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Race 1 – Claiming – 6 1/2F – Purse: listed on card – Post 6:55 PM (CT) WIN

Win: Leaving Shadows (6) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Billy Bowlegs (5) – 60% confidence
Show: Flashin Chip (2) – 20% confidence
Alternative: Joseph H (3) – 20% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts see Leaving Shadows as the most reliable speed and class fit in this claiming field, with enough tactical speed to control or sit just off the pace. Billy Bowlegs appears well suited to track and distance and is consistently projected as a strong underneath play. Flashin Chip and Joseph H appear to round out the main chances, offering potential value in trifecta and superfecta structures, especially if the favorite drifts in the wagering.

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Race 2 – Claiming – distance per official card – Purse: 13,500

Win: Kancancutie (4) – 60% confidence
Place: Little Bit O Storm (7) – 40% confidence🥈
Show: Rush to Glory (1) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Good By Faith (8) – 20% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts expect a contested pace where outside runners can secure good stalking positions. Kancancutie is identified as the most frequently selected contender at the top. Little Bit O Storm and Rush to Glory profile as key finishers if the race comes back to off-the-pace types, with both appearing in analyst projections with comparable frequency. Good By Faith has enough tactical speed to be involved early but receives fewer top-tier endorsements than the others. The spread of opinions implies a tactical contest where trips and pace will matter more than raw class, making value shopping in exactas and trifectas reasonable.

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Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – distance per official card – Purse: 18,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: Bobby’s Girl (9) – 50% confidence🥇
Place: Ain’t Got A Clue (4) – 25% confidence
Show: That’s The Deal (6) – 25% confidence🥉
Alternative: Alyse Parker (8) – 25% confidence🥈

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts view Bobby’s Girl as the most likely improver who can break through in this maiden claiming spot. Ain’t Got A Clue, That’s The Deal, and Alyse Parker are all seen as logical candidates to land in the trifecta or superfecta, with equal support across the analyst group. Given the maiden nature of the race, analysts caution that form reversals and first-time improvements can reshuffle the outcome, but the consensus still clusters around these four contenders.

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Race 4 – Claiming – distance per official card – Purse: 14,500 WIN + EXACTA

Win: Dinahs Girl (8) – 50% confidence🥇
Place: Beulah K (3) – 50% confidence🥈
Show: Rosy Edge (4) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Miss Target (7) – 25% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts identify Dinahs Girl, Beulah K, and Rosy Edge as equally balanced contenders for this claiming race, with each receiving comparable analyst support for top finishes. Miss Target holds tactical speed that could put this runner in front or pressing the pace, but receives less top-tier endorsement than the others. The consensus suggests this race may distribute among the three co-favored runners, making exactas and trifectas featuring 8, 3, and 4 in various orders worthwhile structures.

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Race 5 – Maiden Claiming – distance per official card – Purse: 16,500

Win: King Zog (7) – 75% confidence
Place: U Rascal U (5) – 50% confidence🥇
Show: Jamesy’s Empire (6) – 50% confidence🥈
Alternative: Beaudreaux (10) – 25% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts generally regard King Zog as having the highest ceiling in this maiden claiming group, appearing in top positions across multiple analyst sheets. U Rascal U and Jamesy’s Empire receive equal analyst backing and are seen as strong underneath types who can press the top choice and secure minor shares. Beaudreaux appears less frequently in top selections but remains a viable contender. The expected distribution of money suggests that value may lean toward combinations that pair King Zog with the second and third-place threats.

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Race 6 – Allowance – distance per official card – Purse: listed on card – Post 9:15 PM (CT) WIN + EXACTA

Win: Floating Beauty (1) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Legal Empress (7) – 80% confidence🥈
Show: Rusty’s Sunrise (5) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Wonderrand (3) – 20% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts strongly agree that Floating Beauty is the standout in this allowance event, with unanimous top selection across all sources. Legal Empress is widely regarded as the main danger, appearing in top-tier projections from most analysts and likely to sit a perfect pressing or stalking trip. Rusty’s Sunrise and Wonderrand receive lighter endorsements but remain viable exotics contenders. Because of the strength of the top pair, many suggested strategies focus on structuring tickets around 1 and 7 while using 5 and 3 underneath.

