Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1: Maiden Claiming, 7F Dirt, Purse: $19,000
Win: 9 Pastero – 67% confidence
Place: 7 Sunny Magic – 50% confidence
Show: 8 Victor’s Dream – 17% confidence
Alternative: 2 Pop Neigh – 17% confidence
AI: 6-9-3🥈-11
Pick Pony analysts heavily favor Pastero in this maiden claiming sprint, with multiple handicappers selecting the gelding for top honors. Sunny Magic draws considerable support for place position and has shown consistency in route races, making the cutback to seven furlongs potentially advantageous. Victor’s Dream and Pop Neigh represent intriguing alternatives, with the latter making his second career start after a decent debut effort.
Race 2: Claiming, 6F Dirt, Purse: $21,000 WIN ($4.40)
Win: 1 Max Forward Speed – 50% confidence
Place: 2 Aleah Aleah – 50% confidence🥇
Show: 6 Guaio – 33% confidence🥈
Alternative: 9 I Can Do Magic – 33% confidence
AI: 1-3-9-6🥈
The top two picks are evenly divided among analysts, creating an intriguing wagering scenario. Max Forward Speed returns after winning his most recent sprint at this distance, while Aleah Aleah drops significantly in class after competing in route races at Aqueduct and Laurel. Guaio offers strong place/show value with consistent recent performances.
Race 3: Starter Optional Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, Purse: $28,000 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 2 Tavern Time – 71% confidence🥈
Place: 7 Huggy – 71% confidence🥇
Show: 6 Centaur Central – 29% confidence
Alternative: 5 Reelin N Dealin – 57% confidence
AI: 7🥇-6-2🥈-4🥉
Analysts show strong consensus behind Tavern Time and Huggy as the top two finishers, though the order remains split. Tavern Time returns to a track where trainer Jamie Ness excels after a solid return from layoff. Huggy was first across the wire in his last start but lost via disqualification, suggesting readiness. Reelin N Dealin draws considerable attention for the exotic positions with multiple place/show predictions.
Race 4: Claiming, 1M Dirt, Purse: $21,000
Win: 6 Hard Spice – 50% confidence
Place: 5 Shines Madelin – 50% confidence🥉
Show: 4 Joyful Joyce – 33% confidence
Alternative: 7 Flaming Eyes – 33% confidence
AI: 3-6-5🥉-2🥈
This fillies and mares claiming route lacks clear consensus, with picks scattered across multiple contenders. Hard Spice stretches back out after showing competitive speed in recent efforts, while Shines Madelin enters off a dominant maiden victory. Joyful Joyce returns to her claiming level after a strong effort against tougher competition.
Race 5: Claiming, 6F Dirt, Purse: $21,000
Win: 7 Coach Knight – 67% confidence🥉
Place: 2 Curious Soul – 50% confidence🥇
Show: 3 Scudetto – 33% confidence
Alternative: 1 Happyflyer – 33% confidence
AI: 1-2🥇-9-4🥈
Coach Knight draws strong support after winning when claimed last out, and the gelding retains eligibility as a 3-year-old competing against older rivals. Curious Soul faded from a difficult post in his last start but had shown better form previously. The race appears wide open beyond the top selection, with multiple contenders viable for minor positions.
Race 6: Maiden, 7F Dirt, Purse: $26,000 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 6 Raging Cajun – 67% confidence🥈
Place: 5 Lover Boy Ness – 33% confidence🥇
Show: 10 Cap’n Cats – 50% confidence
Alternative: 4 Peach Smoothie – 33% confidence
Raging Cajun drops from maiden special weight competition at Delaware and cuts back to sprint distance after showing speed in recent efforts. This 2-year-old maiden race features several lightly-raced colts with improving form. Cap’n Cats has hit the board in three consecutive starts, demonstrating consistency without finding the winner’s circle.
