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Race 1 | Claiming | 1 1/16 Miles | Turf
Win: #5 Highway Harmony (33%) | Place: #11 Plagne Champagne (22%) 🥇| Show: #7 Gulfstream Mary D (11%)
Pick Pony analysts show moderate confidence in Highway Harmony to win this turf sprint. Plagne Champagne has strong recent form at Gulfstream and multiple placings this prep. Gulfstream Mary D is a supplementary selection with multiple wins at the track showing solid class fit.
Race 2 | Claiming | 1 3/16 Miles | Dirt WIN
Win: #5 Girvin Star (75%) 🥇| Place: #6 Mean To Me (25%) | Show: #1 La Tremenda (25%)
Dominant consensus support for Girvin Star with three-quarter strength backing. The colt has posted five consecutive starts and solid form at the claiming level. Mean To Me and La Tremenda provide alternative place and show options with respectable recent efforts.
Race 3 | Claiming | 1 1/4 Miles | Dirt WIN + TRIFECTA
Win: #1 Maitre D (50%) 🥇| Place: #3 Adversary (25%) 🥈| Show: #4 Coffee At K J’s (25%)🥉
Strong split support between Maitre D and Adversary for the top positions. Maitre D demonstrates solid recent form with multiple Gulfstream placings. Adversary finished narrowly beaten last start and profiles as a viable alternative. Coffee At K J’s recently won a maiden breaker at the track.
Race 4 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 3/8 Miles | Dirt
Win: #6 Volatiled (50%) 🥈| Place: #2 Wiggle An’ Wine (38%) 🥉| Show: #3 Chill Bean (12%)
Moderate consensus support for Volatiled with half the analyst backing. The filly has shown progressive improvement and connections are consistently effective in similar company. Wiggle An’ Wine is a strong place candidate following a 25-week layoff with good track form. Chill Bean provides supplementary value in the show slot.
Race 5 | Claiming | 1 1/16 Miles | Turf
Win: #10 Brigade Commander (50%) 🥈| Place: #10 Brigade Commander (25%) | Show: #5 Irwin (12%)🥇
Half strength consensus on Brigade Commander as the probable victor. The colt fits well after a recent turf run and drops in class. Irwin returns from a 11-week break and profiles as a secondary choice at this claiming level. Full Nelson and Alasdair provide additional pace and closing alternatives.
Race 6 | Maiden Optional Claiming | 1 3/8 Miles | Dirt
Win: #7 Empath (22%) | Place: #2 Sonnynpeaches (33%) | Show: #1 Winplaceandshow (22%)🥇
Consensus is notably split across multiple contenders in what profiles as a wide-open maiden. Empath is a first-time starter from a Hall of Fame barn with impressive breeze works. Sonnynpeaches demonstrates the strongest place support among analysts. Winplaceandshow showed ability at a single Gulfstream start. This race requires careful analysis of debut patterns and trainer angles.
Race 7 | Claiming | 1 3/16 Miles | Dirt
Win: #1 Julee’s Legacy (62%) | Place: #4 Brenna (25%) 🥉| Show: #5 Both Sides (38%)
Strong consensus backing for Julee’s Legacy with nearly two-third analyst support. The filly comes off a recent Gulfstream win when first-up and has multiple track wins. Both Sides and Brenna provide solid alternative combinations with confirmed track success and recent competitive form.
Race 8 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 1/16 Miles | Turf WIN
Win: #2 Gabaldon (100%) 🥇| Place: #6 My Voodoo Doll (38%) | Show: #5 Sticky Mcshnickels (50%)🥈
Unanimous consensus pick on Gabaldon across all Pick Pony analysts. The colt ran second last start at the track and profiles as a strong overlay candidate. My Voodoo Doll finished third when last running at Gulfstream and provides the leading place alternative. Sticky Mcshnickels with half strength backing offers value in the show position.
Race 9 | Claiming | 1 1/4 Miles | Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: #8 Omo Ten Girl (50%) 🥉| Place: #1 Misprint (25%) 🥇| Show: #5 Happy Ride (38%)🥈
Half strength consensus on Omo Ten Girl following a 10-week break and recent Gulfstream victory. Misprint has excellent form at the track with multiple wins and steady winning profile. Happy Ride profiles as the strongest show candidate based on recent efforts and class fit.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts identify several exotic opportunities throughout the card. In Race 2, Girvin Star’s dominant 75% backing suggests minimal value on heavy morning line odds. A wheel approach using Girvin Star with Mean To Me and La Tremenda for place and show combinations captures the consensus while maintaining reasonable payoff potential.
Race 8 warrants special attention due to universal analyst support on Gabaldon. Despite expected short odds, exacta plays featuring Gabaldon over My Voodoo Doll and Sticky Mcshnickels offer structural value. The place alternatives are split, creating trifecta opportunities for bettors willing to spread.
Race 6 presents value opportunities with consensus split across multiple contenders. Analysts suggest avoiding single horse reliance and instead employing multi-horse place and show boxes incorporating Empath, Sonnynpeaches, and Winplaceandshow. First-time starter patterns from Empath’s barn suggest strong finish probability despite limited track record.
Race 1 moderate confidence levels create value in exacta combinations. Secondary support for Pemberley and Magical Trick paired with Highway Harmony top selection generates reasonable payoffs at expected odds levels. Place and show combinations warrant consideration given the spread of analyst opinions across multiple contenders.
Analysts recommend cautious exotic play in Race 3, where Maitre D and Adversary split consensus backing. While Coffee At K J’s recent maiden win attracts attention, mainstream support suggests limited value in multi-horse combinations without supplementary overlay selections.
