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Race 1 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: My Chulupa (10) – 50% confidence
Place: Black Cloud (11) – 40% confidence
Show: Gabbys Bling (5) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Hes the Bomb Too (1) – 40% confidence

Notes: Multiple analysts favor My Chulupa based on stalking style and strong recent form. Black Cloud receives support from analysts citing closing ability. Early speed dynamics will be critical with several forwardly placed runners. The pace scenario favors stalkers and mid-pack closers in this contentious claiming event.

Race 2 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: Pitch And Run (6) – 40% confidence
Place: Throwin’ Shade (9) – 60% confidence
Show: Strong Prospect (5) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Freddie By A Nose (4) – 40% confidence

Notes: Throwin’ Shade commands strong consensus support across multiple positions. Pitch And Run receives win endorsement from several analysts based on tactical speed. The race features clear pace dynamics with early speed from the inside posts. Analysts note value opportunities exist beyond the top choices in competitive claiming affair.

Race 3 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: Prince Liam (6) – 40% confidence
Place: Lee’s Wicked One (12) – 60% confidence
Show: Iron Fortune (3) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Yakety Yock (7) – 25% confidence

Notes: Prince Liam emerges as consensus win preference despite higher odds. Lee’s Wicked One commands strong place support from multiple sources. Analysts highlight the competitive nature of this claiming event with several viable contenders. Pace projection suggests favorable setup for mid-pack runners.

Race 4 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: Copter (10) – 50% confidence
Place: Global Stage (4) – 40% confidence
Show: Global Pride (5) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Truvy’s Bandit (6) – 40% confidence

Notes: Copter receives overwhelming support as the primary win contender. Global Stage and Global Pride both command significant consensus backing for exotic positions. Analysts note the race shape favors outside runners with tactical speed. Several sources identify this as a key wagering opportunity.

Race 5 – Allowance, 6.5F Dirt, $22,000 Purse

Win: Red Idol (3) – 40% confidence
Place: C F Spunie Style (1) – 40% confidence
Show: Run Carlos (8) – 60% confidence
Alternative: Sweet Talkin Slick (5) – 25% confidence

Notes: Run Carlos gains consensus support across multiple positions with analysts citing improving form. Red Idol and C F Spunie Style split opinions for win honors. The allowance condition creates competitive depth with several viable contenders. Pace scenario projects as honestly run with multiple runners showing early speed.

Race 6 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: Catalina Express (1) – 60% confidence
Place: U Rascal U (7) – 40% confidence
Show: Come On Mulitch (2) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Silver Screen (3) – 25% confidence

Notes: Catalina Express dominates consensus as the clear win preference from multiple sources. U Rascal U commands strong place support. Analysts note this race shows the strongest agreement among sources on the card. The favorite appears legitimate with solid credentials for this claiming level.

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 7F Dirt, $28,000 Purse

Win: Golden Glider (8) – 60% confidence
Place: Next Level (3) – 40% confidence
Show: Tdzshininluckystar (2) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Brite Outlook (7) – 40% confidence

Notes: Golden Glider receives overwhelming consensus support as the primary win contender. Next Level and Tdzshininluckystar both show strong backing for exotic positions. Multiple sources identify this as the strongest race on the card for favorite players. The extended distance favors tactical speed with strong late punch.

Race 8 – Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, $14,000 Purse

Win: Ellie Moore (2) – 75% confidence
Place: Baby Jane (4) – 40% confidence
Show: Good By Faith (12) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Girl From de Bayou (3) – 25% confidence

Notes: Ellie Moore commands dominant consensus support as overwhelming win choice across all sources. This represents the strongest consensus opinion on the entire card. Multiple analysts cite tactical advantages and strong recent form. The race appears to have a clear class distinction with the favorite appearing extremely legitimate.

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Exotic Bet Recommendations

Early Pick 4 (Races 1-4):
My Chulupa (R1) / Pitch And Run (R2) / Prince Liam (R3) / Copter (R4)
Cost: $24 for $1 base

Late Pick 4 (Races 5-8):
Catalina Express (R6) / Golden Glider (R7) / Ellie Moore (R8) with singles and spreading in R5
Cost: $36 for $0.50 base

Best Exacta Plays:

• Race 1: My Chulupa over Black Cloud and Gabbys Bling
• Race 4: Copter over Global Stage and Global Pride
• Race 6: Catalina Express over U Rascal U
• Race 8: Ellie Moore over Baby Jane and Good By Faith

Value Plays:

• Race 3: Prince Liam at expected 6-1 or higher represents strong consensus value
• Race 5: Run Carlos receives strong analyst support at likely attractive odds
• Race 7: Brite Outlook offers value consideration despite being alternative consensus selection

Trifecta Key:

• Race 2: Key Throwin’ Shade over Pitch And Run and Strong Prospect
• Race 6: Key Catalina Express over U Rascal U and Come On Mulitch
• Race 8: Key Ellie Moore over Baby Jane and Good By Faith

Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing bankroll allocation on races 6 and 8 where consensus agreement is strongest, while seeking value opportunities in competitive races 2, 3, and 5.