Race 7: Allowance Optional Claiming, 6F Dirt, Purse: $50,000
Win: 9 Bailout Billy – 83% confidence
Place: 5 Shetalkstomuch – 50% confidence🥇
Show: 8 Angel of Hope – 33% confidence
Alternative: 3 Never Sway – 50% confidence
AI: 9-8-2🥈-4
Analysts show remarkable consensus behind Bailout Billy, who has captured four straight victories and wired colts with mild urging in her last start. The filly appears extremely sharp and drew overwhelming support. Shetalkstomuch rallied powerfully from last to first in a large field last time, making her a dangerous closer. This competitive allowance sprint features several fillies and mares in strong current form.
Race 8: Allowance, 6F Dirt, Purse: $50,000
Win: 5 Ringer Card – 100% confidence
Place: 7 Vixenzhypnotkhoney – 50% confidence
Show: 2 Caitlin the Great – 50% confidence🥇
Alternative: 4 I Am Rue – 17% confidence
AI: 5-7-8-4
Ringer Card receives unanimous support from analysts in this Pennsylvania-bred allowance sprint. The mare brings ample early speed and sharp recent form after a brief hiatus. Vixenzhypnotkhoney returns to previous connections and retains top rider Pennington, while Caitlin the Great has shown consistent competitiveness in all four career starts.
Race 9: Allowance Optional Claiming, 6.5F Dirt, Purse: $55,000
Win: 6 Bouncer – 67% confidence
Place: 2 Sunny Breeze – 33% confidence
Show: 9 Dropline – 50% confidence🥈
Alternative: 4 Twisted Ride – 33% confidence🥇
AI: 7-6-4🥇-2
Bouncer draws strong support after competing well in graded stakes company and maintaining excellent form throughout the season. This high-quality allowance sprint features several accomplished geldings. Sunny Breeze enters with strong recent efforts at Laurel, while Dropline combines high speed figures with determination. Twisted Ride boasts excellent local credentials with an 8-for-27 record at Parx.
Race 10: Maiden Claiming, 6F Dirt, Purse: $19,000 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 14 Justtakethecannoli – 67% confidence
Place: 1 Nohai – 50% confidence🥈
Show: 11 Sandy Girl – 33% confidence🥇
Alternative: 4 Daisy Believes – 33% confidence
AI: 10-11🥇-1🥈-13
Justtakethecannoli draws majority support after strong performances at Laurel when competing at a higher maiden level. Nohai has consistently hit the board and showed improvement when the runner-up from her last race won next time easily. Sandy Girl has made progress throughout the season with five place/show finishes from eighteen attempts. This maiden claiming sprint appears competitive throughout the large field.
Exotic Wagers and Value Plays
Race 1 Exacta: Box 9 Pastero with 7 Sunny Magic and 8 Victor’s Dream. The top three picks show clear separation from the remainder of the field.
Race 3 Trifecta: Key 2 Tavern Time over 7 Huggy, 6 Centaur Central, and 5 Reelin N Dealin. Strong consensus on the top two with logical contenders for third.
Race 7 Multi-Race Sequence: Use 9 Bailout Billy as a single in Pick 3, Pick 4, or other horizontal wagers given the overwhelming consensus support.
Race 8 Win Bet Value: 5 Ringer Card represents the strongest consensus pick of the card with unanimous analyst support, suggesting excellent confidence despite likely short odds.
Race 9 Exacta: Box 6 Bouncer with 2 Sunny Breeze, 4 Twisted Ride, and 9 Dropline in exacta combinations. The quality of this field suggests competitive racing with multiple legitimate contenders.
Race 10 Trifecta: Use 14 Justtakethecannoli and 1 Nohai in top two positions with 11 Sandy Girl, 4 Daisy Believes, and 5 Supersonic Betty for third. The large field creates value opportunities in the trifecta pool.
Vertical Wager Strategy: Pick Pony analysts recommend constructing Pick 3 or Pick 4 wagers through the middle of the card, keying strong consensus horses like Bailout Billy (Race 7) and Ringer Card (Race 8) while spreading in more contentious races.
Late Pick 4 Value: Races 7-10 present an attractive late Pick 4 opportunity, using Bailout Billy and Ringer Card as singles or reduced coverage while spreading in the competitive Race 9 allowance and large-field Race 10 maiden claiming finale.
