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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1
Race 1 | Maiden Claiming | 7 Furlongs | Dirt | $21,500
Win: 2. Teddy Bear (57% confidence)
Place: 5. Moral Power (29% confidence)
Show: 3. Bowie (29% confidence)
Alternative: 11. Coastal Appeal (29% confidence)
Notes: Teddy Bear shows strong consensus among pick analysts with recent winning form and consistent recommendations. Horse has shown improvement this season with placing credentials from five runs in current campaign. Moral Power offers value at 6-1 odds as back-up selection, having performed well fresh. Bowie comes back from extended layoff and could be competitive in weakened field.
Race 2
Race 2 | Inaugural Stakes | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $125,000
Win: 7. Solitude Dude (38% confidence)
Place: 4. Super Kick (38% confidence)
Show: 3. Thunder Chuck (25% confidence)
Alternative: 1. Max Capacity (25% confidence)
Notes: This high-quality stakes race shows split opinions among analysts, indicating competitive balance. Solitude Dude made impressive debut and brings perfect record at the distance. Super Kick drops down from higher competition and offers solid place value. Thunder Chuck has shown promise in stakes company and warrants consideration in multiple positions. Multiple analysts identify Max Capacity for exotic combinations due to strong form line with two recent wins.
Race 3
Race 3 | Starter Optional Claiming | 7 Furlongs | Dirt | $36,500
Win: 1. Aye Bay Bay (43% confidence)
Place: 4. Dixi So Fast (43% confidence)
Show: 5. Ridgie (14% confidence)
Alternative: 2. Prancin Inthe Dark (29% confidence)
Notes: Field offers competitive balance with multiple options at different price points. Aye Bay Bay appears as win choice for several analysts and brings consistent placing record with winner at Presque Isle Downs. Dixi So Fast has strong record of wins or places in both races to date and provides excellent overlay potential. R Glorious Life earned impressive recent victory, representing alternative win angle. Ridgie at 12-1 offers value as undercard pick with coaching from experienced barn.
Race 4
Race 4 | Maiden Claiming | 1 Mile | Turf | $21,500
Win: 3. Great Actress (100% confidence)
Place: 4. Whiskey Whim (67% confidence)
Show: 6. Ez Yours (33% confidence)
Alternative: 9. R Skyline (33% confidence)
Notes: Universal consensus on win selection demonstrates clear superiority of Great Actress with perfect credentials for this class level. Horse has three placings from six attempts this campaign and finished fourth at same track, indicating route is optimal. Strong agreement on Whiskey Whim for place position offers high confidence second-choice selection. Ez Yours racing back at non-metro class after Tampa Bay Downs effort provides late-running angle in exotics.
Race 5
Race 5 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 Mile 44 Yards | Dirt | $56,500
Win: 3. Forged Steel (57% confidence)
Place: 4. Lucas’s Mischief (29% confidence)
Show: 5. Hades (43% confidence)
Alternative: 2. Zatara (29% confidence)
Notes: Forged Steel attracts majority preference and brings back from six-week let-up with strong record in relevant company. Horse previously ran at stakes level and drops here for competitive edge. Hades offers compelling place opportunity at 2-1 after disappointing recent effort and could reverse form with improved showing. Lucas’s Mischief demonstrates genuine threat credentials with two recent wins from six attempts this campaign and solid effort last time out. Outofthedark from Betting News analysis represents alternative win angle at 9-2 morning line odds.
Race 6
Race 6 | Maiden Special Weight | 1 Mile | Turf | $55,000
Win: 7. Skywatcher (29% confidence)
Place: 3. Thankfulness (29% confidence)
Show: 4. One More Guitar (43% confidence)
Alternative: 9. Cafe Embrace (29% confidence)
Notes: Competitive maiden special weight race with limited form creating challenging analysis. Skywatcher and Thankfulness split pick analyst preferences at identical confidence levels, indicating genuine competitive balance. One More Guitar attracts most play for third position and brings back from extended layoff with dangerous form at major venue. Thankfulness represents interesting newcomer with professional handling and solid supporting credentials. Cafe Embrace merits consideration in exacta combinations after respectable only-start performance.
Race 7
Race 7 | Maiden Special Weight | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $55,000
Win: 2. Endless Glory (50% confidence)
Place: 6. Critical Magic (33% confidence)
Show: 5. Lightscape (33% confidence)
Alternative: 3. Jen D’Oro (33% confidence)
Notes: Maiden special weight with limited form creates one of day’s toughest analysis scenarios. Endless Glory demonstrates modest edge with slight majority preference and brings back from eight-week let-up with placing credentials at major venue. Critical Magic breaks back from substantial 17-week absence but earned placing finish at Monmouth Park last start, suggesting readiness to return. Lightscape first-time starter carries inherent uncertainty but could develop into factor with professional placement. Jen D’Oro enters from 11-week freshening period and showed placing credentials, warranting consideration in multi-race tickets.
