Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Optional Claiming – 252Y Dirt – Purse $15,100
Win: Higher Heat (5) – 100% confidence
Place: Flying Cowgirl 123 (4) – 62% confidence
Show: Double A Eagle (3) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Magic King Corona (2) – 38% confidence
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1M Dirt – Purse $16,000
Win: Surprsinglyperfect (5) – 100% confidence
Place: K P Kwest (3) – 62% confidence
Show: Fifty Cinco (1) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Moonlight Road (2) – 25% confidence
Race 3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6F 110Y Dirt – Purse $19,000
Win: Grease Missle (2) – 100% confidence
Place: Zippin Sevenz (3) – 57% confidence
Show: Ima Margarita Girl (4) – 57% confidence
Alternative: Asena (1) – 43% confidence
Race 4 – Claiming – 1M Dirt
Win: Standard Of Proof (2) – 83% confidence
Place: Cancun Native (4) – 67% confidence
Show: No Ordinary Tiger (3) – 67% confidence
Alternative: Quebrancho (7) – 17% confidence
Race 5 – Claiming – 995Y Dirt
Win: Set Point (6) – 100% confidence
Place: Chirag (5) – 67% confidence
Show: Manzoni (4) – 33% confidence
Alternative: Thrust (2) – 33% confidence
Race 6 – Claiming – 8F 110Y Dirt
Win: Fort Langley (3) – 83% confidence
Place: Right Hand Ryder (8) – 50% confidence
Show: Keep It Coming (7) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Street Humor (1) – 17% confidence
Race 7 – Claiming – 8F 110Y Dirt
Win: Saqeel (9) – 83% confidence
Place: Big Spin (2) – 67% confidence
Show: Mashhad Flats (4) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Orth (7) – 33% confidence
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming – 5F 110Y Dirt
Win: Chica Tigre (7) – 67% confidence
Place: Clam Beach (3) – 67% confidence
Show: Train Station (1) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Evans Valley Girl (4) – 50% confidence
In all races, no horse appears in more than one consensus position.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays (Pick Pony Analysts)
Race 1 – Optional Claiming
Pick Pony analysts view Higher Heat as a strong single in win pools and as a key in daily doubles and pick sequences. Exactas and trifectas built around Higher Heat over Flying Cowgirl 123 and Double A Eagle, with Magic King Corona underneath, look like the most efficient vertical structures. Double A Eagle offers the best chance to upset the favorite at a usable price if Higher Heat regresses or encounters traffic.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming
Surprsinglyperfect is an ideal single in multi‑race exotics given complete analyst agreement, allowing players to spread more aggressively in other legs. Exactas and trifectas focused on Surprsinglyperfect over K P Kwest and Fifty Cinco, with Moonlight Road as a fourth‑slot booster, appear most logical. Fifty Cinco profiles as the main value play in exotics, particularly if his odds drift higher than his consensus ranking suggests.
Race 3 – Allowance Optional Claiming
This race is a classic two‑to‑three horse spread for multi‑race bettors, with Grease Missle as the preferred “A” and Zippin Sevenz and Ima Margarita Girl as co‑“B” types. Vertical players can lean on a Grease Missle and Zippin Sevenz exacta box, while including Ima Margarita Girl and Asena underneath in trifectas and superfectas. Ima Margarita Girl is the standout value candidate if she holds a better price than the other two main contenders while benefitting from a class drop.
Race 4 – Claiming
Analysts recommend building around the trio of Standard Of Proof, Cancun Native, and No Ordinary Tiger. Exacta and trifecta tickets with Standard Of Proof and Cancun Native in the top two slots, and No Ordinary Tiger plus Quebrancho in third and fourth, balance chalk with some price coverage. No Ordinary Tiger is the preferred win‑price stab if he floats above his morning line, as his consistency in tougher spots offers upside relative to public perception.
Race 5 – Claiming
Set Point and Chirag form a strong two‑horse core in both horizontal and vertical plays. Pick Pony analysts favor two main approaches: key Set Point on top of Chirag and Manzoni in exactas and trifectas, and then back up with a smaller ticket flipping Chirag over Set Point to guard against pace or trip surprises. Manzoni and Thrust project as the value components, especially in trifectas and supers, where they can significantly inflate payouts behind the well‑known top pair.
Race 6 – Claiming
Fort Langley is the preferred single for many Pick Pony analysts in rolling pick sequences due to the high consensus and balanced running style. In verticals, Fort Langley can be keyed over Right Hand Ryder and Keep It Coming, with Street Humor and Happy Does added in deeper slots to capture a potential late‑running or layoff‑improved effort. Keep It Coming has the best value profile among the main contenders if the market over‑reacts to more obvious last‑out lines on others.
Race 7 – Claiming
Saqeel is a strong win play and a natural centerpiece for doubles and pick‑3/pick‑4 constructions. Exacta strategies focusing on Saqeel over Big Spin and Mashhad Flats match the consensus pattern, with Orth and Nolongerahobby as superfecta fillers. Mashhad Flats stands out as a value upside horse, particularly if he sits a better trip than the more obvious chalks and maintains his prior winning level form.
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming
Given the spread of opinion among the main quartet, Pick Pony analysts recommend using at least three deep in horizontal bets: Chica Tigre, Clam Beach, and Train Station, with Evans Valley Girl as an optional fourth if budget allows. In trifectas, a flexible approach that keys any two of the main four on top and spreads among the remaining pair plus Angel’s Effort underneath can capture both chalky and mid‑price outcomes. Clam Beach and Train Station provide the most interesting value angles if either drifts above their early prices while still fitting the consensus top‑four cluster.
