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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming – 5.0F Dirt – Purse approximate 26000 – Post Time 10:45 PM CST
Win: Getoutofdaway (10) – 60% Confidence
Place: Clever Race (2) – 50% Confidence
Show: Jenny’s Day (3) – 35% Confidence
Alternative: Real Silk (11) – 30% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts see a strong consensus that the outside speed from Getoutofdaway is the key win threat with multiple analysts anchoring this runner on top. The rail and inside stalking trip for Clever Race and Jenny’s Day creates a clustering of opinions for the underneath spots, while Real Silk offers a mid-price closing profile that several analysts used as a secondary choice.
Race 2 – Claiming – 6.5F Dirt – Purse approximate 26000 – Post Time 11:15 PM CST
Win: Charbon (4) – 70% Confidence
Place: Guns (3) – 45% Confidence
Show: Hwy Twenty Ride (7) – 35% Confidence
Alternative: Cowboy Cause (8) – 25% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts show a clear lean toward Charbon as the key pace and class edge, with every major source keeping this horse in the top two. The stalking pair Guns and Hwy Twenty Ride fill most of the underneath structure, while Cowboy Cause profiles as a late-running value horse who could benefit if the top trio engages in an early duel.
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – 5.0F Dirt – Purse approximate 24000 – Post Time 11:43 PM CST
Win: Charge the Deal (3) – 80% Confidence
Place: My Vision (2) – 60% Confidence
Show: Hint Hint (11) – 35% Confidence
Alternative: Major Move (1) – 30% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts are tightly aligned around Charge the Deal and My Vision as the two most reliable maiden profiles, both appearing consistently on top in algorithmic and human lists. Hint Hint offers a mild upset angle on figures and rider switch, while Major Move projects as a pace-pressing inside trip that several analysts included in the extended exotics.
Race 4 – Allowance – 1M Dirt – Purse 24000 – Post Time 12:11 AM CST
Win: Pharoahs Baby Gyal (1) – 65% Confidence
Place: Bold Exaggeration (4) – 50% Confidence
Show: Madison Rae (6) – 40% Confidence
Alternative: Need Some Money (3) – 25% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts emphasize Pharoahs Baby Gyal as the class and pace control, with multiple sources locking this mare into the win slot. Bold Exaggeration repeatedly appears as the main danger stretching to the mile, while Madison Rae attracts solid respect from both probability tables and human pick lines. Need Some Money fits as a grinding late threat who could upgrade if the top trio over-commit early.
Race 5 – Claiming – 7.5F Dirt – Purse 24000 – Post Time 12:39 AM CST
Win: B Minor (10) – 55% Confidence
Place: Golden Quality (7) – 50% Confidence
Show: Dried Pepper (9) – 35% Confidence
Alternative: Crime Spree (3) – 25% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts show a slight preference for B Minor as the most reliable finisher at the extended sprint trip, while Golden Quality draws heavy support as an on-pace alternative. Dried Pepper remains a respected win contender per the algorithmic analyst but shows up more often underneath in human selections. Crime Spree is a longshot closer that analysts view as a live exotic piece if the pace gets contested.
Race 6 – Claiming 15000 – 5.0F Dirt – Purse 45000 – Post Time 1:04 AM CST
Win: Cajun Cattitude (6) – 75% Confidence
Place: Viv’s Wild Aces (1) – 60% Confidence
Show: Bet Towinit (4) – 45% Confidence
Alternative: Cajun Catalina (3) – 35% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts are highly concentrated on Cajun Cattitude as the key speed and repeat winner, with every major source placing this runner at or near the top. Viv’s Wild Aces offers strong recent local form and a stalking style that appears repeatedly in second and third, while Bet Towinit holds a steady presence in the exacta and trifecta structures. Cajun Catalina is considered a balanced stalking alternative with enough support to be a legitimate upset candidate and strong exotic inclusion.
