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Race 1 – Claiming – 6 1/2 Furlongs – All Weather Track – $34,500 – 5:55 PM ET
Win: 1 Midnight Mary 43%
Place: 11 Colormecairo 43%
Show: 10 Sassy Walker 29%
Alternative: 4 Rapido Rosa 43%
Notes: Strong split at the top between two main win-candidates; pace and trip likely decide it. Pick Pony analysts see Rapido Rosa as the most common “use underneath” horse even when not the top win choice.
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming – 1 Mile – All Weather Track – $39,600 – 6:25 PM ET
Win: 3 Frosty Mojito 50%
Place: 7 Mariposa Moon 63%
Show: 9 Sea Zest 38%
Alternative: 4 Rip Current 38%
Notes: Multiple analysts lean to Mariposa Moon as the most reliable board-hitter, even when not top win. Frosty Mojito shows up as a frequent “top-slot” alternative, suggesting a live upset angle in exactas.
Race 3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6 Furlongs – All Weather Track – $104,000 – 6:55 PM ET
Win: 2 Mom's Palace 88%
Place: 6 Niki Nine Doors 63%
Show: 3 Jill Jitterbug 25%
Alternative: 4 Continuity 25%
Notes: Mom's Palace is the clear consensus anchor. The key decision is which runner fills out second and third behind the favorite; spread-minded tickets make sense underneath.
Race 4 – Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles – All Weather Track – $34,500 – 7:25 PM ET
Win: 2 Shankar 71%
Place: 3 Sagittarius 57%
Show: 11 Del Mo 29%
Alternative: 1 Jimmy The Hat 43%
Notes: Shankar is the most trusted win key. Del Mo is the “price horse” that some analysts want on top, creating swing value if the pace collapses or the trip opens late.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 1/16 Miles – All Weather Track – $100,000 – 7:55 PM ET
Win: 5 Clear the Beach 71%
Place: 3 Mr Bobo 71%
Show: 10 Sumood 57%
Alternative: 1 Bob Mo 14%
Notes: Very tight consensus around the top three, making this a strong race to press in exactas/trifectas. The longshot Bob Mo appears as a single-analyst “spice” inclusion for deeper tris/supers.
Race 6 – Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles – All Weather Track – $46,000 – 8:25 PM ET
Win: 7 What Say Thee 57%
Place: 8 Swiss Slang 29%
Show: 6 Eye On Ry 29%
Alternative: 10 Harlan Estate 29%
Notes: What Say Thee is the most consistent key across analysts. Several prices appear in supporting roles, signaling a race where exotics can pay if the favorite is merely “in the mix” rather than dominant.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs – All Weather Track – $37,200 – 8:55 PM ET
Win: 1 Tellus Mater 67%
Place: 2 One Front War 67%
Show: 3 Senora D'oro 67%
Alternative: 4 Push My Button 50%
Notes: Extremely stable consensus top three, which supports straightforward exacta/trifecta construction. Push My Button is the most common fourth-slot add for supers and pick sequences.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6 Furlongs – All Weather Track – $106,000 – 9:25 PM ET
Win: 8 Arrest Me Red 71%
Place: 6 Nobals 57%
Show: 1 Joe Shiesty 43%
Alternative: 9 Run Carson 29%
Notes: Arrest Me Red and Nobals dominate the consensus, with Joe Shiesty a frequent inclusion that can separate tickets if he hits the frame. Run Carson shows up enough to respect underneath despite mixed top-slot support.
Race 9 – Claiming – 1 Mile – All Weather Track – $39,600 – 9:55 PM ET
Win: 5 Handsome Pants 57%
Place: 7 B B Prince 57%
Show: 2 Kauai Breeze 43%
Alternative: 12 Rulookinforrayray 29%
Notes: Two clear poles in the market: Handsome Pants as the main win key versus B B Prince as the alternative win leader. Pick Pony analysts expect this to be a strong exacta race, but the third and fourth slots are where tickets can differentiate.
Race 10 – Maiden Claiming – 1 Mile – All Weather Track – $30,800 – 10:25 PM ET
Win: 4 Go Jack Go 71%
Place: 14 Chucks Law 57%
Show: 1 Golden Hurricane 43%
Alternative: 11 Abdicate 29%
Notes: Go Jack Go is the strongest overall consensus finisher. Several analysts keep Chucks Law and Golden Hurricane prominent, making this a good race to structure around a firm top while spreading underneath.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1: Exacta box 1-11. Trifecta 1-11 with 4-10 (use 4 and 10 for the third slot). Small superfecta 1-11 with 4-10 with 4-10-12.
Race 2: Exacta 3-7 box. Trifecta 3-7 with 9 with 4 (backup: 7 with 3-9 with 1-4). If playing a superfecta, keep 7 and 3 on top and rotate 9/4/1 underneath.
Race 3: Exacta key 2 over 6. Trifecta 2 with 6 with 3-4-7. For coverage, saver exacta 6 over 2 if the pace melts.
Race 4: Exacta 2 with 3-11. Trifecta 2-3 with 11-1 (rotate 1 and 11 for the third slot). Superfecta look 2 with 3-11 with 1-4-5.
Race 5: Exacta 5-3 box. Trifecta 5-3 with 10 with 10-12-13. If chasing value, add 1 in the fourth slot of supers.
Race 6: Exacta 7 with 8-6. Trifecta 7 with 8-6 with 10-4-2. If a price is needed, include 10 prominently underneath.
Race 7: Exacta 1-2 box. Trifecta 1-2 with 3 with 4 (and reverse 1-2-3 as the primary). This is a clean “press the obvious” race if bankroll allows.
Race 8: Exacta 8-6 box. Trifecta 8-6 with 1 with 9-4. Superfecta 8-6 with 1-9 with 4-5.
Race 9: Exacta box 5-7. Trifecta 5-7 with 2 with 12-8. If playing supers, use 12 as the main fourth-slot differentiator.
Race 10: Exacta 4-14 box. Trifecta 4-14 with 1 with 11-3-8. Superfecta 4-14 with 1-11 with 3-8.
Value Play Observations
Race 1: Rapido Rosa is repeatedly used in the top group but not always as the win key, which is a classic “better in exotics than straight win” profile.
Race 4: Del Mo is the most interesting price-driven win stab (listed at a bigger morning line) and can be used as a small win saver or as a key in deeper exacta/trifecta structures.
Race 6: Swiss Slang sits in a useful spot as a potential overlay because the consensus win key leans elsewhere; that combination can inflate exacta value when Swiss Slang runs second.
Race 8: Big Vince and Run Carson appear often enough underneath to improve payout structure if one of them grabs third or fourth behind the two headline sprinters.
Race 10: Golden Hurricane shows consistent mid-ticket support across sources; it profiles as a practical “show-up horse” to boost trifecta payouts when keyed under the top two.