Race 8
Race 8 | Maiden Special Weight | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $55,000
Win: 11. Neo Zapper (33% confidence)
Place: 5. Bod Beach (33% confidence)
Show: 7. Scrambler (33% confidence)
Alternative: 6. Mr. Hooligan (33% confidence)
Notes: Open competitive maiden special weight creates challenging handicapping environment with low consensus across field. Neo Zapper demonstrates respectable form with three placing finishes across limited racing and returns fresh for this assignment. Bod Beach brings four placings from six campaign attempts with consistent efforts in similar company. Jamalamadingdong finished promising second last time out and attracts note from guaranteed tip sheet for win consideration. Multiple debutants including Scrambler create uncertainty and potential for surprise finish, particularly if early pace falters unexpectedly.
Race 9
Race 9 | Sandpiper Stakes | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $125,000
Win: 5. My Miss Mo (67% confidence)
Place: 7. Gerrards Cross (33% confidence)
Show: 6. Freaks Go (33% confidence)
Alternative: 2. Summer Winner (33% confidence)
Notes: Two-year-old fillies stakes race demonstrates clear preference for My Miss Mo with strong consensus from multiple quality analysts. Horse has won or placed in two career starts with runaway maiden victory at Gulfstream last time out, demonstrating elite credentials for this level. Gerrards Cross breaks back from 18-week absence but has won both races to date, suggesting quality and fitness. Freaks Go surprised at Churchill Downs to win maiden at long odds and should run fitter for that effort. Summer Winner searches for hat trick after back-to-back wins at Canterbury Park and carries significant form advantage into stakes company.
Race 10
Race 10 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 Mile | Turf | $55,500
Win: 5. Alakan (83% confidence)
Place: 9. Blackmail (33% confidence)
Show: 3. Mo Dodgy (33% confidence)
Alternative: 1. W W Star (33% confidence)
Notes: Overwhelming consensus on Alakan win selection reflects impressive debut credentials with two-year-old that has won or placed both career starts, most recently breaking maiden at Laurel Park. Horse carries flying start indicators across early campaign. Blackmail also broke maiden last start at Gulfstream and should benefit from additional fitness derived from that effort, offering solid place value. Mo Dodgy enters from seven-week rest period with two wins from six campaign attempts, warranting inclusion in multi-race exotics. W W Star brings strong early career credentials with maiden-breaking victory at Fairmount Park and win-or-place record across two starts.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony Analysts Value Plays:
Race 1 offers intriguing exacta combinations with Teddy Bear-Moral Power providing solid consensus base, while secondary plays incorporating Bowie or Beybe Beto at higher odds create overlay potential for bettors seeking value.
Race 2 stakes competition warrants multiple play approach with Solitude Dude-Super Kick exacta, supported by supplemental tickets including Thunder Chuck in secondary positions given strength of middle contenders.
Race 3 field depth suggests profitable exacta play featuring Aye Bay Bay with Dixi So Fast or R Glorious Life, creating multiple win-place combinations with favorable odds relationships.
Race 4 presents strongest single-horse situation of card with Great Actress showing universal analyst agreement. Standard play includes win bet with light exacta overlays pairing secondary options Whiskey Whim or Ez Yours underneath favorite.
Race 5 allows profitable place-show wagering on Hades at 2-1 with consensus selections, particularly appealing given potential for competitive finish among Forged Steel, Lucas’s Mischief, and outside horses.
Race 6 open competitive nature suggests multiple-ticket approach using Skywatcher, Thankfulness, and One More Guitar in various combinations, with box plays recommended given comparable consensus percentages.
Race 7 maiden special weight uncertainty supports exacta boxing across top three analyst selections: Endless Glory, Critical Magic, and Lightscape, protecting against surprise finishes while maintaining reasonable wagering cost.
Race 8 weakest consensus race on card warrants cautious approach with minimal exotic exposure, focusing instead on straight win wagering if single horse demonstrates superior odds value.
Race 9 My Miss Mo dominance allows direct approach with win selection and standard exacta plays supporting consensus place-show combinations to Gerrards Cross and Freaks Go.
Race 10 Alakan consensus strength permits simple win play with supplemental place wagering on Blackmail and Mo Dodgy if odds relationships justify multiple-race tickets. Consider multi-race sequences incorporating Race 9 and Race 10 based on high-confidence selections.
