Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 1105 yards – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Tuff Heart (83%)
Place: Livehappy (72%)🥈
Show: Springs (61%)
Alternative: Ryu Mo (40%)

Race 2 – Claiming – 1323 yards – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Mr. Chivas (76%)🥈
Place: Brokenhearted (69%)
Show: Bledsoe (54%)
Alternative: Idea Man (37%)🥉

Race 3 – Claiming – 8 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse N/A BOXED EXACTA

Win: Confessor (86%)🥈
Place: Zimba Warrior (67%)🥇
Show: Candy Crushem (61%)
Alternative: Mean Tweets (38%)

Race 4 – Claiming – 8 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Birth Of Cool (71%)
Place: Midnight Channel (64%)
Show: Classic King (51%)
Alternative: Irish Declaration (39%)🥉

Race 5 – Claiming – 1214 yards – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Signature Ring (82%)
Place: Kaitie Kait (71%)
Show: Sailing Along (64%)
Alternative: A Real Hero (43%)🥇

Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming – 995 yards – Dirt – Purse N/A WIN

Win: Out Of Cents (73%)
Place: Dropkick Murphy (68%)🥇
Show: Unworkable (57%)
Alternative: Ee Yah (36%)

Race 7 – Allowance – 1323 yards – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Mac Daddy (78%)
Place: Captivated Drama (68%)🥇
Show: Dance Code (61%)
Alternative: Jerry’s Out (44%)

Race 8 – Claiming – 8 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse N/A

Win: Tango Zulu (81%)
Place: All For Honor (68%)🥈
Show: Summer Forever (62%)
Alternative: Dancing Shadows (37%)

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Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Pick Pony analysts project several competitive fields ripe for exotic plays:

• Races 1, 5, and 8: Strong win consensus on Tuff Heart, Signature Ring, and Tango Zulu, making these logical keys for exacta and trifecta wagers. Consider boxing the top three consensus horses to catch a price if one disappoints.
• Race 3: Confessor projects heavily, suggesting win-singling in multi-race bets or as a vertical anchor.
• Race 7: Mac Daddy anchors exotics, but include Captivated Drama and Dance Code for balance, as both have upset potential with tactical speed.
• Race 2 and Race 6: Multiple plausible winners create value for trifecta and superfecta combinations spreading through the top four consensus picks.
• Race 8: Several horses have shown propensity to finish in the top three but struggle to win. Using all consensus picks in the trifecta could maximize returns for modest investment.

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Additional Analyst Observations

• Pace/Track Bias Factors: Pick Pony analysts have noted that speed types have done well recently. Over-card saturation with closers is a potential fade if the bias persists. If the track appears to be playing fairly, upgrades may go to horses with consistent late kick.
• Class Drops and Recent Winners: Watch for any runner dropping in class (notably Dropkick Murphy and Out Of Cents) to outperform lower consensus confidence percentages.
• Exotic Play Construction: Many races are projected as having clear win favorites but muddled place/show situations, encouraging broader coverage in exacta boxes and trifectas.
• Longshot Warnings: While the consensus generally holds, a few races (e.g., Race 2, Race 6) could deliver upsets if the top consensus runners fail to break well or encounter pace pressure.