Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Mahoning Valley, December 15, 2025.


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Race 1 Maiden Claiming 8F Dirt 11:15am

Win: Lookin Like Lucky (50%)
Place: Briarcliff (25%)
Show: Maravich (25%)
Alternative: Santorino (25%)

Cold weather at 18°F may favor horses with recent local experience. Analyst notes emphasize pace pressure from early contenders.​

Race 2 – Claiming 8F 66Y Dirt 11:43am

Win: Sammy’s Smile
Place: Mr Loooch
Show: Need To Know Basis
Alternative: Indian Fever

FanOdds analyst keys Sammy’s Smile for hat-trick potential at track. Guaranteed Tip Sheet selects Sammy’s Smile. At The Races sees strong pace with Sammy’s Smile stalking.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 2 Claiming 8F 66Y Dirt 11:43am
Win: Sammy’s Smile (67%)
Place: Need To Know Basis (17%)
Show: Indian Fever (17%)
Alternative: Mr Loooch (17%)

Multiple analysts eye exotics underneath. Track bias toward forward runners likely.​

Race 3 – Claiming 1323Y Dirt 12:11pm

Win: J J Valentin
Place: Eastern Extension
Show: Quarantino
Alternative: Corman

FanOdds analyst respects J J Valentin’s form. Guaranteed Tip Sheet picks Quarantino. At The Races tops Quarantino, Eastern Extension.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 3 Claiming 1323Y Dirt 12:11pm
Win: Quarantino (33%)
Place: Eastern Extension (33%)
Show: J J Valentin (17%)
Alternative: Corman (17%)

Tight field with top three separating from rest. Recent placegetters hold edge.​

Race 4 – Maiden Claiming 1323Y Dirt 12:39pm

Win: Dianna’s Lady
Place: Play Ball Susie
Show: Dollar Dance
Alternative: Destiny’s Tot

FanOdds analyst favors Dianna’s Lady’s recent place. Guaranteed Tip Sheet selects Dollar Dance. At The Races likes Dianna’s Lady, Dollar Dance.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 4 Maiden Claiming 1323Y Dirt 12:39pm $19,500
Win: Dianna’s Lady (50%)
Place: Dollar Dance (33%)
Show: Play Ball Susie (17%)
Alternative: Destiny’s Tot (17%)

Outsiders closing well noted by analysts. Connections strong for top choices.​

Race 5 – Claiming 1323Y Dirt 1:07pm

Win: Devoutly
Place: Collect Gold
Show: Watch Me Daddy
Alternative: Smartasset

FanOdds analyst calls Devoutly tough. Guaranteed Tip Sheet picks Devoutly. At The Races eyes Collect Gold leading.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 5 Claiming 1323Y Dirt 1:07pm $19,400
Win: Devoutly (33%)
Place: Collect Gold (33%)
Show: Watch Me Daddy (17%)
Alternative: Smartasset (17%)

Recent maiden breakers stand out. Late pace favors closers.​

Race 6 – Claiming 1214Y Dirt 1:35pm

Win: Blue Max
Place: Back To Reality
Show: True Jedi
Alternative: Classic King

FanOdds analyst tops Blue Max post-win. Guaranteed Tip Sheet selects Back To Reality. At The Races favors Zippin Gigi, Blue Max.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 6 Claiming 1214Y Dirt 1:35pm $13,000
Win: Blue Max (25%)
Place: Back To Reality (25%)
Show: True Jedi (25%)
Alternative: Zippin Gigi (17%)

Sprint sets up for tactical speed. Jockey changes noted.​

Race 7 – Claiming 1323Y Dirt 2:03pm

Win: Colonel Vargo
Place: Captivated Drama
Show: Atkins
Alternative: Fivefive Six Champ

FanOdds analyst highlights Colonel Vargo’s streak. Guaranteed Tip Sheet picks Colonel Vargo. At The Races tops Captivated Drama.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 7 Claiming 1323Y Dirt 2:03pm $25,600
Win: Colonel Vargo (33%)
Place: Captivated Drama (33%)
Show: Fivefive Six Champ (17%)
Alternative: Atkins (17%)

Track specialists dominate. Form at distance key.​

Race 8 – Allowance 1323Y Dirt 2:31pm

Win: Big Prankster
Place: Wings Of God
Show: Sprint Out Pass
Alternative: Sneaky Sneaky

FanOdds analyst keys Big Prankster fresh. Guaranteed Tip Sheet selects Big Prankster. At The Races favors Sprint Out Pass.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 8 Allowance 1323Y Dirt 2:31pm $26,400
Win: Big Prankster (33%)
Place: Sprint Out Pass (33%)
Show: Wings Of God (17%)
Alternative: Sneaky Sneaky (17%)

Drop in class helps some. Early shape critical.​

Race 9 – Allowance 8F Dirt 2:59pm

Win: Mobil Mission
Place: Truth N Soul
Show: Duo
Alternative: Lucky’s Prize

FanOdds analyst tops Mobil Mission drawn well. Guaranteed Tip Sheet picks Truth N Soul. At The Races sees Mobil Mission, Truth N Soul leading.​

Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions

Race 9 Allowance 8F Dirt 2:59pm $33,700
Win: Mobil Mission (33%)
Place: Truth N Soul (33%)
Show: Duo (17%)
Alternative: Lucky’s Prize (17%)

Route pace suits front-runners. Draw advantages noted.​

Pick Pony analysts suggest Race 1 Exacta box: Lookin Like Lucky, Briarcliff, Maravich. Race 5 Trifecta key Collect Gold over Devoutly, Watch Me Daddy. Race 7 Superfecta wheel Colonel Vargo over top three. Race 8 Exacta Sprint Out Pass – Big Prankster.​

Value Play Observations

Pick Pony analysts spot value in Race 4 Play Ball Susie at long odds with closing style. Race 6 True Jedi off jockey switch. Race 9 Lucky’s Prize undervalued post recent effort. Focus exotics where consensus spreads thin.​

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