Race 7 – Allowance – 5.0F Dirt – Purse 36000 – Post Time 1:32 AM CST
Win: Paynted Blue (3) – 70% Confidence
Place: Numero Siete (4) – 55% Confidence
Show: Loudermilk (6) – 45% Confidence
Alternative: El Rojo Vivo (1) – 35% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts align strongly on Paynted Blue as the primary win choice, supported by both probability models and multiple human pick lines. Numero Siete and Loudermilk share a tight cluster as the main challengers, with some analysts preferring the class and gate speed of Numero Siete and others siding with Loudermilk’s rider and recent figures. El Rojo Vivo appears frequently in the superfecta zone and is viewed as a reliable underneath player who can capitalize if the main speeds soften late.
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming – 5.0F Dirt – Purse 24000 – Post Time 2:00 AM CST
Win: No Soy Borracho (4) – 85% Confidence
Place: Bradford (10) – 70% Confidence
Show: Puckster (6) – 55% Confidence
Alternative: Blazing Saber (11) – 25% Confidence
Pick Pony analysts show one of the strongest race-wide consensuses on the card around No Soy Borracho and Bradford, with both appearing at the top of nearly every list. Puckster is consistently used in third or fourth as a logical progression play, while Blazing Saber gains support mainly from the algorithmic analyst as a lightly used but interesting upside runner for deeper tickets.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1
Win: Getoutofdaway (10)
Place: Clever Race (2)
Show: Jenny’s Day (3)
Alternative: Real Silk (11)
Exotic suggestions:
Exacta structure focusing on Getoutofdaway over Clever Race and Jenny’s Day. Trifecta and superfecta tickets can key Getoutofdaway on top with Clever Race, Jenny’s Day, and Real Silk in the underneath spots. Analysts also see Real Silk as a useful superfecta inclusion when spreading deeper.
Race 2
Win: Charbon (4)
Place: Guns (3)
Show: Hwy Twenty Ride (7)
Alternative: Cowboy Cause (8)
Exotic suggestions:
Exacta and trifecta structures keying Charbon over Guns and Hwy Twenty Ride appear strongly aligned with analyst opinion. Pick Pony analysts recommend spreading one slot underneath with Cowboy Cause as a price horse to capture a collapsing pace scenario.
Race 3
Win: Charge the Deal (3)
Place: My Vision (2)
Show: Hint Hint (11)
Alternative: Major Move (1)
Exotic suggestions:
A strong vertical emphasis is suggested with Charge the Deal and My Vision in exacta boxes. Trifecta and superfecta plays can use Charge the Deal as a single in the win slot, with My Vision, Hint Hint, and Major Move layered underneath to capitalize on the tight consensus among analysts.
Race 4
Win: Pharoahs Baby Gyal (1)
Place: Bold Exaggeration (4)
Show: Madison Rae (6)
Alternative: Need Some Money (3)
Exotic suggestions:
Pick Pony analysts favor daily double and pick 3 sequences anchored by Pharoahs Baby Gyal as a central single in multi-race wagers. Within-race, exactas and trifectas using Pharoahs Baby Gyal over Bold Exaggeration and Madison Rae align closely with the combined projections. Need Some Money appears as a superfecta depth play for bettors seeking added price.
Race 5
Win: B Minor (10)
Place: Golden Quality (7)
Show: Dried Pepper (9)
Alternative: Crime Spree (3)
Exotic suggestions:
Analysts recommend exacta boxes with B Minor and Golden Quality, using Dried Pepper as a key third-place anchor in trifectas. Crime Spree fits best as a superfecta and deep trifecta inclusion, especially for players looking to lean into a potential pace meltdown.
Race 6
Win: Cajun Cattitude (6)
Place: Viv’s Wild Aces (1)
Show: Bet Towinit (4)
Alternative: Cajun Catalina (3)
Exotic suggestions:
Because Cajun Cattitude is so heavily featured on top, Pick Pony analysts suggest exactas that single Cajun Cattitude over Viv’s Wild Aces and Bet Towinit. For trifectas and superfectas, spreading underneath with Cajun Catalina and Shamay, while still keeping Cajun Cattitude on top, best reflects the combined analyst view.
