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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:45 PM – $22,000
Win: 6 Savannamarie (90%)
Place: 1 Izzy’s Monster (70%)
Show: 4 Im Singled Up (50%)
Alternative: 3 Rock Star Doctor (30%)
Strong consensus support for Savannamarie returning from a spell with established form at Fair Grounds. Izzy’s Monster has consistent backing across analysts for place consideration, particularly strong fresh. Im Singled Up returns after 38-week layoff but shows outstanding Fair Grounds history. Split opinions on third position between Im Singled Up and Rock Star Doctor creates exacta/trifecta opportunities.
Race 2 – Claiming – 1 Mile Dirt – 1:15 PM – $15,000
Win: 1 Sue’s Little Zing (90%)
Place: 7 Strawberry Sundae (80%)
Show: 8 Anita’s Vision (60%)
Alternative: 4 Cajun Aces (30%)
Sue’s Little Zing draws overwhelming support returning from 40-week spell with excellent gate draw. Strawberry Sundae surprised at long odds last start and maintains strong backing. Anita’s Vision brings proven Fair Grounds form from a 41-week layoff. Tight clustering of top three selections suggests competitive race with solid trifecta opportunities.
Race 3 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles Turf – 1:45 PM – $28,000
Win: 7 Curahee (75%)
Place: 6 Unleash The Power (75%)
Show: 1 Flamingproposition (50%)
Alternative: 2 Tango Mike Mike (38%)
Evenly split top consensus between Curahee and Unleash The Power creates betting value. Turf distance of 1 1/16 miles favors horses with proven stamina and course familiarity. Unleash The Power returns from 13-week spell with recent placing at Kentucky Downs. Curahee also off 13-week break, making this a battle of freshened runners with class.
Race 4 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – 2:15 PM – $18,000
Win: 1 Tough Love Torres (89%)
Place: 2 My Southern Girl (56%)
Show: 3 Mckinzie Magic (56%)
Alternative: 4 Ballybay Beauty (33%)
Tough Love Torres dominates with 89% consensus support, returning from break with strong form. Six furlongs on dirt favors early speed, and Tough Love Torres profiles as race favorite. My Southern Girl and Mckinzie Magic tied in analyst support for minor placings. Class drop and distance suits the favorite, but competitive underneath for exotics.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight – 5 1/2 Furlongs Turf – 2:45 PM – $54,000
Win: 1 Aurora Sky (100%)
Place: 6 Twolatebabydoll (62%)
Show: 8 Betty’s Dance (50%)
Alternative: 4 Velveteen (25%)
Aurora Sky receives perfect 100% consensus from all analysts – rare unanimous support. Maiden special weight on turf at 5 1/2 furlongs requires tactical speed and positioning. Despite one previous start, Aurora Sky’s performance at Churchill Downs impressed at long odds. Twolatebabydoll provides solid place option with three placings from five starts this prep.
Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles Dirt – 3:15 PM – $19,000
Win: 4 Eye Dee Kay (88%)
Place: 8 El Perfecto (50%)
Show: 2 Skip The Line (50%)
Alternative: 3 Byword (38%)
Eye Dee Kay benefits from proven Fair Grounds success and strong recent form. El Perfecto draws mixed support but may offer value at longer odds. Race features horses returning from various layoffs, creating uncertainty in exacta/trifecta. Track specialist Eye Dee Kay has won twice at Fair Grounds previously.
Race 7 – Claiming – 1 Mile Turf – 3:45 PM – $24,000
Win: 4 Miss River Rat (100%)
Place: 3 Roar Of Silence (50%)
Show: 1 Elle Est Forte (50%)
Alternative: 7 Rosie’s Angus (62%)
Miss River Rat earns perfect 100% consensus with two wins from eight attempts this campaign. Turf mile setup favors horses with tactical speed and strong closing ability. Elle Est Forte and Roar Of Silence dead heat for place consideration. Rosie’s Angus shows surprisingly strong alternative support for deeper exotics.
Race 8 – Maiden Optional Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – 4:15 PM – $30,000
Win: 1 Maddie’s Garden (50%)
Place: 3 Hay Y’all (50%)
Show: 6 Light My Flame (50%)
Alternative: 4 Gus’s Gal (62%)
Most divided race with three horses at 50% confidence – wide open maiden claiming event. Debut runners including Gus’s Gal and Huck’s Agenda add unpredictability to race. Hay Y’all returns from 11-week spell after narrowly missing as favorite last start. First-time starters create value opportunities but increase risk in exacta combinations.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1
Exacta Box: 6-1 (Savannamarie/Izzy’s Monster) – Strong dual consensus provides solid exacta foundation with 90% and 70% support respectively.