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Race 7 – Jean Lafitte Stakes – about 1 Mile – Stakes – Post 9:42 PM (CT) WIN

Win: Oscar’s Hope (2) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Casa Cielo (7) – 67% confidence
Show: Wayne’s Law (5) – 50% confidence🥉
Alternative: Randemonium (1) – 50% confidence🥈

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts are unanimous that Oscar’s Hope is the horse to beat in the Jean Lafitte Stakes, appearing as the top selection across every analyst source. Casa Cielo is widely seen as the best alternative, appearing in top projections from two-thirds of analysts and likely to secure a favorable stalking trip and mount a serious late challenge. Wayne’s Law and Randemonium receive comparable analyst backing and are frequently identified as key contenders in the broader group, particularly in exactas, trifectas, and superfecta structures. The overall sentiment is that this stakes event runs through Oscar’s Hope, with others needing either significant improvement or racing luck to upset.

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Race 8 – Claiming – distance per official card – Purse: per card – Post 10:11 PM (CT)

Win: Tarkington Sunrise (9) – 60% confidence🥈
Place: Golden Barcents (1) – 60% confidence
Show: Neon Moonlight (10) – 20% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts point to Tarkington Sunrise and Golden Barcents as the main contenders, with both receiving equal analyst backing for top finishes. The tight alignment between these two runners suggests the outcome may come down to trip and pace execution. Neon Moonlight receives lighter top-tier endorsement but remains viable in deeper exotics. The presence of multiple evenly backed runners suggests this claiming race may offer strong value for bettors willing to press combinations pairing 9 and 1 in multiple orders while including Neon Moonlight and other mid-priced stalkers or closers as underneath components.

Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Pick Pony analysts, synthesizing these expert views, see the following general exotic and value structures as most promising:

Race 1: Emphasize exactas and trifectas keyed around Leaving Shadows over Billy Bowlegs, Flashin Chip, and Joseph H. Structuring tickets with 6 on top and spreading 5, 2, and 3 underneath offers a balance of reliability and value.

Race 2: Treat Little Bit O Storm and Kancancutie as primary keys, but include Good By Faith and Rush to Glory in exacta and trifecta combinations. Because this is identified as a potential upset race, weighted spreads using 7 and 4 over a broader set underneath can capture value outcomes.

Race 3: Key Bobby’s Girl in win slots of exactas and trifectas, backed heavily with Ain’t Got A Clue, That’s The Deal, and Alyse Parker. Rotating 4 and 6 into small win savers or stronger underneath positions adds protection against maiden volatility.

Race 4: Focus on Dinahs Girl as the main key in exactas and trifectas. Pair 8 with Beulah K and Miss Target on top and include Rosy Edge in second and third positions to capture likely pace and trip scenarios.

Race 5: Build tickets around King Zog and Beaudreaux as co-anchors in exactas and trifectas, while ensuring U Rascal U and Jamesy’s Empire are well represented underneath. This approach leans on the shared view that 7 and 10 are the likeliest winners while acknowledging depth in the supporting cast.

Race 6: Structure multi-race wagers and vertical exotics heavily through Floating Beauty and Legal Empress. Exactas using 1 over 7, and trifectas 1 over 7, 3, and 5, reflect the strong consensus on the race’s shape while still leaving room for a price to sneak into third.

Race 7: In the Jean Lafitte Stakes, anchor pick sequences and verticals around Oscar’s Hope, using Casa Cielo and Wayne’s Law as primary underneath keys and Randemonium as a key price in third and fourth. Pressing combinations like 2 over 7 and 5, with 1 and others in deeper slots, aligns with the strong consensus that the favorite is the most likely winner.

Race 8: Combine Tarkington Sunrise, Neon Moonlight, and Golden Barcents in exactas and trifectas, with a slight emphasis on 9 as the win key. Spreading with one or two additional mid-priced stalkers or closers in third and fourth positions can significantly enhance payouts in a race where analysts see several plausible outcomes among the main trio.