Race 7
Win: Paynted Blue (3)
Place: Numero Siete (4)
Show: Loudermilk (6)
Alternative: El Rojo Vivo (1)
Exotic suggestions:
This race shapes well as a vertical key situation with Paynted Blue as a logical single in win slots. Exactas and trifectas should revolve around the 3 with 4 and 6 as primary underneath options, and El Rojo Vivo as an additional piece for superfectas. Analysts view spreading with Army Wildcatter in deeper horizontal sequences as a minor upset lever.
Race 8
Win: No Soy Borracho (4)
Place: Bradford (10)
Show: Puckster (6)
Alternative: Blazing Saber (11)
Exotic suggestions:
The strong consensus on No Soy Borracho and Bradford supports an aggressive exacta approach with 4 and 10 in key positions. Trifectas and superfectas are best constructed using Puckster in third with Blazing Saber as the primary fourth-place and saver horse. Pick Pony analysts also see this race as a favorable anchor leg for late daily double and pick 3 structures.
Value Play Observations
Race 1 – Real Silk (11) and Saucy Gem (1)
Win: Getoutofdaway (10)
Place: Clever Race (2)
Show: Jenny’s Day (3)
Alternative: Real Silk (11)
Pick Pony analysts regard Real Silk as an overlooked mid-price closer whose analyst support exceeds likely public attention. Saucy Gem projects as an inside trip value candidate for deeper superfectas, especially if the pace heats up.
Race 2 – Cowboy Cause (8)
Win: Charbon (4)
Place: Guns (3)
Show: Hwy Twenty Ride (7)
Alternative: Cowboy Cause (8)
Cowboy Cause appears consistently just outside the primary three and offers potential overlay value in the third and fourth slots, particularly where a contested pace would favor an off-the-pace runner.
Race 3 – Hint Hint (11)
Win: Charge the Deal (3)
Place: My Vision (2)
Show: Hint Hint (11)
Alternative: Major Move (1)
Hint Hint is used selectively by analysts but carries enough support to rate as a viable value play in the show and superfecta positions, especially for bettors seeking to deviate slightly from the heavy focus on Charge the Deal and My Vision.
Race 4 – Need Some Money (3) and Broadway Pearl (5)
Win: Pharoahs Baby Gyal (1)
Place: Bold Exaggeration (4)
Show: Madison Rae (6)
Alternative: Need Some Money (3)
Need Some Money offers grinding late pace at a likely better price than the top three choices. Broadway Pearl, while not in the top four consensus, appears in several algorithmic outputs as a capable longshot, giving value-oriented players an option to expand underneath coverage.
Race 5 – Crime Spree (3) and Steauxlit (6)
Win: B Minor (10)
Place: Golden Quality (7)
Show: Dried Pepper (9)
Alternative: Crime Spree (3)
Crime Spree fits the exact type of longshot closer that analysts identify as a potential payoff horse if the main speeds hook up early. Steauxlit adds further value in extended exotics as a mid-pack grinder in a race where several favorites prefer the front.
Race 6 – Custom Sunshine (2) and Shamay (7)
Win: Cajun Cattitude (6)
Place: Viv’s Wild Aces (1)
Show: Bet Towinit (4)
Alternative: Cajun Catalina (3)
Custom Sunshine and Shamay show up in probability tables as capable price runners despite receiving less win-pick attention. Pick Pony analysts suggest these two as value keys in third and fourth positions for wider exotics, particularly where bettors want leverage against the heavy chalk profile of Cajun Cattitude.
Race 7 – Army Wildcatter (2) and Flashy Lover (5)
Win: Paynted Blue (3)
Place: Numero Siete (4)
Show: Loudermilk (6)
Alternative: El Rojo Vivo (1)
Army Wildcatter and Flashy Lover present as under-the-radar options in a race where the main trio draws heavy attention. Army Wildcatter offers upside on lightly exposed form, while Flashy Lover comes in with enough finishing ability to spice up deeper tickets at a likely solid price.
Race 8 – Blazing Saber (11) and Like Clockwork (7)
Win: No Soy Borracho (4)
Place: Bradford (10)
Show: Puckster (6)
Alternative: Blazing Saber (11)
Blazing Saber displays value as the consensus fourth choice with credible upside to move into the trifecta at a price. Like Clockwork serves as an additional value candidate for spread tickets where bettors want to challenge one of the shorter-priced consensus runners underneath.
