7 ($10 box = $20)
Race 9: 4-3-7 ($5 box = $30)

Best Bet Win Wagers
Race 4: 6 Scope ($30 Win)
Race 5: 6 Master Of Arms ($50 Win)
Race 7: 4 Fionn / 7 Laurelin ($20 Win each)

Trifecta Value Constructions
Race 4: 6 with 9,11,7 with 9,11,7,8 ($18 for $1)
Race 7: 4,7 with 4,7,2 with 4,7,2,5 ($20 for $1)
Race 9: 4,3 with 4,3,7 with 4,3,7,1 ($24 for $1)

Longshot Value Plays
Race 1: 5 Whatta Weekend Win/Place ($10 total)
Race 7: 2 Hereforagoodtime Win ($10)
Race 9: 6 Signator Win ($5)
Race 10: 2 Perfect Twirl Win ($10)

Daily Double Strategies
Races 4-5: 6 with 6 ($20)
Races 5-6: 6 with 10,1,5,3 ($20 for $5)
Races 7-8: 4,7 with 2,6,1 ($30 for $5)

Superfecta Value Plays
Race 4: 6 with 9,11 with 9,11,7 with 9,11,7,8 ($12 for $1)
Race 5: 6 with 5,4 with 5,4,8 with ALL ($18 for $0.10)