Trifecta: 6/1,4/1,3,4 (Savannamarie with Izzy’s Monster and Im Singled Up) – Keying the dominant consensus winner over the tight place cluster creates value.
Superfecta: 6/1/3,4,5/3,4,5 for value play – Spreading beneath the top two picks captures potential longshots in four-hole position.
Race 2
Exacta Box: 1-7 (Sue’s Little Zing/Strawberry Sundae) – Top two picks garner 90% and 80% support, making this the strongest exacta play of the day.
Trifecta Box: 1-7-8 (Top three consensus picks) – Tight consensus clustering at 90%, 80%, and 60% suggests these three dominate the finish.
Superfecta: 1,7/1,7,8/1,7,8/3,4 adding Miss Kennedy as alternative – Miss Kennedy appears in multiple analyst selections for deeper exotic coverage.
Race 3
Exacta Box: 6-7 (Unleash The Power/Curahee) – Perfect 75% split between co-favorites creates excellent exacta value opportunity.
Trifecta: 6,7/6,7/1,2,3 spreading beneath co-favorites – Using both top picks as keys and spreading underneath maximizes turf race uncertainty.
Key Box Trifecta: 6,7 with 1,2 for value – Flamingproposition and Tango Mike Mike provide alternative coverage at better odds.
Race 4
Win Bet: 1 Tough Love Torres (strong single) – Dominant 89% consensus makes this the strongest single bet recommendation across all races.
Exacta: 1 with 2,3,6 (keying favorite over contenders) – Spreading beneath the overwhelming favorite captures value from competitive undercard.
Trifecta: 1/2,3,6/2,3,4,6,7 for solid return – Deep trifecta coverage acknowledges class competitiveness beneath the standout.
Race 5
Win Bet: 1 Aurora Sky (unanimous selection) – Perfect 100% consensus makes this the strongest single play of the entire card. Pick Pony analysts recommend maximum confidence wagering.
Exacta: 1 with 6,8 (Aurora Sky over Twolatebabydoll and Betty’s Dance) – Keying the unanimous choice over split place contenders provides excellent value.
Trifecta Box: 1-6-8 (top three consensus) – Boxing the top consensus trio at 100%, 62%, and 50% captures the expected finish order.
Rolling exotic using 1 as single in multi-race wagers – Aurora Sky represents the ideal anchor for Pick 3, Pick 4, or Pick 5 sequences.
Race 6
Exacta Box: 4-8 (Eye Dee Kay/El Perfecto) – Track specialist Eye Dee Kay pairs with value selection El Perfecto for exacta coverage.
Trifecta: 4,8/4,8/2,3,5 spreading to value horses – Keying top two and spreading beneath captures uncertainty from returning layoff horses.
Superfecta: 4/8/2,3/1,2,3,5,6 – Progressive spread structure maximizes coverage while maintaining Eye Dee Kay dominance.
Race 7
Win Bet: 4 Miss River Rat (unanimous selection) – Second perfect 100% consensus of the day. Pick Pony analysts recommend strong win wagering with confidence.
Exacta: 4 with 1,3,7 (Miss River Rat over contenders) – Spreading beneath the unanimous favorite captures competitive place battle.
Trifecta Box: 4-1-7 or 4-3-7 depending on preference – Elle Est Forte and Roar Of Silence show equal 50% support; Rosie’s Angus at 62% alternative provides value angle.
Superfecta: 4/1,3,7/1,3,7/remaining field – Deep four-hole spread maximizes longshot potential beneath solid top tier.
Race 8
Exacta Box: 1-3-6 (spreading among co-favorites) – Three-way 50% split demands coverage across Maddie’s Garden, Hay Y’all, and Light My Flame.
Trifecta: 1,3,6/1,3,4,6,9/ALL (covering wide maiden race) – Debut runners and maiden unpredictability requires aggressive spread strategy.
Low-cost superfecta wheel: 1,3 with ALL/ALL/ALL for lottery ticket – Maiden races with first-time starters create ideal superfecta value opportunities at minimal cost.
Pick Pony Analyst Recommendations: The December 7 Fair Grounds card features two unanimous consensus selections – Aurora Sky in Race 5 and Miss River Rat in Race 7 – representing the strongest single plays of the day. Pick Pony analysts identify Race 3 as the most competitive betting race with evenly split 75% consensus between Curahee and Unleash The Power, creating excellent exacta and trifecta value opportunities on the turf. Race 8 presents the widest betting field with no clear favorite, making it ideal for longshot superfecta plays. Analysts note strong consensus clustering in Races 1, 2, and 4, where top selections dominate at 89-90% support levels, providing reliable foundation horses for multi-race exotic wagers including Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 6 sequences.
