Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Laurel Park, December 6, 2025. 44% WIN RATE + 2 TRIFECTAS


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1: Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards, Dirt WIN ($12.20)

Win: 7-B West (67% confidence)

Place: 4-Moncrief (33% confidence)🥇

Show: 3-Pit Stop Man (33% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 5-Camp David (33% confidence)

B West dominates the win angle with strong consensus support across multiple analysts. The horse has established Laurel Park expertise with eight career wins at the track. Moncrief presents moderate place value with near-miss form at the track. Pit Stop Man offers intriguing show position with solid Laurel Park metrics. Consider B West as the anchor in exacta combinations with Moncrief or Pit Stop Man for place positions. Exacta box with these three horses could offer value in the mid-range price points given the diverse support across prediction sources.


Race 2: Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt

Win: 5-Shootersgottashoot (33% confidence)

Place: 2-Mr. Bogan (33% confidence)🥈

Show: 7-Mugatu (33% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 6-Joe The Jet (33% confidence)🥇

This race presents significant divergence in analyst opinions across all positions, indicating competitive depth and potential value. Shootersgottashoot won first-time-out this campaign and placed recently at Laurel, providing the plurality consensus. Mr. Bogan represents consistent runner with near-placement form. Mugatu drops in class and demonstrates capability to bounce back. Joe The Jet won two back and shows recent form momentum. Multiple play patterns emerge—trifecta wheels with win candidates over place/show combinations offer balanced risk exposure. Consider boxed exactas mixing the top contenders given the absence of overwhelming consensus dominance.


Race 3: Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards, Dirt WIN

Win: 4-Neverworkedaday (40% confidence)🥇

Place: 6-Baltic (40% confidence)

Show: 1-Lannister (60% confidence)

Alternative: 5-Farooq (40% confidence)🥉

Lannister demonstrates strong consensus for show position with 60% confidence across analysts. The horse resumes after extended 20-week absence from a single Del Mar start but steps down significantly to non-metro competition. Neverworkedaday and Baltic share balanced support in win and place positions. Neverworkedaday has yet to miss the placegetters in three starts. Baltic captured the only start at Penn National running third and offers class drop advantage. Farooq back from letup shows some support for exotic positions. Focus on trifectas with Lannister in third position paired with Neverworkedaday and Baltic rotating in win and place spots. Show wagering on Lannister offers solid value given the consensus support combined with returning runner status.


Race 4: Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards, Dirt WIN + TRIFECTA

Win: 2-Prosecco Rita (100% confidence)🥇

Place: 5-Sweet Shenanigans (33% confidence)🥈

Show: 3-Noble Status (33% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 6-Royalties Riches (33% confidence)

Prosecco Rita commands overwhelming 100% consensus as the win selection—the strongest single pick across all nine races. The horse has won or placed in all three starts and previously won at Laurel Park, representing the testing material in this allowance optional claiming contest. Sweet Shenanigans presents place value after running second at Laurel when first up and returns to non-metro racing. Noble Status shows outstanding track form with two wins from three attempts this campaign. Recommended wagering strategy: simple win bets on Prosecco Rita given the overwhelming dominance. Exacta combinations with Sweet Shenanigans or Noble Status for place positions offer modest overlay potential. Straight show plays could be undervalued if Prosecco Rita command inflates its odds.


Race 5: Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt

Win: 4-Strategist (50% confidence)

Place: 7-Work Hard (50% confidence)🥈

Show: 5-Bigtonten (33% confidence)🥇

Alternative: 3-Lucked In (33% confidence)

Strategist and Work Hard split the consensus evenly at 50% confidence for win and place positions—a competitive configuration suggesting genuine uncertainty. Strategist brings two wins from 12 attempts this campaign and just missed as favorite last start at Charles Town. Work Hard arrives fresh from Delaware Park victory with sneaky chance designation. This race pairs betting value with genuine competitive depth. Lucked In won last start at Laurel and shows two wins from four attempts, worthy of exotic consideration. Bigtonten won once at Mountaineer but struggled in the rear at Laurel last out. Recommended approach: exacta combinations crossing Strategist and Work Hard in both win and place positions. Trifecta wheels branching to Lucked In or Bigtonten for third position offer balanced exposure. Avoid straight win plays given the 50-50 split on top contenders.


