Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Consensus Estimated Finish Order Predictions
Race 1: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $9,450 WIN + EXACTA
Win: 7 Third Tuesday (75%)🥇
Place: 3 Loop Of Henle (50%)🥈Show: 8 Sky Divine (62%)
Alternative: 4 Can I Get Awitness (50%)
Notes: Third Tuesday has strong recent form and is well-positioned to rebound from a narrow loss. Loop Of Henle ran competitive last start and returns to a track where analysts expect improvement. Sky Divine and Can I Get Awitness are both consistent performers with course experience.
Race 2: Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, $9,450
Win: 9 This Is Gloria (62%)🥉Place: 2 Starship Legacy (62%)Alternative: 12 Bourbon Blanket (38%)🥇
Show: 4 Lady Tozi (50%)
Notes: This Is Gloria narrowly missed when heavily backed last out and has been placing consistently this prep. Starship Legacy finished respectably in a higher class race last time and drops in for a tag. Lady Tozi has been running well with recent placings. Bourbon Blanket offers value as a longshot alternative.
Race 3: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $9,450
Win: 6 Yolo Santiago (88%)Place: 3 Skylar’s Brother (50%)Show: 5 Dream Force (38%)Alternative: 2 Noble Force (38%)🥉
Notes: Yolo Santiago is heavily backed by analysts after placing when resuming and showing good early speed. Skylar’s Brother won last start to break maiden and is dangerous again. Dream Force has placed in all three starts at this track. Noble Force has winning form at this distance.
Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming, 4.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $15,750
Win: 2 Determined Love (62%)
Place: 7 Mornin’ Boss (62%)🥈
Show: 9 Silver Candice (38%)
Alternative: 3 Sweet Queen Bee (50%)🥉
Notes: Determined Love bolted in last start and has an excellent course record including four wins from five starts here. Mornin’ Boss is coming off a win and has won five times at this track. Silver Candice has been placing well and goes well at this venue. Sweet Queen Bee has consistent placings this campaign.
Race 5: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $9,450
Win: 5 Strawberry Sky (88%)
Place: 6 Wedding March (50%)🥇
Show: 4 Miss Little Bit (50%)🥉Alternative: 8 Good To Be Truge (38%)
Notes: Strawberry Sky narrowly missed last out and has very strong form at this track with two wins this campaign. Wedding March won last start on a soft track and looks primed to follow up. Miss Little Bit is looking for a hat trick after winning two in a row. Good To Be Truge placed last start and has a win here this prep.
Race 6: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $9,450 WIN + EXACTA
Win: 8 Whiskeyinateacup (78%)🥇
Place: 6 Red In Front (78%)🥈
Show: 1 Toomuchaintenough (44%)Alternative: 5 Do Your Job (33%)
Notes: Whiskeyinateacup has placed four times at this track and is viewed as the standout. Red In Front won last start and should run fitter for past attempts. Toomuchaintenough has extreme speed suited to this 5.5-furlong sprint. Do Your Job is coming off a recent placing and offers value at higher odds.
Race 7: Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $15,750
Win: 1 Black Candy (50%)Place: 5 Sharpasadiamond (62%)Show: 7 Giacomo Casanova (62%)🥈
Alternative: 6 Team Leyendecker (38%)🥉
Notes: Black Candy is well-placed to follow up on a recent course and distance win. Sharpasadiamond has three wins from ten starts this campaign and ran fourth last out. Giacomo Casanova finished just half a length back from the leader last start and does best work at this trip. Team Leyendecker only just missed last start and has won at this track this prep.
Race 8: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $9,450
Win: 2 Our Lady Peace (88%)Alternative: 4 Nun Gimel Hay Po (25%)
Place: 10 Lil Breezzy (75%)
Show: 3 My Angel Does (25%)
Notes: Our Lady Peace has strong claims after a close second last out and drops in class for this. Lil Breezzy finished fourth last time and won earlier this prep. My Angel Does broke maiden last start and is a winning chance. Nun Gimel Hay Po won two runs ago and is well placed to make amends.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts have identified the following opportunities based on consensus picks and track analysis:
Race 1 Exacta Box: 3 Loop Of Henle / 7 Third Tuesday for $4. Both horses are highly rated by multiple analysts and appear evenly matched, making this a strong exacta play.
Race 3 Win Single: 6 Yolo Santiago at 3-1. With 88% consensus support, this represents the strongest agreement among analysts on the card.
Race 5 Trifecta Key: 5 Strawberry Sky with 4 Miss Little Bit and 6 Wedding March. All three have been winning or placing at this track consistently. Key Strawberry Sky on top.
Race 6 Exacta: 8 Whiskeyinateacup over 6 Red In Front. Both horses have nearly identical analyst support at 78% and present a high-probability exacta.
Race 8 Win Single: 2 Our Lady Peace at 3-1. With 88% consensus support and a class drop, this horse appears to be a strong single for multi-race wagers.
Pick 4 (Races 5-8): 5 Strawberry Sky / 8 Whiskeyinateacup / 1, 5, 7 / 2 Our Lady Peace. Singling the two highest-consensus horses in Races 5 and 8 while spreading modestly in Races 6 and 7 where there is more disagreement.
Value Play Alert: In Race 3, 7 Regal Temple (mentioned by one analyst) could build on a recent runner-up effort and is worth a small place bet at higher odds as a longshot alternative to the favorites.
