Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Delta Downs, December 19, 2025. 56% WIN RATE + 1 BOXED TRIFECTA


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight WIN

Win: #6 Sunnyday Lightning (89% confidence)🥇
Place: #5 Classical Echo (56% confidence)
Show: #8 Shining Away (33% confidence)

Sunnyday Lightning dominates consensus with overwhelming support from all analysts. Classical Echo appears frequently in place positions, offering solid secondary support. The rail post combined with early speed capability makes this race relatively clear.

Race 2 – Claiming

Win: #2 Takeittothehouse (67% confidence)🥈
Place: #1 Goldzone (56% confidence)
Show: #7 Won Bright Light (44% confidence)

Takeittothehouse receives strong consensus backing while Goldzone maintains competitive support. Won Bright Light offers alternative coverage as favorite on the morning line. This race shows moderate separation between top selections.

Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight WIN

Win: #6 Be Back Again (100% confidence)🥇
Place: #2 Ex Gonna (89% confidence)
Show: #1 Ev’s Spirit (67% confidence)🥉

Be Back Again demonstrates rare unanimous support across all analyst sources. Ex Gonna provides strong secondary backing with tactical speed capability. Ev’s Spirit consistently appears in third position across multiple selections, representing solid show value.

Race 4 – Claiming

Win: #4 Miss Cheese Bread (100% confidence)
Place: #5 Mo Vista (56% confidence)
Show: #3 Mid West Fun (44% confidence)

Miss Cheese Bread commands overwhelming consensus with universal analyst backing. Mo Vista and Mid West Fun split secondary positions with moderate support levels. The favorite appears legitimate at 2-1 morning line odds.

Race 5 – Maiden Claiming WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: #2 About the Business (67% confidence)🥇
Place: #6 Senor Smoke (89% confidence)🥉
Show: #1 Lifelike (56% confidence)🥈

About the Business receives strong win consensus while Senor Smoke appears frequently as the place selection. Lifelike consistently provides third position coverage, offering potential value consideration at higher odds.

Race 6 – Claiming WIN

Win: #8 Be Bo (100% confidence)🥇
Place: #7 Sunny San Leon (67% confidence)
Show: #2 Blaze On (44% confidence)

Be Bo demonstrates unanimous consensus across all analyst sources as the clear win preference. Sunny San Leon appears consistently in place positions with strong analytical support. This race shows the strongest agreement across multiple sources.

Race 7 – Claiming

Win: #8 American Guy (100% confidence)
Place: #2 One Last Thing (56% confidence)🥇
Show: #5 Baby’s Last Dance (56% confidence)🥈

American Guy commands overwhelming support with universal analyst backing. One Last Thing and Baby’s Last Dance split secondary positions with equal analytical weight. Recent workouts may influence pace development for place position selections.

Race 8 – Starter Allowance WIN

Win: #8 Won Day (100% confidence)🥇
Place: #4 Madelyn’s Hit (67% confidence)
Show: #3 Dolly’s Guitar (56% confidence)🥉

Won Day receives unanimous consensus across all analyst sources. Madelyn’s Hit appears frequently in place positions with strong backing. Dolly’s Guitar provides consistent show position coverage with moderate analytical support.

Race 9 – Claiming

Win: #5 Northernreflection (100% confidence)🥉
Place: #4 Barbacoa (67% confidence)
Show: #3 Heza Pickle (56% confidence)🥇

Northernreflection demonstrates unanimous consensus with universal analyst support. Barbacoa appears frequently in place and show positions across multiple selectors. The morning line favorite appears legitimate with consistent analytical backing.

Race 1 Exactas: 6 Sunnyday Lightning over 5 Classical Echo and 8 Shining Away. Strong consensus on win choice provides solid foundation for two-horse combinations.

Race 2 Exactas: 2 Takeittothehouse over 1 Goldzone and 7 Won Bright Light. Moderate separation creates opportunity for multi-horse coverage.

Race 3 Exactas: 6 Be Back Again over 2 Ex Gonna for highest confidence pairing. Unanimous support makes this combination attractive for exacta play.

Race 4 Exactas: 4 Miss Cheese Bread over 5 Mo Vista and 3 Mid West Fun. Universal backing on winner makes this race suitable for focused exotic combinations.

Race 5 Exactas: 2 About the Business over 6 Senor Smoke and 1 Lifelike. Split secondary selections create value opportunity for three-horse exacta coverage.

Race 6 Exactas: 8 Be Bo over 7 Sunny San Leon. Strongest consensus across all sources makes this pairing most attractive.

Race 7 Exactas: 8 American Guy over 2 One Last Thing and 5 Baby’s Last Dance. Equal secondary backing suggests multi-horse coverage strategy.

Race 8 Exactas: 8 Won Day over 4 Madelyn’s Hit and 3 Dolly’s Guitar. Strong consensus on all three positions supports three-horse combination.

Race 9 Exactas: 5 Northernreflection over 4 Barbacoa and 3 Heza Pickle. Unanimous win backing provides solid foundation.

Strongest Multi-Race Combination: Pick 4 Races 6-9: Be Bo (strongest consensus), American Guy (unanimous support), Won Day (unanimous support), Northernreflection (unanimous support). This sequence offers highest confidence level with four consecutive races showing unanimous or near-unanimous analyst agreement.


Value Play Observations

Race 1 offers value opportunity with Classical Echo in place position at likely attractive odds relative to consensus strength.

Race 2 presents moderate value consideration given competitive finish order predictions across all analysts.

Race 3 shows no significant value opportunity given unanimous Be Back Again backing combined with strong Ex Gonna consensus.

Race 4 offers limited value with Miss Cheese Bread at heavy odds as consensus favorite.

Race 5 provides value consideration with Lifelike in show position, receiving consistent support at likely longer odds.

Race 6 shows no significant value opportunity given Be Bo’s universal backing and favorable odds.

Race 7 presents potential value with Baby’s Last Dance at moderate odds despite split secondary backing.

Race 8 offers limited value opportunity given strong consensus and favorable win odds on Won Day.

Race 9 provides value consideration with Heza Pickle in show position at attractive odds relative to analytical backing.​

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback