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Race 1 – Maiden Claiming – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Dirt
Win: 9 Falcon Quest – 35% confidence
Place: 4 Bishop Creek – 27% confidence
Show: 5 Double R Cat – 15% confidence
Alternative: 3 Rickie Roooo Ster – 12% confidence
Notes: Pace scenario points to Falcon Quest and Bishop Creek controlling the race early with Double R Cat and Rickie Roooo Ster most likely to pick up pieces; vertical exotics should be built around this core.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt
Win: 5 Merry Mary Lou – 38% confidence
Place: 4 Wolfberry – 24% confidence
Show: 6 Easy Kiss – 13% confidence
Alternative: 2 I Was An Out – 11% confidence
Notes: Multiple analysts describe this as a race where the top pair are difficult to split; closers such as I Was An Out offer value in trifectas if the early speed collapses.
Race 3 – Claiming – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse 17,000
Win: 3 Flexible Terms – 28% confidence
Place: 1 Life At Sea – 24% confidence
Show: 4 Inaclassofmyown – 19% confidence
Alternative: 6 Riding Double – 15% confidence
Notes: This is a wide-open event with four runners drawing significant support; Pick Pony analysts recommend wider spreads in exotics and multi-race wagers rather than leaning on a single standout.
Race 4 – Claiming – 1 Mile 1/16 – Dirt – Purse 17,500
Win: 4 Code Jorgie – 34% confidence
Place: 6 Mucho Mia – 24% confidence
Show: 1 Leviathan Axe – 16% confidence
Alternative: 3 Grandsonsam – 11% confidence
Notes: The race shape suggests Code Jorgie will get a perfect trip just behind the leaders; Mucho Mia and Leviathan Axe are the main threats if the early fractions become demanding.
Race 5 – Starter Allowance – 7 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 13,000
Win: 7 Cawkab – 33% confidence
Place: 6 Love Pack – 29% confidence
Show: 1 Go West – 13% confidence
Alternative: 2 Wartime Hero – 11% confidence
Notes: Strong agreement that Cawkab and Love Pack form the key exacta; Go West and Wartime Hero are the primary candidates to upset the favorite or land in the trifecta at better odds.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Dirt – Purse 38,000
Win: 3 Lady Beau – 39% confidence
Place: 4 Sugar Hill – 30% confidence
Show: 5 Depencier – 16% confidence
Alternative: 2 Honor Society – 7% confidence
Notes: Lady Beau is one of the strongest plays on the card by consensus; Pick Pony analysts expect this runner to be overbet but still necessary as a win key, with Depencier a strong show anchor.
Race 7 – Claiming – 5 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 17,500
Win: 7 Om Sassy – 37% confidence
Place: 2 Happy N Smiling – 29% confidence
Show: 1 Bold Appeal – 17% confidence
Alternative: 8 Lottery Ticket – 9% confidence
Notes: Early speed is plentiful, but Om Sassy’s combination of class and tactical pace gives this runner a narrow edge over Happy N Smiling; Bold Appeal is a consistent local presence well suited for underneath roles in verticals.
Race 8 – Allowance – 1 Mile – Dirt – Purse 42,000
Win: 3 Imperial Gun – 40% confidence
Place: 1 Edified – 20% confidence
Show: 8 C W Prize – 18% confidence
Alternative: 2 Mazuma – 11% confidence
Notes: Imperial Gun emerges as a standout on both form and consensus; Edified and C W Prize are the primary threats, and value shoppers may key one of them on top of Imperial Gun in exactas for a better return.
Race 9 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 27,000
Win: 8 Tims – 31% confidence
Place: 9 Complete Overhaul – 21% confidence
Show: 6 Richochet Rick – 18% confidence
Alternative: 7 Preacherman – 10% confidence
Notes: Form is thin and upside is concentrated in first-time and lightly raced types; Pick Pony analysts recommend spreading deeper in multi-race wagers and using the consensus core most heavily in verticals while searching for a price underneath.