Race 6: Maryland Juvenile Stakes, 1 Mile 50 Yards, Dirt

Win: 2-Worker Bee (60% confidence)

Place: 7-Hell Ofa Hillbilly (40% confidence)

Show: 8-Tartabull (40% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 5-Code Of Silence (40% confidence)🥇

Worker Bee holds the strongest consensus as win selection with 60% confidence and won last start at Laurel with very strong form at the track. Hell Ofa Hillbilly presents place value—letup for five weeks after winning once at Laurel three runs back and designated the real danger in the race. Tartabull arrives fresh from maiden-breaking victory at Laurel and steps up in stakes company, offering place best designation. Code Of Silence last start won maiden-breaking at Laurel and previously won at the track, providing place-hope foundation. Exotic focus recommended: exacta combinations anchored by Worker Bee paired with Hell Ofa Hillbilly or Tartabull for place position. Consider trifecta wheels expanding to Code Of Silence or Biker Baley for third-place finish possibilities. Biker Baley alternative opinion should not be dismissed given Guaranteed Tips and Tip Meerkat support.


Race 7: Allowance, 1 Mile 110 Yards, Dirt

Win: 4-Indy Charges On (67% confidence)🥈

Place: 3-Koru (33% confidence)

Show: 7-Maclean’s Rook (33% confidence)🥇

Alternative: 5-El De Larry (33% confidence)🥉

Indy Charges On emerges as standout top pick with 67% confidence consensus—last start winner at Laurel when resuming. The horse demonstrates dominant credentials worthy of primary selection focus. Maclean’s Rook presents notable alternative with two wins from four attempts and won last start at Laurel, appearing threatening. Koru represents secondary choice winner of last two at Laurel with specialist designation and three track wins. El De Larry boasts seven career wins at Laurel before, marking dangerous overlay potential. Recommended wagering: straight win plays on Indy Charges On warrant primary consideration given strong consensus dominance. Exacta plays crossing Maclean’s Rook and Koru for place positions offer secondary approach. Tri-box combinations mixing top win contenders provide comprehensive coverage. Watch pace dynamics—El De Larry seven-time Laurel winner could upset from deeper mid-field positioning.


Race 8: Maryland Juvenile Filly Stakes, 1 Mile 50 Yards, Dirt WIN ($6.00) + TRIFECTA

Win: 6-Just Philtored (60% confidence)🥇

Place: 4-Slewperstitus (60% confidence)🥈

Show: 2-Doc’s Miracle (40% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 5-Curlene’s Spirit (40% confidence)

Just Philtored and Slewperstitus demonstrate strong paired consensus at 60% confidence for win and place respectively—a powerhouse combination. Just Philtored shows strong form with two wins from four attempts and ran as favorite last start, placing at Laurel. Slewperstitus presents place value—yet to miss placegetters and has won at Laurel before. Doc’s Miracle surfaces as alternative contender (40% confidence) with maiden-breaking win at Laurel and new distance venture at stakes level. Curlene’s Spirit came on strong to win last start at Laurel and completed back-to-back track wins, warranting exotic consideration. Stakes race likely to lack value with small field composition—analysts note this condition. Recommended approach: exacta emphasis on Just Philtored-Slewperstitus pairing given double consensus dominance. Straight place plays on Slewperstitus represent solid complementary wagering. Trifecta wheels from this pairing to Doc’s Miracle or Project Maximus complete available options. Avoid stretching to longer odds plays in tight field.


Race 9: Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile 50 Yards, Dirt

Win: 4-Nit Witness (40% confidence)🥈

Place: 3-Zen Dreams (60% confidence)

Show: 5-She’s Not A Lad (40% confidence)🥉

Alternative: 2-Zeta Jones (40% confidence)

Zen Dreams commands place position consensus at 60% confidence with back-from-letup status and two placings from five runs this campaign. Nit Witness and She’s Not A Lad split win position support at 40% each—a competitive condition. Nit Witness placed in all races and returns to non-metro class, commanding standout top-pick designation. She’s Not A Lad finished midfield at only Laurel start and steps down to non-metro competition, presenting capable place opportunity. Zeta Jones finished midfield last start at Laurel and returns to non-metro racing. Dance Hall Diva presents overlay long-shot consideration from Tip Meerkat at 30-1 odds. Recommended wagering: place-show boxed combinations with Zen Dreams anchoring place position. Exacta combinations cross-wheeling Nit Witness and She’s Not A Lad to Zen Dreams deliver optimal coverage. Straight place plays on Zen Dreams offer consensus-supported single-ticket approach. Trifecta wheels expand the top contenders through show position for comprehensive exotic matrix.


