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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race #1 – Optional Claiming – 320 yards
Win: Whiskey Wes (3) 85%🥉
Place: Heartache Tonite (1) 42%
Show: La Panama West (6) 28%🥇
Alternative: Kirby (2) 28%
Whiskey Wes dominates analyst consensus as the clear choice, having chased strongly in recent competition. Heartache Tonite offers solid value for secondary positions with a track record of success at Turf Paradise. Consider Kirby in exacta combinations as a secondary alternative.
Recommended exotic plays: Whiskey Wes over Heartache Tonite and La Panama West in exacta combinations represents strong value. A three-horse box with Whiskey Wes, Heartache Tonite, and La Panama West in the trifecta offers coverage of consensus picks.
Race #2 – Optional Claiming – 295 yards
Win: Triple D Governor (10) 40%🥉
Place: Eye Am A Dream (7) 60%
Show: Relief Factor (8) 40%
Alternative: Magical Chic (2) 40%
This race presents significant analytical division at the win level with Triple D Governor and Relief Factor splitting top consideration, suggesting a competitive race. Eye Am A Dream commands strong majority consensus for place position with 60% agreement.
Recommended exotic plays: Triple D Governor over Eye Am A Dream and Relief Factor over Eye Am A Dream both represent logical consensus combinations. Consider exacta box with top four contenders for broader coverage. Win pool on Angel Soul offers value opportunity at potential overlays.
Race #3 – Claiming – 1651 yards
Win: Brother Reid (3) 80%
Place: Sonic Speed (8) 40%🥉
Show: Rodeo Champ (4) 40%
Alternative: Law Abiding (7) 40%
Brother Reid shows commanding consensus support at 80% analyst agreement based on recent form and competitive position. Sonic Speed and Rodeo Champ split place consensus equally, indicating both are worthy secondary contenders.
Recommended exotic plays: Brother Reid as cornerstone win selection in exotics. Consider exacta combinations with Brother Reid over both Sonic Speed and Rodeo Champ. A three-horse trifecta box including Brother Reid, Sonic Speed, and Rodeo Champ aligns with consensus.
Race #4 – Starter Allowance – 8 Furlongs
Win: Go Cats (3) 83%🥇
Place: Lemon Meringue (7) 50%
Show: Mt. Zeror (2) 50%🥈
Alternative: Don’t Have Another (4) 33%
Go Cats represents one of the most confident plays with 83% analyst consensus, coming off recent winning effort at this class level. Lemon Meringue holds majority agreement for place position. Mt. Zeror appears consistently in show positions across multiple analyst sources.
Recommended exotic plays: Go Cats stands as strong logical win selection for exotic play. Exacta combination of Go Cats over Lemon Meringue and Mt. Zeror represents core consensus. This race offers potential pick-3 and pick-4 opportunities with relatively clear consensus paths.
Race #5 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1323 yards
Win: Perfect Prankster (4) 57%🥇
Place: Jacked Up (3) 28%🥉
Show: Bruckner (2) 28%🥈
Alternative: Atmospheric River (6) 14%
Perfect Prankster commands majority consensus at 57% for win position, though not as dominant as other races. Jacked Up and Bruckner split secondary positions with equal consensus support. FanDuel’s selection of Bruckner as win pick offers contrarian play opportunity.
Recommended exotic plays: Perfect Prankster over Jacked Up and Bruckner combinations offer primary approach. Given relative balance across picks, consider exacta boxes including three or four horses to improve win probability. Bruckner at win represents value play with show consensus support.
Race #6 – Maiden Optional Claiming – 1651 yards
Win: Need The Purse (2) 80%
Place: Mo Grey (3) 80%🥉
Show: Mendelssohns Comet (9) 40%🥇
Alternative: Una Mirada (6) 40%
Strong consensus dominates this race with Need The Purse at 80% for win and Mo Grey at 80% for place, representing one of the clearer prophecies. The one-two combination appears highly probable. Mendelssohns Comet and Una Mirada merit consideration for trifecta purposes.
Recommended exotic plays: Need The Purse over Mo Grey represents chalk exacta with overwhelming consensus. This combination offers potential value if underbet. Consider trifecta with Need The Purse-Mo Grey-Mendelssohns Comet or Need The Purse-Mo Grey-Una Mirada for consensus coverage.
Race #7 – Claiming – 1105 yards
Win: Classic Cinema (3) 50%
Place: Coastal Fog (5) 33%
Show: Vern’s Showstopper (2) 33%
Alternative: Roll Dem Bones (8) 33%
This race presents the most analytical division with Classic Cinema at only 50% consensus for win, indicating wide-open competitive scenario. Groovy Huey offers contrarian angle with supporting logic. Vern’s Showstopper appears across multiple positions, suggesting viability throughout.
Recommended exotic plays: Race 7 presents strong exotic opportunities due to analytical division. Classic Cinema over Coastal Fog and Vern’s Showstopper exactas offer primary coverage. Consider four-horse exacta boxes or pick-3/pick-4 combinations. Vern’s Showstopper offers overlay potential given multiple positioning.
Race #8 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1214 yards
Win: Devil Among Us (7) 50%
Place: Baladi (4) 50%🥈
Show: Devil Among Us (7) 33%
Alternative: Central Park (6) 33%
Devil Among Us and Central Park split win consensus at 50% each, with Baladi providing alternative selection, indicating competitive depth. Baladi commands 50% consensus for place position. Devil Among Us’ double consensus across win and show suggests strong career success potential.
Recommended exotic plays: Devil Among Us over Baladi represents primary exacta approach. Central Park over Baladi and Devil Among Us offer secondary combinations for broader coverage. Consider Devil Among Us-Baladi-Central Park trifecta with strong backing. Baladi at win offers contrarian play with supporting place consensus.
Race #9 – Starter Optional Claiming – 8 Furlongs
Win: Stop And A Tres (3) 40%
Place: Om Fire (1) 40%
Show: Herecomegeorgieboy (10) 40%🥇
Alternative: Mr Insensitive (6) 40%
Race 9 presents one of the most wide-open competitive scenarios with no single pick commanding strong majority consensus. Stop And A Tres holds slight edge at 40% for win but Outofquemado offers significant contrarian angle. Om Fire appears at 40% consensus for place with strong analytical support.
Recommended exotic plays: Wide-open scenario favors exotic box combinations for improved coverage. Stop And A Tres over Om Fire and Herecomegeorgieboy exacta boxes offer primary coverage. Outofquemado at win offers value opportunity given contrarian support. Trifecta approaches should include four or more horses.
Summary Analysis
The November 28, 2025 card presents mixed analytical landscape ranging from clear consensus (Races 1, 4, 6) to wide-open competitive scenarios (Races 7, 9).
Strongest Consensus Plays: Races 1, 4, and 6 offer clearest predictions with single-choice dominance (85%, 83%, 80% respectively). Traditional payout opportunities.
Competitive Division: Races 2, 7, and 9 present balanced picks without clear majority at win level, suggesting increased exotic viability and overlay opportunities.
Value Opportunities: Consider contrarian selections where analysts diverge from primary consensus, particularly in races 7 and 9 where competitive depth creates overlay potential.
Pick Pool Strategies: Strong exacta opportunities in early races with clear chalk combinations. Late card presents pick-3 and pick-4 progression opportunities through early consensus plays before addressing later card competitive scenarios.
