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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming – 8F 110Y – Dirt
Win: 3 – Box Office (100% confidence)🥈
Place: 6 – Fabelman (75% confidence)🥉
Show: 2 – Defiant Giant (75% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 4 – Como (25% confidence)
Analyst Notes: Strongest consensus of the card with Box Office unanimous choice across all sources. This race shows clear hierarchy with Box Office controlling the outcome barring injury or interference. Fabelman and Defiant Giant compete for place and show honors with consistent support.
Race 2 – Claiming – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 2 – Nothing But Heir (100% confidence)🥈
Place: 6 – Covert Kat (75% confidence)
Show: 5 – Sassy Lad (75% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 7 – Gold Fiber (25% confidence)🥇
Analyst Notes: Perfect consensus on winner with Nothing But Heir appearing in all win positions. Track specialist status and consecutive victories make this race predictable. Secondary positions offer value with Covert Kat and Sassy Lad providing sufficient placing form.
Race 3 – Allowance – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 4 – Cry Tough (100% confidence)
Place: 6 – Climate Change (75% confidence)
Show: 3 – I’m A Cool Queen (75% confidence)🥉
Analyst Notes: Unanimous backing for Cry Tough indicates strong fundamentals. Climate Change provides balanced contention with trip preference. I’m A Cool Queen adds intrigue as returning maiden winner, offering strong exotic value.
Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 1 – Don’t Call Me Babe (80% confidence)🥉
Place: 3 – Pneumo Warrior (60% confidence)
Show: 4 – Innocent Nyght (40% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 8 – Collegeville Queen (20% confidence)
Analyst Notes: Race shows healthy disagreement with one analyst preferring Innocent Nyght and another selecting Pneumo Warrior in top spot. Don’t Call Me Babe receives strong endorsement for second attempt syndrome with ideal positioning. Watch for Pneumo Warrior as potential upset candidate with favorable trip reduction.
Race 5 – Claiming – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 4 – Hopping Henry (60% confidence)
Place: 5 – Cajun Joe (40% confidence)
Show: 3 – Mean Jakey (40% confidence)
Alternative: 2 – Callin My Name (20% confidence)🥉
Analyst Notes: Split consensus between Hopping Henry and Mean Jakey indicates competitive race. Hopping Henry’s recent victory provides edge. Mean Jakey threat comes from placed form and trainer pattern. Cajun Joe offers natural second position with recent placing. Race structure suggests genuine competitive balance.
Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 2 – Talkin Pharoah (80% confidence)🥇
Place: 3 – Restless (60% confidence)
Show: 4 – Grapnel (60% confidence)
Alternative: 7 – It’s Sizzling Time (20% confidence)🥉
Analyst Notes: Talkin Pharoah earns strong consensus with track specialist credentials. One analyst shows contrarian view selecting Restless for top. Place battle features quality contenders with Restless and Grapnel offering different running styles. Potential for upset if outside speed gains advantage.
Race 7 – Allowance – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 4 – Coastal Cruise (80% confidence)🥇
Place: 2 – Holiday Cash (80% confidence)🥈
Show: 7 – Mic’d Up (40% confidence)
Alternative: 9 – Dadsnumbronehelpr (40% confidence)🥉
Analyst Notes: Two-horse race with Coastal Cruise and Holiday Cash generating strong consensus through multiple analysts. Analysts specifically note close contest between top selections. This race offers one of better exacta opportunities with tight finishing expected. Secondary choices provide exotic building blocks.
Race 8 – Claiming – 995Y – Dirt
Win: 6 – Girl Zero (60% confidence)
Place: 8 – Empire’s Treat (40% confidence)
Show: 4 – P B Foxy (40% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 3 – Winning Moon (20% confidence)
Analyst Notes: Competitive finish expected with Girl Zero showing slight majority support. Empire’s Treat and P B Foxy both offer valid place credentials. Trip reduction for Empire’s Treat and recent placing form for P B Foxy suggest possible upset potential. Race provides overlay opportunities if Girl Zero moves above 60% win probability in betting.
Exotic Wagering Recommendations and Value Plays
Analysts recommend focusing on several key wagering opportunities across the Charles Town card. The strong consensus picks in Races 1, 2, and 3 favor win bets on Box Office, Nothing But Heir, and Cry Tough. However, trifecta and superfecta combinations offer the most value with supporting selections showing healthy backing.
Race 4 presents the best exotic overlay situation with competitive dynamics and split expert opinion. Don’t Call Me Babe-Pneumo Warrior-Innocent Nyght combinations warrant strong consideration for exacta and trifecta wagering.
Race 5 offers attractive place betting opportunities with the split consensus between Hopping Henry and Mean Jakey creating balanced odds. Both command legitimate claims to victory, making place overlays likely if either moves to secondary positions.
Races 7 and 8 present interesting exacta scenarios. Race 7’s Coastal Cruise-Holiday Cash pairing generates enthusiastic analyst support for a relatively tight prediction, suggesting exacta value. Race 8’s Girl Zero as win favorite combined with uncertain secondary positions creates profitable trifecta structures.
Pick Pony analysts recommend parlaying the strong consensus winners (Box Office, Nothing But Heir, Cry Tough) with overlay plays in Races 5, 7, and 8 for enhanced return potential while maintaining reasonable risk parameters.
