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Race 1 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $17,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 7 Be My Queen (83%)🥇
Place: 6 Moon Fleet (67%)🥉
Show: 3 Champagne Mischief (50%)🥈
Alternative: 9 Treasure Peace (17%)
Race notes: The top selection shows strong form after dueling in tougher company last week and is making the third start since layoff, typically an optimal fitness point. The runner is drawn inside and should secure ideal stalking position. The place horse weakened after a wide trip in stronger competition and has proven versatile on both turf and dirt surfaces. Multiple analysts note the show horse is most effective on the lead and finished behind the top pick from a difficult post. Expected pace setup favors speed, making early positioning critical.
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $16,000
Win: 7 Nohai (88%)Place: 3 Alice Fantastic (63%)
Show: 5 Mia Counting (25%)🥉
Alternative: 1 Shines Madelin (25%)🥇
Race notes: The top choice advanced well sprinting at this level, and the second-place finisher from that race won next out by double-digits, providing strong form validation. The place horse figures close if dismissing the latest effort, having finished second-best to the odds-on favorite in the prior attempt. Multiple analysts note this runner benefits from throwing out the most recent performance. The alternative selections both show live chances at value odds given the competitive nature of maiden claimers.
Race 3 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $10,000 WIN
Win: 6 Frost Mountain (57%)🥇
Place: 7 Capital Conquest (57%)
Show: 3 The Grayt Pumpkin (29%)
Alternative: 5 No No Joe (29%)🥉
Race notes: The top two selections share strong support and could finish in either order. The top pick weakened after a wide trip in tougher company and has handled both turf and dirt successfully. The co-favorite trailed in both races since returning but takes a significant class drop that warrants attention. The alternative shows quick early speed but has stamina concerns, though the shorter distance provides some relief. Pace dynamics will be critical with several speed horses entered.
Race 4 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $15,000
Win: 4 Lil Sally (71%)🥈
Place: 7 Vicki Vale (43%)
Show: 6 Hopeforgreatness (57%)
Alternative: 1 You’re Forever (14%)
Race notes: The top selection made a strong bid behind a smashing winner despite early roughing and needs an alert break to avoid similar trouble. This runner has consistently competed well when getting a clean trip. The place horse shows tactical versatility and multiple analysts note recent competitive efforts. The show selection used up energy pursuing a speedy rival when dropped to this level but remains dangerous with better pace setup. Class relief benefits several contenders.
Race 5 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $15,000 BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 7 Dither (86%)🥈
Place: 4 Sophia’s Prince (71%)🥇
Show: 8 Carbonite (57%)🥉
Alternative: 2 Remarkable Mo (14%)
Race notes: The top choice forced the pace for a long way in just the second outing since April, and the shorter break between races appears beneficial. Unanimous support from nearly all analysts reflects strong confidence. The place horse showed encouraging effort in the last race and recently became eligible for this claiming level. The show selection has shown signs of life lately against similar competition, though lifetime record is 2-for-49. The top jockey at the meet takes the mount.
Race 6 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $20,000 WIN + TRIFECTA
Win: 1 Lasso (86%)🥇
Place: 7 Twentyeighttothree (43%)🥈
Show: 3 Fight Fiercely (43%)🥉
Alternative: 4 Seven Anniversary (43%)
Race notes: The top selection re-bid in tougher company and faced classy rivals at Gulfstream, making this an ideal class relief spot. The trainer has strong success at this level. The place horse represents the favorite on the morning line but shows more vulnerability than the odds suggest. Multiple contenders vie for minor awards with nearly equal support. The show horse rallied with late kick when claimed last week and typically fires from off the pace.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $16,000
Win: 7 Beachball Blvd. (57%)Place: 8 Inner Excellence (57%)
Show: 5 Yes Picnic (29%)🥇
Alternative: 3 Panama Limited (14%)🥈
Race notes: Both top selections show nearly equal support and could finish in either order in this first-time starter race. The top pick is sired by Union Rags who won the 2017 Belmont Stakes and shows several quick local workouts. The place horse is a half-sister to multiple stakes winner Leader of the Band and makes the debut for high-percentage connections. Breeding and workout patterns provide primary handicapping angles. The show selection has capable breeding with dam winning 8 of 30 starts and sire Catholic Boy earning over $2 million.
