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Race 1 – Claiming, 1542Y (7F), Dirt, $13,600
Win: 1 Bold Rock (83%)
Place: 8 Prime Shopping (50%)
Show: 5 Riverlee (33%)
Alternative: 9 Grandpa Joe (33%)
Notes: Bold Rock draws strong consensus support with five of six analysts favoring this runner. The rail post position provides tactical advantage on the tight Charles Town oval. Prime Shopping offers competitive value with consistent recent form at this level. Riverlee and Grandpa Joe split alternative consideration, both showing improvement patterns that warrant inclusion in exotic wagers.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight, 1542Y (7F), Dirt, $30,600
Win: 3 Magic Moon Spell (71%)
Place: 8 Radiant Tones (57%)
Show: 1 Langleyswaterfall (71%)
Alternative: 4 Party Queen (57%)
Notes: Magic Moon Spell commands strong analyst support with recent consistent performances suggesting readiness to break maiden status. Radiant Tones brings depth with five placings from nine starts this preparation. Langleyswaterfall draws perfectly from the rail and shows tactical speed that suits the track configuration. Party Queen rounds out the top selections with solid placing credentials.
Race 3 – Claiming, 8F 110Y (1 1/16 miles), Dirt, $12,900
Win: 5 Box Office (83%)
Place: 9 Electioneering (50%)
Show: 10 Il Marchesse (50%)
Alternative: 4 Fabelman (67%)
Notes: Box Office dominates analyst selections on a six-day turnaround with two placings from three starts this preparation. The two-turn route suits runners with proven stamina credentials. Electioneering brings competitive value after narrow defeat as favorite last start. Il Marchesse returns from freshening with each-way claims. Fabelman warrants exotic consideration on another quick turnaround with five placings from nine starts.
Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, $30,600
Win: 4 Dip Fantasia (100%)
Place: 8 Peaceful Union (67%)
Show: 2 Queen Valentine (67%)
Alternative: 1 Beverly Crusher (50%)
Notes: Dip Fantasia achieves unanimous analyst support following second-place finish at Charles Town. The distance increase appears favorable given running style. Peaceful Union offers strong place credentials with third-place finish last start and improving fitness trajectory. Queen Valentine stretches out in distance, potentially benefiting from added ground. Beverly Crusher steps down to non-metro grade with competitive credentials.
Race 5 – Claiming, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, $13,600
Win: 4 Running Rio (100%)
Place: 9 Genuine Peril (67%)
Show: 10 Talbot Heirloom (50%)
Alternative: 2 Kiss Cam (33%)
Notes: Running Rio receives unanimous backing attempting first try at this distance after placing as favorite last start. The class relief and distance extension align favorably. Genuine Peril won once this preparation and brings competitive recent form. Talbot Heirloom won last start and shows improving trajectory with two wins from nine attempts this campaign. Multiple win threats suggest competitive pace dynamics.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, $30,600
Win: 1 Lolita (67%)
Place: 8 Johanna (67%)
Show: 3 Julita Bonita (50%)
Alternative: 10 Dixiespeprmintwist (33%)
Notes: Lolita and Johanna share equal analyst support, setting up competitive win scenario. Lolita draws the rail advantage with placing form from three starts this preparation. Johanna returns from six-week freshening after third-place finish in only career start. The tactical speed battle between these fillies shapes the pace structure. Julita Bonita placed once this preparation but faces consistency questions. Longshot value exists with multiple contenders creating pace pressure.
Race 7 – Claiming, 1542Y (7F), Dirt, $18,200
Win: 8 Collecting Angels (71%)
Place: 4 Impressionism (86%)
Show: 2 Look Ahead (71%)
Alternative: 9 Slewing (29%)
Notes: Collecting Angels placed as favorite last start and commands strong win support. Impressionism earns near-unanimous place consideration with fifth-place finish last start suggesting improvement trajectory. Look Ahead brings competitive credentials despite seventh-place finish last time. The pace setup appears honest with multiple runners showing tactical speed. Slewing offers alternative consideration with improving recent efforts.