Exotic Betting Recommendations

High-Confidence Value Plays:

Race 4 represents the strongest betting opportunity with Prosecco Rita commanding 100% consensus across all Pick Pony analysts. This exceptional agreement warrants serious single-ticket win wagers. The horse demonstrates perfect record—won or placed in all three starts with prior Laurel Park victory confirming track expertise. Minimum overlay expectation suggests placing this as anchor bet in exacta combinations with Sweet Shenanigans or Noble Status moving into place position. Show wagering deserves consideration as likely underlay given consensus overkill on win position.

Race 8 presents secondary strong-play opportunity with Just Philtored and Slewperstitus each commanding 60% consensus confidence in paired win-place configuration. These matched consensus positions create natural exacta anchor—cross both directions for maximum coverage without overextending unit allocation. Just Philtored shows strong recent form with two wins from four starts; Slewperstitus maintains undefeated placements with track-winning history. Trifecta wheels from this pairing to Doc’s Miracle (40% confidence) complete the stakes race strategy.

Medium-Confidence Opportunities:

Race 7 offers Indy Charges On with 67% consensus supporting straight win positioning—third-strongest singular prediction across the card. Last-start Laurel winner resuming status merits directional play. Exacta combinations with either Maclean’s Rook or Koru in place position bracket the top contenders efficiently. Secondary play consideration: Maclean’s Rook two-win recent form threatens exacta positions if Indy Charges On falters, making reverse exacta warranted.

Race 6 features Worker Bee 60% consensus win support with strong track form foundation. Hell Ofa Hillbilly place position (40% confidence) represents legitimate second-choice designation. Exacta combinations here deliver straight-forward coverage without excessive exotic exposure. Trifecta wheels branching to Tartabull or Code Of Silence expand coverage appropriately for stakes-level competition.

Balanced-Risk Exotic Structures:

Race 1 provides classic three-horse top-consensus window: B West (67% win), Moncrief (33% place), Pit Stop Man (33% show). Exacta box or tri-box combinations capture competitive depth while maintaining focused unit structure. Camp David alternative support (33% confidence) warrants fourth-position trifecta consideration but avoid overcommitting to fourth-place finishers in claiming races.

Race 5 presents 50-50 split between Strategist and Work Hard—genuine competitive uncertainty creating value through exacta two-way combinations. Cross both directions and branch both to Lucked In (33% confidence) for trifecta completion. This structure respects uncertainty while capturing probable outcomes.

Race 9 offers Zen Dreams 60% place consensus with competitive win position split between Nit Witness and She’s Not A Lad (40% each). Place-centric wagering approach emphasizes Zen Dreams in place position paired with each win contender separately. Trifecta wheels from top-consensus win selections through Zen Dreams to show finishers deliver comprehensive matrix.

Long-Shot Overlay Considerations:

Race 2 presents widespread consensus fragmentation across all positions (33% each candidate), indicating genuine field competitiveness with minimal overlay expectations. Proceed cautiously with speculative plays; focus instead on exacta wheels capturing multiple finish combinations rather than backing individual horses against diverse predictions.

Race 3 features Lannister 60% show consensus from extended-layoff returning runner. This position creates potential value—fresh horses returning to lower competition level frequently exceed prediction confidence. Show plays on Lannister warrant modest unit allocation. Trifecta structures building from Neverworkedaday-Baltic top-position combinations through Lannister deliver balanced third-position engagement.

All recommendations employ Pick Pony analyst consensus positioning—no plays should exceed unit structures supporting primary confidence-tiered predictions. Highest-confidence selections (Races 4, 8) merit enhanced allocation; medium-confidence plays (Races 1, 6, 7) justify standard units; balanced-risk configurations (Races 2, 3, 5, 9) require conservative positioning given prediction uncertainty.

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback