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Race 1 – Allowance – 295Y Dirt – Purse $14,800
Win: 2 Flying Cowgirl 123 (Confidence: 83%)
Place: 5 Yn Tiro De Gracia (Confidence: 67%)
Show: 1 Ride Em Cowboy (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 6 Cant Tell You Why (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Pick Pony analysts show very strong agreement that Flying Cowgirl 123 is the clear top choice, with only one analyst not listing this runner. Yn Tiro De Gracia is widely respected as the main danger and a key exacta partner, while Ride Em Cowboy profiles as the most consistent underneath option. Cant Tell You Why is more of a secondary contender but still appears often enough to merit inclusion in deeper exotics.
Race 2 – Claiming – 1105Y Dirt – Purse $9,000
Win: 5 Bourbon Dancer (Confidence: 67%)
Place: 6 Deep Creek Storm (Confidence: 33%)
Show: 4 Rusty Gadget (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 2 Natural High (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Pick Pony analysts lean to Bourbon Dancer as the most reliable finisher, with both human and algorithmic opinions converging on this runner. Deep Creek Storm is a classic “figs horse” with strong projection metrics despite a higher price, making this one a potential value in the exacta. Rusty Gadget and Natural High both show up repeatedly in the second and third slots, suggesting a fairly tight group behind the favorite and a race that could produce solid trifecta returns.
Race 3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1M Turf – Purse $21,000
Win: 1 Saline River (Confidence: 100%)
Place: 6 One Fast Bro (Confidence: 67%)
Show: 5 Kennebec (Confidence: 67%)
Alternative: 2 Wood Ceiling (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Every analyst with a documented pick is on Saline River as the top choice, giving this runner the strongest consensus on the card. One Fast Bro and Kennebec are almost universally regarded as the main threats and sit clearly in the second tier, making the top three appear relatively defined. Wood Ceiling has less support but still appears consistently enough in the fourth position to be a logical superfecta anchor for deeper tickets.
Race 4 – Allowance Optional Claiming (F&M) – 1323Y Dirt – Purse $19,000
Win: 5 Fun Money (Confidence: 83%)
Place: 2 Ima Margarita Girl (Confidence: 67%)
Show: 4 Creme De Menthe (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 3 Zippin Sevenz (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Pick Pony analysts are strongly aligned that Fun Money is the filly to beat on return, with only a single analyst not placing her on top. Ima Margarita Girl is repeatedly identified as the main challenger and projects as a key piece in exactas and doubles. Creme De Menthe appears as a consistent underneath factor, while Zippin Sevenz is more of an upside alternative that shows up in sharper value-driven opinions, especially as a fourth-slot play.
Race 5 – Maiden Claiming – 1105Y Dirt – Purse $10,000
Win: 9 Chief Renegade (Confidence: 67%)
Place: 4 Fantasma (Confidence: 67%)
Show: 3 Come Home (Confidence: 67%)
Alternative: 8 Fancy Dancer (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
This maiden event has a tight trio at the top, with Chief Renegade, Fantasma, and Come Home all receiving broad and fairly even support from Pick Pony analysts. Chief Renegade gets a slight edge at the win slot thanks to multiple top selections and strong track affinity. Fantasma and Come Home are repeatedly projected as major players in the exacta and trifecta, giving this race a fairly clear “A” group. Fancy Dancer is the most common fourth-choice and offers some upside potential to inflate exotic payouts if improvement appears second off the layoff.
Race 6 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1323Y Dirt – Purse $21,000
Win: 4 Coastal Jazz (Confidence: 83%)
Place: 5 Redline (Confidence: 50%)
Show: 3 Listentothemusic (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 6 Jin Tong (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Coastal Jazz is the clear consensus top horse in this high-level sprint, appearing in nearly every analyst’s top tier and drawing multiple outright win endorsements. Redline and Listentothemusic form the next group, with both projecting as serious win threats while frequently landing in the exacta and trifecta slots. Jin Tong shows up enough in sharper figures-based opinions to earn the alternative spot and looks particularly interesting as a late-running inclusion in superfectas at a fair price.
Race 7 – Claiming – 1M Dirt – Purse $10,000
Win: 7 Saqeel (Confidence: 50%)
Place: 3 Street Humor (Confidence: 50%)
Show: 2 Benny Buckets (Confidence: 33%)
Alternative: 6 Keep It Coming (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
This is one of the more open races on the card. Saqeel and Street Humor split opinion at the top, with both drawing repeated support as win candidates from Pick Pony analysts. Benny Buckets and Keep It Coming show up persistently in value-focused projections and tend to occupy the mid-pack of rankings, making them logical inclusion horses in multi-horse vertical bets. With several other longshots getting scattered support, this is a race where spreading deeper in exotics could be rewarded.
Race 8 – Claiming – 1M Turf – Purse $12,000
Win: 7 Sarge’s Sermon (Confidence: 67%)
Place: 6 Pacific Theater (Confidence: 50%)
Show: 2 War Chest (Confidence: 33%)
Alternative: 1 My Indy (Confidence: 33%)
Notes:
Pick Pony analysts see Sarge’s Sermon as the most likely winner but not an overwhelming standout, with multiple alternatives getting respect in the top four. Pacific Theater is the main challenger and repeatedly appears in exacta-oriented strategies from both human and computer-based perspectives. War Chest and My Indy are the two main value pieces that show up often enough to be considered essential underneath keys, especially given their prices and projected trip profiles.
