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Race 1: Starter Optional Claiming, 1m 110y, Turf, $24,000 BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: 6-Summer Vibes (62% confidence)🥈
Place: 11-Cap’n Dusty (62% confidence)🥉
Show: 3-Bookitwithhaddad (62% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 7-Owhatanite (46% confidence)

Multiple analysts favor the top three selections with strong agreement. Summer Vibes, Cap’n Dusty, and Bookitwithhaddad all show consistent form at Laurel Park on turf. Summer Vibes has two wins from nine attempts this campaign with strong recent form. Cap’n Dusty has run well against better fields at this condition this meet and benefits from strong late pace figures. Bookitwithhaddad has three wins from 12 attempts this campaign and has been competitive in recent starts. Owhatanite provides value as an alternative with longshot potential, having placed at odds last start.

Race 2: Claiming, 6 1/2f, Dirt, $30,000

Win: 2-Rerun Table (77% confidence)
Place: 4-Tacit Value (62% confidence)
Show: 8-Nemain (62% confidence)
Alternative: 3-Last Gift (31% confidence)

Strong consensus supports Rerun Table, who placed last start at Laurel Park and should run fitter for past attempts while stepping down in class. Tacit Value returns from a 16-week break after breaking maiden at Delaware Park and draws significant support. Nemain finished third last start when fresh and benefits from being scratched from a tougher spot to enter this softer race. Last Gift is the only two-time winner in the field and could sit a good trip.

Race 3: Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt, $49,000

Win: 2-Hollywood Import (77% confidence)
Place: 3-Bala De Plata (69% confidence)🥈
Show: 8-Power Grid (46% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 4-Wild Warrior (31% confidence)🥉

Hollywood Import shows strong consensus support with excellent recent form including a runner-up finish in stakes company. Bala De Plata comes off a course-and-distance win to break maiden and has won or placed in three races to start career. Power Grid broke his maiden impressively last out, crushing the field by 7.5 lengths with a career-best figure. Wild Warrior has won at the mile distance and ran a strong third in first start against winners despite traffic trouble.

Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming, 1 mile, Turf, $24,000

Win: 12-Endless Vow (46% confidence)🥉
Place: 4-Boys Go To Jupiter (38% confidence)🥈
Show: 5-Luminous Secret (31% confidence)
Alternative: 16-Pegster (23% confidence)

This race shows more division among analysts. Endless Vow won once this prep at Laurel Park two runs back and does best work over this trip. Boys Go To Jupiter is a last start maiden winner at Laurel Park racing back at non-metro class. Multiple analysts also support Luminous Secret, Pegster, and others, making this a competitive and challenging race to handicap.

Race 5: Starter Optional Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt, $24,000 WIN

Win: 9-Indy Charges On (92% confidence)🥇
Place: 4-Tuff Luck (85% confidence)
Show: 7-Straight To Water (46% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 3-Bigtonten (23% confidence)

Strongest consensus of the card supports Indy Charges On, who returns from a nine-week break after finishing just a length back from the leader at Churchill Downs. Has very strong form at Laurel Park. Tuff Luck ran a game second last out and has hit the exacta four times in five starts at Laurel Park with a strong closing kick. Straight To Water benefits from multiple analyst selections for place and show positions.

Race 6: Allowance, 5 1/2f, Turf

Win: 6-Ithinkiloveyou (69% confidence)
Place: 14-Cougar Cocktail (69% confidence)🥇
Show: 3-J Z’s Last Schance (46% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 12-Big Earn (46% confidence)

Ithinkiloveyou has won at Laurel Park and placed in all other attempts this campaign. Cougar Cocktail impressed when winning on debut over course and distance and could follow up. J Z’s Last Schance finished second last start at Laurel Park and won once this prep at the track two runs back. Big Earn has three wins from 12 attempts this campaign.

Race 7: Starter Optional Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt

Win: 9-Arrow Speed (77% confidence)
Place: 5-Mosler Time (62% confidence)🥇
Show: 7-Don’t Wait Up (54% confidence)
Alternative: 6-Murray (23% confidence)

Arrow Speed has strong consensus support after finishing just half a length back from the leader last start at Delaware Park when fresh. Mosler Time has two placings from six runs this prep and benefits from strong analyst support. Don’t Wait Up was claimed out of his last race, a dominating 6.5-length win, by Kieron Magee and should handle the dry track after several poor efforts on wet surfaces.

