Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight, 8F 110Y, Dirt WIN
Win: 9 Four Star General (60% confidence)🥇
Place: 6 Sir Xander (100% confidence)
Show: 5 Starspangledimage (100% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Jogger (80% confidence)🥉
This competitive maiden special weight features a clear standout in Four Star General, who has shown consistency with two placings from four starts this prep. The gelding placed last time at Horseshoe Indianapolis and commands strong respect from multiple handicappers. Sir Xander has three placings from nine runs and finished 14 lengths back last start but draws universal support for a place finish. Starspangledimage placed third last start at the track and brings four placings from five runs this prep, making him a solid show candidate. Jogger placed second last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and rounds out the top four selections.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile 210 Yards, Dirt WIN
Win: 2 Turbo Lady (100% confidence)🥇
Place: 6 I’malittlethirsty (80% confidence)
Show: 3 Onelilconquest (20% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 11 Nancy’s Kitten (40% confidence)
Turbo Lady receives unanimous support from all handicappers and looks like the horse to beat in this fillies and mares maiden special weight. The filly has been close in her first three starts and appears poised for a breakthrough performance. I’malittlethirsty placed last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and should run fitter for past attempts, making her the consensus place selection. Onelilconquest draws support from FanDuel as a potential upset candidate. Nancy’s Kitten finished a length back last start and has two placings from five runs this prep.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile 210 Yards, Dirt
Win: 1 Ann’s Girl (60% confidence)
Place: 7 Clay Basket (80% confidence)🥉
Show: 4 Maclean’s Lullaby (80% confidence)
Alternative: 5 School Spirit (40% confidence)🥇
Ann’s Girl returns from a 25-week spell and finished midfield last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis when first up, but draws the majority of win support. Clay Basket finished a neck back from the leader last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has six placings from seven runs this prep, making her a strong place selection. Maclean’s Lullaby placed second last start at Presque Isle Downs and should run fitter for past attempts. School Spirit was narrowly beaten at long odds last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and could provide value.
Race 4 – Maiden Claiming, 8F, Turf WIN
Win: 5 Phenomenal Dream (60% confidence)🥇
Place: 7 Samdini (100% confidence)
Show: 3 Then What (60% confidence)
Alternative: 14 Point To That Star (20% confidence)
Phenomenal Dream had a six-week layoff and placed third last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis when resuming. The gelding draws strong support despite the surface switch to turf. Samdini appears in every handicapper’s top three selections after placing third last start at Hawthorne. Then What finished midfield last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis but looks threatening on best efforts. Point To That Star represents trainer Michael Maker and draws consideration from FanDuel.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight, 8F, Dirt WIN
Win: 10 Sweet Summertime (80% confidence)🥇
Place: 5 Hotline Iris (60% confidence)🥉
Show: 6 Timeless Justice (60% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Cloudless Day (40% confidence)
Sweet Summertime has been close in her first three races, finishing three-quarters of a length back from the winner last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis. The filly draws strong support from the majority of handicappers. Hotline Iris disappointed when placing as favorite at her only start but receives backing from TwinSpires and FanDuel to bounce back. Timeless Justice failed to win as favorite last start but has three placings from seven runs this prep. Cloudless Day placed third last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and merits consideration.
Race 6 – Allowance, 8F 110Y, Turf
Win: 2 Dauwe (40% confidence)🥉
Place: 8 My Mister Perfect (40% confidence)
Show: 3 Dreaming Bro (40% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 9 Mr Corn (40% confidence)
This allowance race on the turf features significant handicapper disagreement, resulting in lower confidence levels across the board. Dauwe has three wins from 10 attempts this campaign and shows strong form at Horseshoe Indianapolis. My Mister Perfect placed third last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis on a soft track and won once this prep two runs back. Dreaming Bro draws support from FanDuel and Tip Meerkat as a potential upset candidate. Mr Corn returns from an 11-week spell and finished three-quarters of a length back last start.
Race 7 – Allowance, 8F, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 10 Kingsbury Road (80% confidence)🥈
Place: 3 Takeitandrun (40% confidence)🥇
Show: 9 Ga Mo Tak (40% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 6 Great Sword (40% confidence)
Kingsbury Road won last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has proven himself a track specialist with six wins at the venue. The gelding draws overwhelming support from handicappers for the win position. Takeitandrun is also a track specialist with five wins at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has two wins from six attempts this campaign. Ga Mo Tak returns from an 11-week spell and finished 10 lengths off the winner last start at Del Mar. Great Sword just broke his maiden at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has won or placed in his first two career starts.
Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile 210 Yards, Dirt WIN
Win: 7 Jenny Lake (60% confidence)🥇
Place: 1 Image Of Grace (60% confidence)
Show: 5 Quality Ami (100% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 6 Dancewithmefiona (20% confidence)
Handicappers are split on the top two selections in this two-year-old fillies maiden special weight. Jenny Lake returns from an 11-week spell and finished at the rear at her only start at Ellis Park but draws strong support from multiple sources. Image Of Grace is a first-time starter drawn on the rails and receives backing from Fan Odds, Punters, and TwinSpires. Quality Ami returns from a six-week layoff after finishing 20 lengths back last start at Churchill Downs but appears in every handicapper’s top three. Dancewithmefiona has two placings from four runs this prep and placed third last start at Fairmount Park.
Race 9 – Allowance, 8F 66Y, Dirt WIN
Win: 11 Kneedeepjustice (40% confidence)🥇
Place: 3 Gotanotiontodrink (60% confidence)
Show: 10 U R Not The Father (40% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 13 Parker (20% confidence)
This allowance race shows significant handicapper disagreement in the win position. Kneedeepjustice finished a neck back from the leader last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and moves up in distance. Gotanotiontodrink won last start to break his maiden at Horseshoe Indianapolis and should run fitter for past attempts. U R Not The Father has four placings from 11 runs this prep but disappointed when placing as favorite last start. Parker represents trainer Agustin Gonzalez Jr. and draws consideration from FanDuel.
Race 10 – Allowance, 350Y, Dirt
Win: 8 Dlj Eagle Divas Girl (60% confidence)
Place: 9 Hf Just Reno (60% confidence)🥈
Show: 3 Beach Feature (40% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 5 Dragon Dynasty (40% confidence)
This quarter horse allowance features divided handicapper opinions. Dlj Eagle Divas Girl returns from a layoff and draws support from Racing Dudes and Tip Meerkat. Hf Just Reno has two placings from eight runs this prep and finished four lengths off the winner last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Beach Feature draws backing from FanDuel and Tip Meerkat as a potential upset. Dragon Dynasty had a five-week layoff and won once this prep at Horseshoe Indianapolis two runs back.
Race 11 – Allowance, 328Y, Dirt WIN
Win: 8 Streakindownthebeach (80% confidence)🥇
Place: 2 Its A Ruidoso Weddin (80% confidence)
Show: 3 La Spirit Moves Me (40% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Good Time Stoli (20% confidence)
Streakindownthebeach dominates the handicapping selections with four wins from six attempts this campaign and multiple wins at Horseshoe Indianapolis. The gelding represents a strong win play in this quarter horse allowance. Its A Ruidoso Weddin returns first-up after a 13-week break and has outstanding form at this track. La Spirit Moves Me won last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis and shows strong form with two wins from seven attempts this campaign. Good Time Stoli returns from a layoff and won last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
Exotic Wagering Analysis and Value Plays
Early Daily Double (Races 1-2)
The early daily double presents strong value connecting Four Star General in Race 1 with the heavily favored Turbo Lady in Race 2. At anticipated combined odds, this pairing offers solid return potential while leveraging two horses with strong form indicators. Turbo Lady’s universal support suggests minimal risk on the second leg, allowing bettors to spread underneath Four Star General for protection.
Pick 3 Opportunities (Races 2-3-4)
The Pick 3 spanning Races 2 through 4 offers an attractive betting opportunity anchored by Turbo Lady’s dominant position. Handicappers show more division in Races 3 and 4, suggesting value in spreading these legs while singling Turbo Lady. Consider boxing Ann’s Girl and Clay Basket in Race 3 with Phenomenal Dream and Samdini in Race 4 for manageable ticket construction costs with strong win potential.
Middle Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
This Pick 4 sequence presents challenging handicapping in Race 6 where expert opinions diverge significantly. Sweet Summertime anchors Race 5 with strong consensus support at reasonable odds. Spreading Race 6 across Dauwe, My Mister Perfect, and Dreaming Bro provides necessary coverage. Kingsbury Road offers a dependable single in Race 7, while the maiden fillies race requires spreading between Jenny Lake and Image Of Grace.
Late Pick 5 (Races 7-8-9-10-11)
The late Pick 5 begins with bankable confidence in Kingsbury Road before navigating several contentious contests. The maiden fillies race necessitates using both Jenny Lake and Image Of Grace for coverage. Race 9’s split handicapper opinions suggest including both Kneedeepjustice and Gotanotiontodrink. The quarter horse races closing the card require spreading due to the specialist nature of these events. Streakindownthebeach provides a reliable anchor in Race 11.
Exacta and Trifecta Value
Race 1 exacta boxes connecting Four Star General with Sir Xander and Starspangledimage offer strong value given the competitive nature of the maiden special weight. Race 7 provides excellent trifecta opportunities with Kingsbury Road on top over combinations of Takeitandrun, Great Sword, and Ga Mo Tak. Race 11 exacta wheels using Streakindownthebeach over Its A Ruidoso Weddin and La Spirit Moves Me present solid return potential in the quarter horse allowance.
Superfecta Strategy
Race 5 superfecta coverage using Sweet Summertime and Hotline Iris on top with Timeless Justice, Cloudless Day, and long shots underneath offers attractive payoff potential in a competitive two-year-old fillies maiden. Race 8 provides similar opportunities given the divided handicapper opinions between Jenny Lake and Image Of Grace.
Value Long Shots
Several races feature potential value plays at generous odds. In Race 3, School Spirit narrowly lost at long odds last start and could provide exotic value underneath the top selections. Race 6’s divided handicapper opinions suggest any of the top four selections could win, making long shot plays viable in exotic wagers. Race 9’s Justiceonemoretime draws support from Tip Meerkat and could provide upset value at attractive odds.