Race 8 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $10,000 BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 1 Yodel E.A. Who (100%)🥈
Place: 2 Bestsugardaddyever (43%)🥉
Show: 7 Aztec (43%)🥇
Alternative: 3 In Spades (43%)
Race notes: The top choice draws unanimous support after drawing away from cheaper horses for the 21st career victory. At age nine, this veteran remains formidable and faces weaker competition. The place horse has been sharp in the last pair of races elsewhere and shows moderate local success, fitting well at this level. Multiple contenders compete for minor awards with strong chances for all three. The class drop benefits several runners who have competed at higher levels.
Race 9 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $40,000
Win: 4 Houlton (43%)
Place: 1 Missouri River (43%)
Show: 8 Guaponess (43%)🥇
Alternative: 5 Sturdy (29%)🥈
Race notes: The top choice was claimed by top trainer Juan Carlos Guerrero for $40,000 and showed earlier good form in New York. Multiple analysts split support among three contenders who all show legitimate winning chances. The place horse has shown steady progress lately and benefits from likely stalking trip from the inside post for a 33% winning barn. The show selection is a consistent sprinter claimed by a successful outfit for a rare stamina test, applying pressure from the rail. This allowance race appears wide open.
Race 10 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $23,000 WIN ($9.00)
Win: 10 Nostalgia’s Smile (50%)🥇
Place: 11 Curious Soul (50%)
Show: 3 Simply Disregarded (50%)
Alternative: 12 Real Blues (25%)
Race notes: The top choice has been within inches of taking four straight victories and shows capability both in front or off the pace. Versatility in running style provides tactical advantage. The place horse dueled to the stretch in quicker company and trounced single-winners in the prior attempt, showing strong recent form. The show selection displays several strong efforts and was claimed for this amount in the last pair of races. All three top selections share nearly equal support, indicating a competitive and difficult-to-separate contest.
Recommended Exotic Wagers and Value Plays
Early Pick 4 (Races 1-4) Value Play: Key 7 Be My Queen in Race 1 with 7 Nohai in Race 2, then spread in Races 3-4 using 6,7 in Race 3 and 4,6,7 in Race 4. Pick Pony analysts identify strong confidence in the first two legs while acknowledging competitive finishes in the latter races.
Race 5 Exacta Box: 7 Dither with 4 Sophia’s Prince provides excellent value given the near-unanimous support for both runners and projected favorable odds. The top selection returning quicker from layoff shows positive angle.
Race 6 Value Exacta: Analysts recommend boxing 1 Lasso with 3 Fight Fiercely and 4 Seven Anniversary. The top pick faces softer competition than recent races while the others offer value at likely generous odds in exotic positions.
Race 8 Win Bet: 1 Yodel E.A. Who represents the strongest consensus play of the entire card with 100% analyst support. At age nine with 21 career victories, this veteran drops in class and should provide solid value for win bets and use as a single in rolling exotics.
Late Pick 4 (Races 7-10) Construction: Spread 7,8 in Race 7, single 1 in Race 8, use all in Race 9 (given the competitive nature), and key 10,11 in Race 10. Pick Pony analysts note Race 9 as the most challenging leg requiring broad coverage.
Race 9 Trifecta Strategy: Box 1 Missouri River, 4 Houlton, 5 Sturdy, and 8 Guaponess. This allowance race shows the most competitive profile with four legitimate contenders sharing nearly equal support. The generous purse and quality field justify broader trifecta coverage.
Parx Philly BIG 5 (Races 6-10): Focus on single-use selections in Races 6, 7, and 8 where 1 Lasso, 7 Beachball Blvd., and 1 Yodel E.A. Who show dominant support. Spread wider in Race 9 given the competitive field, then return to narrower coverage in Race 10 with 10,11.