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming, 5 1/2f, Turf WIN ($10.20) + EXACTA ($35.10)

Win: 13-Normandy Hero (38% confidence)🥇
Place: 1-Swill (54% confidence)🥈
Show: 4-Boltage (46% confidence)
Alternative: 11-Mister Lincoln (54% confidence)🥉

This race shows significant division among analysts with no overwhelming favorite. Normandy Hero resumes from a 13-week spell and finished three-quarters of a length back from the leader last start at Colonial Downs. Swill placed last start at Laurel Park and draws the rail. Mister Lincoln has won at Laurel Park and placed once this prep. Boltage also draws multiple selections across positions.

Race 9: Maiden Claiming, 1m 110y, Dirt WIN

Win: 4-Tactics (85% confidence)🥇
Place: 1-Hard Swing (46% confidence)
Show: 7-Tiz The Great (62% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 5-Our Ham Sandwich (23% confidence)

Strong consensus supports Tactics, who returns from an eight-week layoff and should run fitter for past attempts. Hard Swing placed on only start running third at Laurel Park and draws well. Tiz The Great has two placings from four runs this prep. Our Ham Sandwich finished a close second over similar trip last time and could improve.

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Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Race 1 Exotic Recommendations

Exacta Box: 6-Summer Vibes / 11-Cap’n Dusty / 3-Bookitwithhaddad
The top three selections show nearly identical confidence levels, suggesting any combination could hit. Pick Pony analysts recommend boxing these three in exactas and trifectas.

Longshot Value: 1-Latin Rebel at 9-2 offers value as a last-out winner on turf and could upset the top selections.

Race 2 Exotic Recommendations

Win Bet: 2-Rerun Table
With 77% analyst confidence, Rerun Table represents the strongest win probability on the early card.

Exacta: 2-Rerun Table over 4-Tacit Value, 8-Nemain
Use Rerun Table on top with Tacit Value and Nemain underneath.

Race 3 Exotic Recommendations

Exacta: 2-Hollywood Import over 3-Bala De Plata, 8-Power Grid
Hollywood Import shows 77% confidence while Bala De Plata and Power Grid provide value underneath.

Trifecta: 2 / 3,8 / 3,4,8
Hollywood Import on top with Bala De Plata and Power Grid for second, then spread third position.

Race 4 Value Plays

This race shows the most division among analysts. Pick Pony analysts suggest spreading tickets wider or reducing bet size due to uncertainty.

Trifecta Part-Wheel: 12-Endless Vow, 16-Pegster with 4,5,12,16 with ALL
Multiple legitimate contenders make this a challenging race but offer potential value for creative wagers.

Race 5 Best Bet of the Day

Win and Exacta: 9-Indy Charges On
With 92% analyst confidence, this represents Pick Pony analysts’ strongest selection of the card. Indy Charges On has the class edge and strong Laurel Park form.

Exacta: 9-Indy Charges On over 4-Tuff Luck
Then reverse for coverage: 4-Tuff Luck over 9-Indy Charges On

Race 6 Exotic Recommendations

Exacta Box: 6-Ithinkiloveyou / 14-Cougar Cocktail
Both selections show 69% confidence and represent co-favorites among analysts.

Trifecta: 6,14 / 6,14 / 3,12,ALL

Race 7 Exotic Recommendations

Exacta: 9-Arrow Speed over 5-Mosler Time, 7-Don’t Wait Up
Arrow Speed shows strongest support at 77% confidence.

Trifecta: 9 / 5,7 / 5,6,7

Race 8 Caution

Spread Approach Recommended
With no horse showing above 54% confidence, Pick Pony analysts suggest treating this as a race to use multiple horses in multi-race wagers or avoid for single-race bets.

Trifecta Box: 1-Swill, 4-Boltage, 11-Mister Lincoln, 13-Normandy Hero

Race 9 Closing Race Play

Win Bet: 4-Tactics
With 85% analyst confidence, Tactics represents strong closing race value.

Exacta: 4-Tactics over 1-Hard Swing, 7-Tiz The Great
Trifecta: 4 / 1,7 / 1,5,7

Multi-Race Wager Recommendations

Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7): Strongest sequence of the day
Race 5: 9-Indy Charges On
Race 6: 6-Ithinkiloveyou, 14-Cougar Cocktail
Race 7: 9-Arrow Speed, 5-Mosler Time

Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8): Spread Race 8 wider due to uncertainty
Race 5: 9
Race 6: 6,14
Race 7: 5,9
Race 8: 1,4,11,13

Value Overlay Opportunities

Pick Pony analysts identify potential value where morning line odds exceed consensus confidence:

Race 1: 7-Owhatanite at 9-2 (46% confidence suggests fair value)
Race 3: 8-Power Grid at 4-1 (46% confidence suggests potential overlay)
Race 5: Best bet of card with 9-Indy Charges On expected to be underlaid
Race 9: 1-Hard Swing at 2-1 offers value versus 4-Tactics heavy favorite