Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 Maiden Special Weight, 6.5F, Dirt, $30,600 WIN
Win: Double Spirit (7) – 100% Confidence🥇
Place: Amendment (3) – 38% Confidence
Place: Don’t Call Me Babe (2) – 38% Confidence🥈
Show: Don’t Call Me Babe (2) – 38% Confidence
Show: Amendment (3) – 25% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts show overwhelming consensus on Double Spirit to win this maiden special weight event. The filly has demonstrated multiple placing efforts at Charles Town and brings a rise in trip where she remains untested but well-positioned. Amendment offers the most appeal in the place spot with several analysts rating her show value in exotics.
Race 2 Allowance, 5.5F, Dirt, $31,700
Win: Keep On Coming (2) – 75% Confidence
Place: Head Of The Class (5) – 63% Confidence🥇
Show: McHale (3) – 38% Confidence🥈
Alternative: Bigz’s Cabana Boy (1) – 25% Confidence
Keep On Coming emerges as the clear consensus choice for the win after stepping down from better company. This filly returns from a layoff and the class drop presents significant value. Head Of The Class narrowly missed at this distance last time and wins at the track offer secondary support.
Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $27,700
Win: Ran The Red (8) – 50% Confidence🥉
Win: Neolithica (4) – 38% Confidence
Place: Neolithica (4) – 50% Confidence
Place: Mor Mor Mor (7) – 25% Confidence
Show: Miss Bee Bop (3) – 38% Confidence
Show: Neolithica (4) – 25% Confidence
This race splits the Pick Pony analysts between Ran The Red, fresh off a Charles Town victory with three wins in twelve starts this campaign, and Neolithica, returning to non-metro company after previous struggles at higher levels. Both offer legitimate winning chances. Miss Bee Bop’s recent Charles Town win with a move up in distance creates interesting each-way scenarios.
Race 4 Starter Optional Claiming, 5.5F, Dirt
Win: Gilda’s Girl (5) – 63% Confidence
Place: Seven Natty Patty (3) – 63% Confidence🥈
Show: Notiptoni (1) – 63% Confidence🥇
Alternative: Fine Whining (4) – 25% Confidence
Gilda’s Girl draws consensus support despite a troubled last effort at Laurel Park, as the trainer claims strong performance at Charles Town under lights. Seven Natty Patty’s six course victories provide compelling evidence. Notiptoni’s recent win with ideal post positioning rounds out the consensus order.
Race 5 Claiming, 7F, Dirt WIN
Win: Jester’s Song (1) – 63% Confidence🥇
Place: Overly Critical (4) – 50% Confidence🥉
Show: Solomons Gold (8) – 50% Confidence
Alternative: Platinum Ghost (6) – 13% Confidence
Jester’s Song commands the win consensus despite finishing second as favorite last start, as the draw and historical form at Charles Town create positive angles. Overly Critical and Solomons Gold split the place and show votes, with both having specific track or class advantages worth monitoring.
Race 6 Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt
Win: Itzayana (5) – 75% Confidence🥉
Place: City Taah (6) – 50% Confidence
Show: Streetcorner (3) – 50% Confidence🥈
Itzayana dominates the consensus with multiple wins at Charles Town in non-metro company. The field compression creates value scenarios for City Taah and Streetcorner in the place and show spots. The race appears highly defensible with this trio.
Race 7 West Virginia Futurity, 7F, Dirt, $50,000 WIN
Win: Maskedandmummed (1) – 88% Confidence🥇
Place: Yolo Manolo (3) – 63% Confidence
Show: Truth And Justice (5) – 38% Confidence🥉
Alternative: Noble Ruling (4) – 25% Confidence
Maskedandmummed establishes dominant consensus with two wins from six starts this campaign and prior victories at Charles Town in stakes company. Yolo Manolo’s perfect record as a stakes winner and track knowledge make her the clear place choice. Truth And Justice and Noble Ruling complete the consensus order with lesser confidence levels.
Race 8 Maiden Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Not So Holy (5) – 100% Confidence🥉
Place: Idiosyncrasies (4) – 100% Confidence🥈
Show: Culminate (9) – 75% Confidence🥇
Pick Pony analysts show complete alignment on Not So Holy and Idiosyncrasies, with universal support based on Charles Town placement history and recent near-misses. The class drop proves decisive. Culminate’s late-race positioning offers secondary appeal in the show spot.
Recommended Exotic Plays and Value Opportunities
Race 1 provides an excellent win play at low odds with Double Spirit, but the place pool shows vulnerability with two horses competing at nearly equal confidence levels. Consider boxing Amendment and Don’t Call Me Babe in trifecta sequences as they create value uncertainty.
Race 2 offers a standout win pick in Keep On Coming, but consider the cross with Bigz’s Cabana Boy as an exacta possibility given the insider value approach to early positions and his front-running style.
Race 3 creates exotic opportunity given the split consensus. A key-race setup with Ran The Red and Neolithica as potential alternates in pick-3 sequences offers value. The presence of Gone With The Wyn, though lower-voted, provides late-running angles worth consideration in superfectas.
Race 4 establishes strong consensus across three positions, making this race ideal for straight pools. Exacta and trifecta combinations become more predictable and less valuable unless underlays appear.
Race 5 presents moderate consensus strength. The FanDuel support for Solomons Gold in the win position creates potential for exacta reversals, though Jester’s Song remains the preferred approach.
Race 6 emerges as the most defensible race with Itzayana likely overlaid. Consider multiple forms of exotic play centered on this filly as the anchor selection across the card.
Race 7 (West Virginia Futurity) showcases consensus confidence in Maskedandmummed that approaches certainty. Use this as a powerful cornerstone for multi-race exotic sequences if odds support the position.
Race 8 demonstrates unanimous consensus across the top two selections. This race qualifies as near-perfect for exacta backing at reasonable returns, assuming odds remain competitive.
Pick Pony analysts recommend stacking the card from strong consensus races to find value overlays, with Race 6 and Race 8 providing the most defensible base plays for multi-leg sequences.