Race 8 – Allowance, 1433Y (6.5F), Dirt, $31,700
Win: 6 Double Spirit (86%)
Place: 4 Mamawasagogogirl (71%)
Show: 1 Ride To Remember (57%)
Alternative: 2 Suzies Pride (43%)
Notes: Double Spirit dominates analyst selections coming off victory at Charles Town with favorable record as favorite. Mamawasagogogirl returns from nine-week spell with competitive last-start form, adding freshness dimension. Ride To Remember brings consistent credentials warranting place consideration. Suzies Pride won last start to break maiden, suggesting continued improvement trajectory. The competitive nature of allowance company creates value opportunities in exotic wagers.
Race 9 – Maiden Claiming, 1542Y (7F), Dirt, $12,400
Win: 9 Professor Grace (71%)
Place: 12 Belliqueux (43%)
Show: 2 Proud Words (43%)
Alternative: 1 Vamonos Chicas (43%)
Notes: Professor Grace drops from Laurel Park to Charles Town claiming ranks, creating significant class relief advantage. The step down in competition level suggests strong win probability. Belliqueux earned strong backing from select analysts after competitive recent performances. Proud Words shows consistency with two placings from five starts this preparation. Vamonos Chicas draws the rail advantage while returning to non-metro class. The maiden claiming condition creates unpredictability, suggesting wide-open exotic wagering opportunities.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Value Play: While Bold Rock commands strong consensus support, Prime Shopping at projected 7-2 odds offers competitive value given consistent recent form. Consider exacta box combining Bold Rock, Prime Shopping, and Grandpa Joe for $12 investment providing coverage of likely top-three finishers.
Race 2 Key Wager: Magic Moon Spell and Langleyswaterfall both earn 71% confidence, creating competitive win scenario. Exacta wheel using both horses over Radiant Tones and Party Queen provides strong coverage at reasonable cost.
Race 3 Single Use: Box Office achieves 83% confidence and runs back quickly, suggesting sharp current form. Use as single in Daily Double and Pick 3 sequences, spreading underneath in other races.
Race 4 Anchor Play: Dip Fantasia receives unanimous support, making this race ideal for vertical wager anchoring. Use as single in Pick 3 and Pick 4 sequences while spreading other races. The prohibitive odds suggest exacta and trifecta focus rather than win betting.
Race 5 Building Block: Running Rio earns 100% confidence, providing another vertical wager anchor. Daily Double from Race 4 to Race 5 using Dip Fantasia with Running Rio costs $2 and offers foundation for multi-race sequences.
Race 6 Competitive Scenario: Lolita and Johanna split top support at 67% each, creating competitive exacta opportunity. Box these fillies with Julita Bonita and Dixiespeprmintwist for $12 exacta providing coverage of split scenario.
Race 7 Place Focus: Impressionism earns 86% place confidence, highest of any non-win position. Consider place betting on Impressionism while using exacta combinations with Collecting Angels, Look Ahead, and Slewing.
Race 8 Strong Favorite: Double Spirit commands 86% win confidence at projected 8-5 odds. While win betting offers limited value, use in exacta wheels over Mamawasagogogirl, Ride To Remember, and Suzies Pride. Trifecta box of top four provides reasonable coverage.
Race 9 Class Relief: Professor Grace drops significantly in class, creating value opportunity despite 71% confidence. Win betting offers strong value proposition. Exacta wheel using Professor Grace over Belliqueux, Proud Words, and Vamonos Chicas provides exotic coverage.
Pick 3 Sequence (Races 4-5-6): Dip Fantasia with Running Rio with Lolita and Johanna costs $4 and leverages two unanimous selections while spreading the competitive Race 6 scenario.
Pick 4 Sequence (Races 6-7-8-9): Use Lolita and Johanna in Race 6, Collecting Angels and Impressionism in Race 7, Double Spirit single in Race 8, and Professor Grace and Belliqueux in Race 9. This $16 ticket provides coverage of competitive scenarios while using strongest selection as single.
Late Pick 4 Alternative: For deeper coverage, expand Race 7 to include Look Ahead and Slewing, creating $32 ticket with broader race coverage while maintaining Pick Pony analyst consensus selections.
The evening card presents multiple anchoring opportunities with unanimous selections in Races 4 and 5, while competitive scenarios in Races 1, 2, 6, and 9 create exotic wagering value. Focus vertical wagers around strong consensus plays while utilizing competitive races for horizontal wager spreading.
