Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Turfway Park, December 3, 2025.


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1 – Maiden Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse $37,200

Win: 1. Where Y’at (80% confidence)
Place: 8. Concrete Cruiser (40% confidence)
Show: 2. Courageous Clay (40% confidence)
Alternative: 5. Galantini (20% confidence)🥇

Notes: This is a competitive sprint where Where Y’at shows up as the most consistent selection across analysts. Concrete Cruiser is expected to finish strongly late, and Calling on Heaven (if entered) or Courageous Clay are viewed as threats to set a high bar early.

Race 2 – Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, Purse $21,700

Win: 12. Link To Destiny (80% confidence)
Place: 9. Burning Leaves (40% confidence)🥇
Show: 3. Ready To Roll (40% confidence)
Alternative: 5. Breakwater (20% confidence)🥉

Notes: Link to Destiny is the clear favorite among experts, with broad support to win or place. Burning Leaves stands out as the main challenger. The race features a full field, and analysts note that longshots could upset the favorites if the pace collapses.

Race 3 – Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, Purse $39,600

Win: 1. Real Fast (80% confidence)🥉
Place: 3. Final Denile (60% confidence)🥇
Show: 9. Evening News (60% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4. Dreaming Bro (40% confidence)

Notes: Real Fast and Final Denile are the top contenders here, with Real Fast getting the slight edge in win picks. Evening News is a popular value play to challenge the leaders. Analysts expect a tactically run race where fitness will be the deciding factor.

Race 4 – Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles, Dirt, Purse $30,800

Win: 10. Sant’ Antimo (40% confidence)🥉
Place: 8. Shankar (40% confidence)🥇
Show: 3. Stride (60% confidence)
Alternative: 4. Jazzole (20% confidence)

Notes: This race is wide open with split opinions. Sant’ Antimo and Shankar garner significant attention, while Stride is a consistent board-hitter in predictions. Late runners like Nacho Chrome are mentioned as threats if the leaders tire early.

Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/4 Miles, Dirt, Purse $100,000

Win: 3. Penalty Box (80% confidence)
Place: 6. Dawn Dragon (40% confidence)🥇
Show: 10. Inspired Kiss (20% confidence)
Alternative: 4. Peak Performer (40% confidence)🥈

Notes: Penalty Box is a heavy favorite with strong momentum. Dawn Dragon is seen as the main danger. The distance of 1 1/4 miles tests stamina, and analysts believe Money Man could be a dark horse to watch for exotic wagers.

Race 6 – Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse $38,400

Win: 10. Gigi’s World (60% confidence)
Place: 2. Crickenberger (80% confidence)🥇
Show: 3. Samarita (40% confidence)
Alternative: 5. So Far So Good (20% confidence)🥉

Notes: Gigi’s World is the one to beat based on standout form, but Crickenberger is a very consistent pick for the exotics (place/show). Analysts suggest So Far So Good offers appeal as a longshot that could sneak into the money.

Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile, Dirt, Purse $100,000

Win: 10. Together Again (40% confidence)
Place: 11. South Philly Slide (20% confidence)
Show: 3. Queenstown (20% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 1. Del Mar Sunrise (20% confidence)

Notes: Opinions are scattered here. Together Again has strong connections and form, making them a tentative consensus favorite. South Philly Slide and Queenstown are viable alternatives in a field where form is difficult to assess.

Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse $102,000

Win: 3. Cut To The Chase (83% confidence)
Place: 9. Cynane (66% confidence)🥈
Show: 10. Bundchen (66% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 5. Laurice (33% confidence)

Notes: Cut To The Chase is the strong favorite in this feature race, though some analysts warn the competition is tougher here. Cynane and Bundchen are widely respected as the main threats. Saphira (#8) is also mentioned as a value play by some experts.

Race 9 – Claiming, 5 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse $34,500

Win: 9. Royalewithcheese (40% confidence)
Place: 12. Worthier (40% confidence)
Show: 10. Goth (40% confidence)
Alternative: 1. Escovedo (20% confidence)

Notes: A crowded field for this 5-furlong dash. Royalewithcheese and Worthier are the primary contenders. Goth is noted for finishing strongly, while Escovedo is a longshot showing enough progress to potentially worry the favorites.


Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Pick Pony analysts have identified several opportunities for value beyond the standard win bets.

  • Race 1 Value: Concrete Cruiser (#8) is projected to finish strongly and offers a good alternative to the favorite.
  • Race 2 Longshot: The consensus notes Ready To Roll (#3) or Breakwater (#5) as horses that could add value to trifectas if the pace is hot.
  • Race 5 Dark Horse: Money Man (if entered) is flagged as an outsider with the potential to challenge late in this distance test.
  • Race 6 Exotics: Crickenberger (#2) appears on almost every ticket for Place or Show, making them a key “single” for the bottom of vertical wagers (exactas/trifectas) underneath Gigi’s World (#10).
  • Race 8 Strategy: While Cut To The Chase (#3) is the favorite, value-seeking analysts suggest looking at Saphira (#8) or Bundchen (#10) if you want to try and beat the chalk in the feature race.
  • Race 9 Deep Closer: Goth (#10) is specifically mentioned as a horse that will be running on late in the sprint; consider them for the third or fourth spot in superfectas.

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback