Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 Maiden Optional Claiming | 1651Y (7.5F) | Turf | $43,000
Win: 8 Mi Amada 57%🥈
Place: 2 Blazing Bridgette 29%
Show: 3 Call The Bullpen 43%
Most analysts favor Mi Amada at the win, showing strong recent form with multiple placings. Blazing Bridgette and Call The Bullpen form secondary support in exacta combinations. Striking Finale provides intriguing value with interesting breeding pedigree from dam that won at similar distance and surface conditions.
Race 2 Maiden Claiming | 1323Y (6F) | Dirt | $26,500
Win: 3 Soda 43%🥉
Place: 6 Fierce Fairshinda 43%
Show: 2 Bella’s Breeze 57%🥈
Soda and Fierce Fairshinda command split opinion at the win despite different form profiles. Soda runs first-up after layoff but showed competitive form previously. Fierce Fairshinda is the class angle with potential jockey upgrade consideration. Bella’s Breeze is the consensus third choice after recent second-place finish at this track and represents strong finishing angle.
Race 3 Claiming | 1105Y (5.5F) | Dirt | $24,500 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 4 Lois’ Courage 43%🥈
Place: 5 Plum Irish 43%🥇
Show: 1 Inallprobability 57%
Lois’ Courage represents solid second-up form improvement angle following third-place finish at Gulfstream. Plum Irish has won at this track but recent performance suggests exotics play rather than win consideration. Inallprobability is consensus show choice, showing improvement when returned to sprint distance from longer races. Tight finish expected in competitive field.
Race 4 Maiden Claiming | 1323Y (6F) | Dirt | $26,500
Win: 3 Vino’s Valentine 43%
Place: 4 Ripton’s Music 43%🥇
Show: 7 Four Beach Friends 29%🥉
Split decision between Vino’s Valentine and Ripton’s Music suggests highly competitive race where either could prevail. Vino’s Valentine has multiple placings showing consistency with narrow loss last start. Ripton’s Music gets expert support with rider upgrade to established jockey positioning. Both should be used in multiple exotica combinations. Field balance creates value opportunity.
Race 5 Claiming | 8F | Turf | $31,000 WIN
Win: 2 Double Neat 43%🥇
Place: 4 Drink N Wink 43%🥉
Show: 7 Risk Factor 29%
Expert picks show split between specialized players Double Neat and Tall Story (6-2 split). Drink N Wink garners support for exacta work with jockey upgrade to established rider significant factor. Multiple turf specialists in field suggest pace-dependent outcome. Distance specialists indicate tactical scenario where front-runners and closers both possess winning chances.
Race 6 Claiming | 1323Y (6F) | Dirt | $24,500
Win: 5 Coldstream 57%🥉
Place: 1 El Guty 29%🥈
Show: 6 Feeling Macho 57%
Coldstream consensus despite narrow loss as heavy favorite last start indicates strong returning form. Narrowly beaten by just neck suggests good recent conditioning coming out of layoff. Feeling Macho strong form metrics with multiple wins in prep support place consideration in exact combinations. Endrick receives some support suggesting competitive middle ground. Track-specific experience prominent in analyst selections.
Race 7 Claiming | 1214Y (5.5F) | Dirt | $23,500 WIN + EXACTA
Win: 3 Pop Rox 71%🥇
Place: 8 Chaina 57%🥈
Show: 4 Opposite The Crowd 43%
Pop Rox represents strongest consensus on card with recent win and strong form metrics showing three wins from 12 attempts this prep. Chaina shows multiple wins at track suggesting place consistency despite layoff. Miguel’s Belle receives professional support for exacta value with sprint expertise and recent form improvement trajectory. Pop Rox confidence level at 71% suggests potential outcome clarity in this race.
Race 8 Starter Optional Claiming | 1214Y (5.5F) | Dirt | $42,000 WIN
Win: 1 Itza Lock 40%🥇
Place: 4 Scottie Too Hottie 40%
Show: 2 Savage Warden 80%🥉
Volatile race with split consensus at win between Scottie Too Hottie and Itza Lock merits defensive approach. Scottie Too Hottie maiden winner with track-specific success showing win at Gulfstream. Itza Lock brings sprint credentials with recent track victory. Savage Warden shows highest consensus confidence at 80% for show position, making straight place wager consideration warranted. Race suggests exacta box approach.
Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming | 1105Y (5.5F) | Turf | $57,000
Win: 6 Zealot 29%
Place: 7 Ifyousaidso 29%🥈
Show: 3 Humor Me Baby 29%
Most competitive race on card with no clear consensus favorite at win position creates value environment. Zealot undefeated status commands support despite relatively modest 29% confidence reflecting field depth. Ifyousaidso and Bibi Dahl offer interesting contrasts with maiden-breaking credentials versus established track experience. Golden Beach and Nacho Problem receive longshot professional support suggesting multiple winning probabilities. Field alignment suggests significant overlay opportunities for adventurous players.
EXOTIC BET RECOMMENDATIONS & VALUE PLAYS
Race 1: Pick Pony analysts favor Mi Amada as win backbone. Consider exacta combinations 8-2, 8-3, and 8-6 (Laigina) for value. Blazing Bridgette-Call The Bullpen provides secondary exacta plays.
Race 2: Tight race presents exacta opportunity. Play 3-6, 6-3, and 1-6 combinations to cover split analyst opinion. Bella’s Breeze provides solid trifecta base for show coverage.
Race 3: Lois’ Courage and Plum Irish form playable exacta axis. Inallprobability provides solid insurance for trifecta construction. Multiple combinations recommended.
Race 4: Split consensus suggests covering 3-4 exacta both directions. Four Beach Friends at 7-1 presents value overlay for trifecta and superfecta plays.
Race 5: Distance specialists indicate pace-dependent outcome. Double Neat-Drink N Wink exacta combinations merit both directions. Daily double consideration from Race 4 into Pick Pony favorite offerings.
Race 6: Coldstream overlays strong morning line value. Feeling Macho provides consistent exacta partner. Endrick represents value for wider exotics if pace scenario develops favorably.
Race 7: Pop Rox consensus at 71% suggests potential chalky outcome. Use as win anchor for exacta combinations 3-8 and 3-4. Chaina-Miguel’s Belle provides secondary exacta value.
Race 8: Volatile race merits defensive exotic approach. Box 1-4-2 for trifecta coverage. Savage Warden high show confidence (80%) suggests single place wagering consideration.
Race 9: Loose field without consensus favorite creates value environment. Play 6-7 exacta both directions. Consider Pulstar and Golden Beach longshot overlays for superfecta structure given morning line odds positioning.
