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Race 1 – 5 Furlongs Dirt – 6:00 PM
Win: Uthinkicare (60% confidence)
Place: Delphine (40% confidence)
Show: Appeal Kati (20% confidence)
Race Notes: Multiple scratches have impacted this race significantly. Uthinkicare receives strong consensus support from multiple analysts. The early speed advantage may prove crucial over this abbreviated distance.
Race 2 – 6.5 Furlongs Dirt – 6:28 PM
Win: Deal With It Daddy (100% confidence)
Place: Ice’M Up Boys (60% confidence)
Show: Game Port (40% confidence)
Alternative: Cunimbus (40% confidence)
Race Notes: Deal With It Daddy shows unanimous support across all analysts. The horse’s stalking style should suit the distance perfectly. Ice’M Up Boys projects as the primary pace threat.
Race 3 – 7.5 Furlongs Maiden – $43,000 Purse – 6:56 PM
Win: Ida Lilly Girl (60% confidence)
Place: Prytania (80% confidence)
Show: Andale Muchacha (60% confidence)
Race Notes: This two-year-old filly maiden race shows split opinions among analysts. Prytania receives strong support despite being projected for place. The additional furlong may benefit horses with stamina pedigrees.
Race 4 – Claiming – 7:24 PM
Win: Begforforgiveness (50% confidence)
Place: Leaving Shadows (75% confidence)
Show: Safe Bet (50% confidence)
Race Notes: Analysts show disagreement on the winner, but Leaving Shadows receives consistent place support. The claiming ranks create competitive balance that warrants spreading in exotic wagers.
Race 5 – Allowance – 7:52 PM
Win: Inchhighatahundred (60% confidence)
Place: Picasso Baby (60% confidence)
Show: Freddie By A Nose (40% confidence)
Race Notes: Split decision between Inchhighatahundred and Picasso Baby for top honors. The allowance condition suggests class relief for several entrants. Pace dynamics will determine the outcome.
Race 6 – Allowance – 8:20 PM
Win: Celebrity Quest (80% confidence)
Place: Hurricane Kate (60% confidence)
Show: Echo Juliet (40% confidence)
Alternative: St. Tammany (20% confidence)
Race Notes: Celebrity Quest demonstrates overwhelming consensus support as the prohibitive favorite. Hurricane Kate projects as the primary upset candidate. The allowance condition attracts competitive fields.
Race 7 – 8:48 PM
Win: Lambo (100% confidence)
Place: Seasonal Love (80% confidence)
Show: Echo Down (40% confidence)
Race Notes: Lambo shows unanimous selection across analysts. The consistent support suggests strong form and favorable setup. Seasonal Love appears solid for exacta and trifecta coverage.
Race 8 – Boyd Rewards Stakes – 7.5 Furlongs Dirt – $100,000 Purse – 9:16 PM
Win: Saint Gabriel (80% confidence)
Place: Jeffrow (40% confidence)
Show: Otra Cosa (40% confidence)
Race Notes: Saint Gabriel receives strong consensus support in this stakes event. The scratch of Star Rock Star removes a significant contender. Stakes competition raises the class level significantly.
Race 9 – 9:44 PM
Win: Ruiz Junior (60% confidence)
Place: Mr. Brad’s Cowboy (40% confidence)
Show: Whatdidwedo (20% confidence)
Race Notes: The scratch of Penei impacts the wagering structure. Ruiz Junior shows solid support across multiple analysts. This race presents potential value opportunities.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 2: Trifecta key Deal With It Daddy over Ice’M Up Boys and Game Port with Cunimbus added for fourth position in superfectas.
Race 3: Exacta box Ida Lilly Girl and Prytania based on split analyst opinions. Add Andale Muchacha for trifecta coverage.
Race 5: Exacta box Inchhighatahundred and Picasso Baby. Include Freddie By A Nose in trifectas for value.
Race 6: Trifecta key Celebrity Quest over Hurricane Kate and Echo Juliet. St. Tammany provides superfecta coverage.
Race 7: Exacta key Lambo over Seasonal Love. Echo Down completes trifecta wagers.
Race 8: Exacta key Saint Gabriel over Jeffrow. Otra Cosa and Chad’s Flashy Ways provide trifecta and superfecta coverage.
Race 9: Exacta box Ruiz Junior and Mr. Brad’s Cowboy. Include Whatdidwedo for trifecta spread.
Value Play Observations
Race 1: Delphine offers value at likely generous odds given the focus on Uthinkicare. The horse’s closing style may be underestimated by the betting public.
Race 3: Prytania presents potential value despite being tabbed for place in consensus. The horse receives strong support from multiple analysts and may offer better odds than the top selection.
Race 4: Begforforgiveness shows as a value alternative to Safe Bet. The claiming ranks create uncertainty that benefits price horses.
Race 6: Hurricane Kate projects as the primary upset candidate against the heavily favored Celebrity Quest. The allowance condition levels the playing field.
Race 8: Jeffrow offers exotic value underneath the favored Saint Gabriel. The stakes competition suits this competitor’s form cycle.
Race 9: Mr. Brad’s Cowboy may provide value against the consensus top pick Ruiz Junior. The race shape favors forwardly placed runners.
